Outright plays (1.5pts):
Chad Campbell to win 25/1 available generally
Campbell should be looking to put the disappointment of losing out on the Colonial to Steve Flesch behind him this week, though he should take some comfort from the fact that he had not been in contention for a title since winning the Bay Hill Invitational in March. Last year he finished in the top-10 and was ranked first in greens in regulation so he has mastered this course and could be the man to profit from the jetlag of so many of the other leading players.
Stewart Cink to win 33/1 e.w. @ SkyBet, Bet365 and BetInternet
Cink finished alongside Campbell in 6th place last year, but had been only a shot behind Perry after 36 holes and before the very cold and windy conditions over the weekend. Add that to finishes of 9th and 4th in the previous two years and Cink appears to certainly have an eye for this course. In good form, I'll back him each-way as the best odds of 6/1 for a top-5 place seems a little short.
Jay Haas to finish in the top-ten 9/1 @ Paddy Power
There are two very good reasons to stay away from Haas this week. He competed in a (Senior) major last week and the event finished on Monday. But on the other hand, he does have excellent course and current form. He has played here in each of the last 26 years and missed the cut only twice. In that time he has also had eight top-10 finishes. In terms of his general form, he has four top-10 finishes from ten PGA Tour starts this year and had seven from twenty-one last year. This makes odds of 9/1 look extremely large!