The Memorial
- Thread starter Tommyjay
- Start date
To win:
Spieth +2880
Johnson +2270
Mickelson +2270
Dufner +4250
Schwartzel +5250
Moore +5250
Chappell +4875
Van Pelt +7250
Spieth +2880
Johnson +2270
Mickelson +2270
Dufner +4250
Schwartzel +5250
Moore +5250
Chappell +4875
Van Pelt +7250
Had to be one of the best Colonials in a long time.
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 JUSTIN ROSE +1415
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 JORDAN SPIETH +2450
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 KEVIN CHAPPELL +3290
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 CHRIS KIRK +6620
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 KYOUNG JU CHOI +8550
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 RUSSELL HENLEY +7250
Outrights
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 JUSTIN ROSE +1415
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 JORDAN SPIETH +2450
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 KEVIN CHAPPELL +3290
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 CHRIS KIRK +6620
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 KYOUNG JU CHOI +8550
ODDS TO WIN THE MEMORIAL TOURNAMENT 2014 RUSSELL HENLEY +7250
Round 1 plays (4pts):
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Dufner -111 @ Bet365
Opposing Dufner despite his 2nd place finish last week. That result was certainly unexpected - his best finish in his previous four starts had been 48th - and now he plays in an event that he has avoided for the last three years. Given that he had missed the cut on both previous occasions and failed to even match par in any round, his decision to skip this event is understandable. But that makes him a good player to oppose and particularly with former winner (2011), Stricker, who has still finished ahead of Dufner in five of their last six strokeplay events despite being below his peak form this season.
Ryan Moore to beat Jason Dufner -106 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
Moore is another who has not been at his best this year, but with seven top-40 finishes in the last eight years at Muirfield Village, he looks set for a much better week this week, which is the opposite of what is expected for Dufner.
Freddie Jacobson to beat Michael Thompson -105 @ Bet365
A top-10 finish on this course last year and a top-10 finish last week has put Thompson on the radar for this week and Bet365 has accordingly made him the favourite in this matchup. But Jacobson still finished ahead of him last week and he also has a top-10 finish on this course, plus he is much more consistent which is why he holds a 6-0-1 h2h record against Thompson over the last three months.
[unofficial rd1 system play: Moore tb Bradley +100]
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Dufner -111 @ Bet365
Opposing Dufner despite his 2nd place finish last week. That result was certainly unexpected - his best finish in his previous four starts had been 48th - and now he plays in an event that he has avoided for the last three years. Given that he had missed the cut on both previous occasions and failed to even match par in any round, his decision to skip this event is understandable. But that makes him a good player to oppose and particularly with former winner (2011), Stricker, who has still finished ahead of Dufner in five of their last six strokeplay events despite being below his peak form this season.
Ryan Moore to beat Jason Dufner -106 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
Moore is another who has not been at his best this year, but with seven top-40 finishes in the last eight years at Muirfield Village, he looks set for a much better week this week, which is the opposite of what is expected for Dufner.
Freddie Jacobson to beat Michael Thompson -105 @ Bet365
A top-10 finish on this course last year and a top-10 finish last week has put Thompson on the radar for this week and Bet365 has accordingly made him the favourite in this matchup. But Jacobson still finished ahead of him last week and he also has a top-10 finish on this course, plus he is much more consistent which is why he holds a 6-0-1 h2h record against Thompson over the last three months.
[unofficial rd1 system play: Moore tb Bradley +100]
Outrights:
Phil Mickelson(28/1) e.w.
Gary Woodland(33/1) e.w.
Ryan Moore(50/1) e.w.
Russell Henley(80/1) e.w.
K.J. Choi(80/1) e.w.
Vijay Singh(250/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(350/1) e.w.
GL
Phil Mickelson(28/1) e.w.
Gary Woodland(33/1) e.w.
Ryan Moore(50/1) e.w.
Russell Henley(80/1) e.w.
K.J. Choi(80/1) e.w.
Vijay Singh(250/1) e.w.
Lucas Glover(350/1) e.w.
GL
1st Round Match Ups
1st Round Match Ups
S CINK (RND 1) -115 (R SABBATINI (RND 1) vrs S CINK (RND 1))
J SPIETH (RND 1) -125 (J SPIETH (RND 1) vrs P MICKELSON (RND 1))
A SCOTT (RND 1) -105 (R MCILROY (RND 1) vrs A SCOTT (RND 1))
1st Round Match Ups
S CINK (RND 1) -115 (R SABBATINI (RND 1) vrs S CINK (RND 1))
J SPIETH (RND 1) -125 (J SPIETH (RND 1) vrs P MICKELSON (RND 1))
A SCOTT (RND 1) -105 (R MCILROY (RND 1) vrs A SCOTT (RND 1))
Round 2 plays (4pts):
Adam Scott to beat Dustin Johnson -150 @ Paddy Power
The new World #1 has continued the form that saw him win last week - he shot 69 in rd1 to finish the day in 11th position and 53 places ahead of Johnson who is only just inside the cut line. The Australian dominates this matchup 14-3-2 h2h since the start of last season and that includes 13-3-1 in rd2 alone. Short odds, just justifiably so.
Bubba Watson to beat Keegan Bradley -133 @ Bet365
A surprise to see Bradley shoot a low score yesterday - his best finish at Muirfield Village so far is 50th and he had broken par just once before yesterday's round. Given his inconsistent form this season, I don't expect him to remain inside the top-5 unlike Watson whose 66 was better only by McIlroy yesterday. Twice a winner already this year (and twice a runner-up), Watson looks far more likely to challenge McIlroy for top-spot this week.
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Dufner -116 @ Bet365
Returning to this rd1 matchup. Dufner played much worse than his score yesterday, ranking 83rd for driving distance, 65th for dirving accuracy, 81st in greens in regulation, 44th for scrambling, 46th for putts per GIR and 63rd for strokes gained putting, yet he finished in 28th place on the leaderboard alongside Stricker. As outlined yesterday, he has a poor record on this course and has avoided it for the last three years, so it appears very unlikely that he will score any better today. A winner from three years ago and with much better stats in rd1, Stricker can certainly shoot a lower score today.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Kirk tb Casey -125; Woodland tb Todd -132]
Adam Scott to beat Dustin Johnson -150 @ Paddy Power
The new World #1 has continued the form that saw him win last week - he shot 69 in rd1 to finish the day in 11th position and 53 places ahead of Johnson who is only just inside the cut line. The Australian dominates this matchup 14-3-2 h2h since the start of last season and that includes 13-3-1 in rd2 alone. Short odds, just justifiably so.
Bubba Watson to beat Keegan Bradley -133 @ Bet365
A surprise to see Bradley shoot a low score yesterday - his best finish at Muirfield Village so far is 50th and he had broken par just once before yesterday's round. Given his inconsistent form this season, I don't expect him to remain inside the top-5 unlike Watson whose 66 was better only by McIlroy yesterday. Twice a winner already this year (and twice a runner-up), Watson looks far more likely to challenge McIlroy for top-spot this week.
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Dufner -116 @ Bet365
Returning to this rd1 matchup. Dufner played much worse than his score yesterday, ranking 83rd for driving distance, 65th for dirving accuracy, 81st in greens in regulation, 44th for scrambling, 46th for putts per GIR and 63rd for strokes gained putting, yet he finished in 28th place on the leaderboard alongside Stricker. As outlined yesterday, he has a poor record on this course and has avoided it for the last three years, so it appears very unlikely that he will score any better today. A winner from three years ago and with much better stats in rd1, Stricker can certainly shoot a lower score today.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Kirk tb Casey -125; Woodland tb Todd -132]
314 Nick Watney (3rd Rnd) -110
over
313 Robert Streb (3rd Rnd) -110
B.Watson wins The Memorial Tournament +350
over
313 Robert Streb (3rd Rnd) -110
B.Watson wins The Memorial Tournament +350
R3 Flores over Olesen -120 5d
Both of these guys are hot. I think Flores is just a better golfer overall.
Both of these guys are hot. I think Flores is just a better golfer overall.
414 Chris Kirk (4th Rnd) +105
over
413 Bo Van Pelt (4th Rnd)
418 Scott Brown (4th Rnd) -110
over
417 Luke Guthrie (4th Rnd)
420 Andrew Svoboda (4th Rnd) +115
over
419 Ben Martin (4th Rnd)
over
413 Bo Van Pelt (4th Rnd)
418 Scott Brown (4th Rnd) -110
over
417 Luke Guthrie (4th Rnd)
420 Andrew Svoboda (4th Rnd) +115
over
419 Ben Martin (4th Rnd)
Round 4 play (4pts):
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Day +138 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Pinnacle, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
Opposing Day for a couple of reasons: (i) this is his first start since The Masters seven weeks ago following a thumb injury, so rustiness should be an issue this week and his ball-striking stats confirm that he is some way off his best; (ii) even when he was fully fit and playing well, he has never really done well on this course with a best finish of 27th in his five previous starts and just four of sixteen rounds under par prior to this week. They don't indicate that he will shoot a low score today and finish very much higher than his current 20th place position. I don't see Stricker catching Bubba Watson today, but the former champion (2010) looks more likely than Day to, at least, maintain his current top-20 position and challenge for a finish in the top-10. On a different course and when fully fit and not rusty, Day warrants strong favouritism in this matchup, but not today.
Steve Stricker to beat Jason Day +138 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Pinnacle, Stan James, The Greek and Carib]
Opposing Day for a couple of reasons: (i) this is his first start since The Masters seven weeks ago following a thumb injury, so rustiness should be an issue this week and his ball-striking stats confirm that he is some way off his best; (ii) even when he was fully fit and playing well, he has never really done well on this course with a best finish of 27th in his five previous starts and just four of sixteen rounds under par prior to this week. They don't indicate that he will shoot a low score today and finish very much higher than his current 20th place position. I don't see Stricker catching Bubba Watson today, but the former champion (2010) looks more likely than Day to, at least, maintain his current top-20 position and challenge for a finish in the top-10. On a different course and when fully fit and not rusty, Day warrants strong favouritism in this matchup, but not today.
5Dimes give you the 'ties lose' rather than 'ties push' option on a lot of 18-hole matchups, which can be better value IMO
