The Memorial Tournament
- Thread starter PaulW
- Start date
Outrights
Outrights
I like way too many this week but I like them so I will play them. I thought Sneds was Playing, he would have been here as well.
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT JIM FURYK +2625
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT HIDEKI MATSUYAMA +2100
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BILLY HORSCHEL +4440
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BILL HAAS +3235
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT CHRIS KIRK +3330
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT KEVIN KISNER +4785
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT MARC LEISHMAN +8500
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT TONY FINAU +9305
Outrights
I like way too many this week but I like them so I will play them. I thought Sneds was Playing, he would have been here as well.
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT JIM FURYK +2625
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT HIDEKI MATSUYAMA +2100
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BILLY HORSCHEL +4440
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT BILL HAAS +3235
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT CHRIS KIRK +3330
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT KEVIN KISNER +4785
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT MARC LEISHMAN +8500
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT TONY FINAU +9305
Round 1 plays (4pts):
Russell Henley to beat Brooks Koepka -110 @ Paddy Power
6th two years ago and five top-25 finishes in five of his last six starts, Henley is a player who play well this week even though he may not be a true contender for the win. Koepka did win the Phoenix Open, but in the four months since that win, he hasn't recorded a single top-15 finish. Making his debut on this course, he looks one to oppose this week in matchups.
Ryan Moore to beat Brendon Todd -114 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Todd is another to oppose this week. Apart from a 63 in the 3rd round at Hilton Head, He has not been at the top of his game recently, breaking 70 just six times in his last 30 rounds and even though he finished 8th last year, that was in the middle of a purple patch of form that yielded finishes of 1st, 5th, 8th, 17th, 5th and 4th. He is not playing as well this time around. Moore has been played better recently and he has a very good and extensive history on this course: he has finished in the top-40 in eight of the last nine years here, including two top-5 finishes.
Chris Kirk to beat George McNeill -119 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
McNeill is also a regular in this event, playing seven of the last eight year, but over that time, he has secured just one top-40 finish and that was seven years ago. This is clearly a course that doesn't suit him and so he is certainly worth opposing with a player who won the Crowne Plaza Invitational two weeks ago and finished 4th in this event last year.
[unofficial rd1 system plays: Cink tb Huh -120; Reed tb Koepka -110]
Russell Henley to beat Brooks Koepka -110 @ Paddy Power
6th two years ago and five top-25 finishes in five of his last six starts, Henley is a player who play well this week even though he may not be a true contender for the win. Koepka did win the Phoenix Open, but in the four months since that win, he hasn't recorded a single top-15 finish. Making his debut on this course, he looks one to oppose this week in matchups.
Ryan Moore to beat Brendon Todd -114 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
Todd is another to oppose this week. Apart from a 63 in the 3rd round at Hilton Head, He has not been at the top of his game recently, breaking 70 just six times in his last 30 rounds and even though he finished 8th last year, that was in the middle of a purple patch of form that yielded finishes of 1st, 5th, 8th, 17th, 5th and 4th. He is not playing as well this time around. Moore has been played better recently and he has a very good and extensive history on this course: he has finished in the top-40 in eight of the last nine years here, including two top-5 finishes.
Chris Kirk to beat George McNeill -119 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, The Greek and Carib]
McNeill is also a regular in this event, playing seven of the last eight year, but over that time, he has secured just one top-40 finish and that was seven years ago. This is clearly a course that doesn't suit him and so he is certainly worth opposing with a player who won the Crowne Plaza Invitational two weeks ago and finished 4th in this event last year.
[unofficial rd1 system plays: Cink tb Huh -120; Reed tb Koepka -110]
Outrights:
Tiger Woods(33/1) e.w.
Sean O'Hair(125/1) e.w.
Matt Kuchar(25/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(100/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(300/1) e.w.
GL
Tiger Woods(33/1) e.w.
Sean O'Hair(125/1) e.w.
Matt Kuchar(25/1) e.w.
Cameron Tringale(100/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(300/1) e.w.
GL
If you had Moore over Todd you got ass fucked !! Up 6 , up 3 with 4 to play and we get a push ..
Round 2 plays (4pts):
Bill Haas to beat Tiger Woods -125 @ Paddy Power
Okay, Tiger was 3-under-par for his second nine yesterday, but the course was as easy as it has played in years and he did go out in 40. Only Charles Howell hit fewer fairways yesterday and less than ten players hit fewer greens in regulation than Tiger yesterday. Compare that to Haas who ranked 1st in driving accuracy and 8th in greens in regulation and it is clear which player has control of his ball. With finishes of 4th and 8th in the last two years here, this course clearly suits Haas' game. Haas is a 9-0-0 against Tiger since the start of 2014 and I fully expect that perfect matchup run to continue to double digits this week.
Vijay Singh to beat Hudson Swafford -120 @ 5Dimes
Singh has continued to play full-time on the PGA Tour despite being eligible for the Champions Tour and, while not being particularly likely to win an event, he has missed only two cuts in 11 starts since February and recorded two top-15 finishes. Consistency at that level of making cuts has resulted in a dominant h2h record against Swafford: he leads him 5-2-1 h2h since February and that is particularly strong in the first two rounds where he is 11-3-2 h2h against Swafford. On that basis, I'd make Singh a stronger favourite and so there looks to be value in these odds.
Billy Horschel to beat Patrick Reed -120 @ Paddy Power
Opposing Reed who played yesterday as though the off-course issues - his wife's cousin died from cancer two weeks ago - were affecting his game/focus. It was the reason why he pulled out of two European Tour events that he had committed to last month, but he has still kept playing on the PGA Tour - last week's absence from the Byron Nelson Championship was his first week away from the Tour after seven consecutive events. Yesterday, he ranked 114th (of 120) in driving accuracy and 108th in greens in regulation on his course debut, so it looks unlikely for several reasons that he will rebound significantly today. Horschel is a consistent enough player to side with in this matchup.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Horschel tb Koepka +100; Thomas tb Koepka -120]
Bill Haas to beat Tiger Woods -125 @ Paddy Power
Okay, Tiger was 3-under-par for his second nine yesterday, but the course was as easy as it has played in years and he did go out in 40. Only Charles Howell hit fewer fairways yesterday and less than ten players hit fewer greens in regulation than Tiger yesterday. Compare that to Haas who ranked 1st in driving accuracy and 8th in greens in regulation and it is clear which player has control of his ball. With finishes of 4th and 8th in the last two years here, this course clearly suits Haas' game. Haas is a 9-0-0 against Tiger since the start of 2014 and I fully expect that perfect matchup run to continue to double digits this week.
Vijay Singh to beat Hudson Swafford -120 @ 5Dimes
Singh has continued to play full-time on the PGA Tour despite being eligible for the Champions Tour and, while not being particularly likely to win an event, he has missed only two cuts in 11 starts since February and recorded two top-15 finishes. Consistency at that level of making cuts has resulted in a dominant h2h record against Swafford: he leads him 5-2-1 h2h since February and that is particularly strong in the first two rounds where he is 11-3-2 h2h against Swafford. On that basis, I'd make Singh a stronger favourite and so there looks to be value in these odds.
Billy Horschel to beat Patrick Reed -120 @ Paddy Power
Opposing Reed who played yesterday as though the off-course issues - his wife's cousin died from cancer two weeks ago - were affecting his game/focus. It was the reason why he pulled out of two European Tour events that he had committed to last month, but he has still kept playing on the PGA Tour - last week's absence from the Byron Nelson Championship was his first week away from the Tour after seven consecutive events. Yesterday, he ranked 114th (of 120) in driving accuracy and 108th in greens in regulation on his course debut, so it looks unlikely for several reasons that he will rebound significantly today. Horschel is a consistent enough player to side with in this matchup.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Horschel tb Koepka +100; Thomas tb Koepka -120]
2nd Round Match Ups
2nd Round Match Ups
C KIRK (RND 2) -145 (C KIRK (RND 2) vrs G MCNEILL (RND 2))
H MATSUYAMA (RND 2) -165 (H MATSUYAMA (RND 2) vrs R FOWLER (RND 2))
2nd Round Match Ups
C KIRK (RND 2) -145 (C KIRK (RND 2) vrs G MCNEILL (RND 2))
H MATSUYAMA (RND 2) -165 (H MATSUYAMA (RND 2) vrs R FOWLER (RND 2))
2nd Round Match Up Afternoon
2nd Round Match Up Afternoon
J ROSE (RND 2) +120 (J SPIETH (RND 2) vrs J ROSE (RND 2))
2nd Round Match Up Afternoon
J ROSE (RND 2) +120 (J SPIETH (RND 2) vrs J ROSE (RND 2))
3rd Round Match Ups
3rd Round Match Ups
K KISNER -135 (K KISNER vrs G DELAET)
T FINAU EV (T FINAU vrs B STEELE)
R MOORE -130 (J DUFNER vrs R MOORE)
3rd Round Match Ups
K KISNER -135 (K KISNER vrs G DELAET)
T FINAU EV (T FINAU vrs B STEELE)
R MOORE -130 (J DUFNER vrs R MOORE)
Round 3 play (4pts):
Steve Stricker to beat Tiger Woods +100 @ The Greek [also available @ 5Dimes, Pinnacle and Carib]
From tee to green, Tiger didn't play much better on Friday and of the 71 players that made it to the weekend, he is ranked last in driving accuracy, greens in regulation and Shots Gained Tee to Green. He putted extremely well yesterday - just 24 putts in his round - to make the cut on the mark, but it is clear that this is about his maximum level until he improves his ball-striking. That makes him opposable at these odds and, while Stricker may not be as competitive as he was once, he has a very good record at Muirfield Village, finishing 6th last year and winning in 2011, so a competitive weekend is expected of him.
Steve Stricker to beat Tiger Woods +100 @ The Greek [also available @ 5Dimes, Pinnacle and Carib]
From tee to green, Tiger didn't play much better on Friday and of the 71 players that made it to the weekend, he is ranked last in driving accuracy, greens in regulation and Shots Gained Tee to Green. He putted extremely well yesterday - just 24 putts in his round - to make the cut on the mark, but it is clear that this is about his maximum level until he improves his ball-striking. That makes him opposable at these odds and, while Stricker may not be as competitive as he was once, he has a very good record at Muirfield Village, finishing 6th last year and winning in 2011, so a competitive weekend is expected of him.
Really like Andy Sullivan over David Lingmerth today - Sullivan has had a breakout year, winning twice on the Euro Tour and shooting up to #58 in the OWGR - Lingmerth more of a known commodity stateside, mainly due to his flirtation with the Players title in 2013, but he's only made 9 of 18 cuts in 2015 and has MC's in 4 of his last 5 outings
Both golfers have been extremely solid in all facets this week, but would be surprised if Lingmerth continues at his pace, esp w/ the added pressure of being in today's final pairing - Sullivan has a little bit of added pressure as a strong weekend will likely qualify him for the US Open, but given both players' recent form and the pressure for Lingmerth sitting on the lead overnight, I look for Sullivan to come out on top of this matchup today
For round 3, playing:
Andy Sullivan -125 vs David Lingmerth
And as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose
LA Burns
Both golfers have been extremely solid in all facets this week, but would be surprised if Lingmerth continues at his pace, esp w/ the added pressure of being in today's final pairing - Sullivan has a little bit of added pressure as a strong weekend will likely qualify him for the US Open, but given both players' recent form and the pressure for Lingmerth sitting on the lead overnight, I look for Sullivan to come out on top of this matchup today
For round 3, playing:
Andy Sullivan -125 vs David Lingmerth
And as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose
LA Burns
ROUND 4
TODD (+106) over BRADLEY
My son and I going to the LPGA event for a while in the am. They are eating the place up.
TODD (+106) over BRADLEY
My son and I going to the LPGA event for a while in the am. They are eating the place up.
4 Round Match Ups
4 Round Match Ups
T FINAU (RND 4) -115 (C HOWELL III (RND 4) vrs T FINAU (RND 4))
M LEISHMAN (RND 4) -135 (M LEISHMAN (RND 4) vrs S BOWDITCH (RND 4))
K NA (RND 4) -135 (J DUFNER (RND 4) vrs K NA (RND 4))
J FURYK (RND 4) -130 (J ROSE (RND 4) vrs J FURYK (RND 4))
4 Round Match Ups
T FINAU (RND 4) -115 (C HOWELL III (RND 4) vrs T FINAU (RND 4))
M LEISHMAN (RND 4) -135 (M LEISHMAN (RND 4) vrs S BOWDITCH (RND 4))
K NA (RND 4) -135 (J DUFNER (RND 4) vrs K NA (RND 4))
J FURYK (RND 4) -130 (J ROSE (RND 4) vrs J FURYK (RND 4))
