And – we’re off!
Betting the NBA, I’m sure some of you old time cappers have methods that work for you, but at least, being old as dirt myself, and having bet basketball since leather balls and peach baskets, I do know a thing or two about being successful at it.
First thing is you need to do is watch the games. Pick 5 or 6 teams to follow, get to know them, their strengths and weaknesses, see how they match up against better or worse teams; know who’s hurt, who’s worn out, and who’s healthy and fresh; and know if there’s trade talk (get to know and follow the twitter feeds of players and “team “insiders”). Know the team and player historical tendencies, and anything else you can know about them. The numbers I’ll provide takes much of that into consideration, but only when used in conjunction with knowing and watching your teams play is the difference between making a truly informed wager or just a guess.
After many years, I’m going to try projecting totals again, which I hope will be a reliable tool. If not (and there are key variables which, if they hit the mark will shout failure), I’ll quit trying. I’ll be posting daily, also as long as the score projections remain reliable – and I’ll measure reliability by a close watch on both the straight-up and ATS records. Because I try to watch injury announcements, many coming close to game time, I’ll try to post about an hour prior to tip-off; but – having a life – I’ll probably be posting earlier, so being informed about starters sitting for the game will be all on you.
Let me emphasize, that although I’ll be posting straight-up and ATS picks, based on my score projections, these are merely based on past performance team, player, and matchup numbers – and not, by any means, betting recommendations. It’s how I publicly grade the model. By all means use the numbers, but only by which you come to your own picks. I’m no tout, and you’re the captain of your own ship.
GLTA
Ps. I’ll be posting the standings frame once a week, and because of my booky’s preference, my week begins Tuesdays. It’s complicated. Also, as soon as I’ve worked out the bugs, I intend to flesh out the daily projections with a couple lines of data that might be useful.
Betting the NBA, I’m sure some of you old time cappers have methods that work for you, but at least, being old as dirt myself, and having bet basketball since leather balls and peach baskets, I do know a thing or two about being successful at it.
First thing is you need to do is watch the games. Pick 5 or 6 teams to follow, get to know them, their strengths and weaknesses, see how they match up against better or worse teams; know who’s hurt, who’s worn out, and who’s healthy and fresh; and know if there’s trade talk (get to know and follow the twitter feeds of players and “team “insiders”). Know the team and player historical tendencies, and anything else you can know about them. The numbers I’ll provide takes much of that into consideration, but only when used in conjunction with knowing and watching your teams play is the difference between making a truly informed wager or just a guess.
After many years, I’m going to try projecting totals again, which I hope will be a reliable tool. If not (and there are key variables which, if they hit the mark will shout failure), I’ll quit trying. I’ll be posting daily, also as long as the score projections remain reliable – and I’ll measure reliability by a close watch on both the straight-up and ATS records. Because I try to watch injury announcements, many coming close to game time, I’ll try to post about an hour prior to tip-off; but – having a life – I’ll probably be posting earlier, so being informed about starters sitting for the game will be all on you.
Let me emphasize, that although I’ll be posting straight-up and ATS picks, based on my score projections, these are merely based on past performance team, player, and matchup numbers – and not, by any means, betting recommendations. It’s how I publicly grade the model. By all means use the numbers, but only by which you come to your own picks. I’m no tout, and you’re the captain of your own ship.
GLTA
Ps. I’ll be posting the standings frame once a week, and because of my booky’s preference, my week begins Tuesdays. It’s complicated. Also, as soon as I’ve worked out the bugs, I intend to flesh out the daily projections with a couple lines of data that might be useful.
