The NCAA Shutout Factor

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
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System;


Simply put:
Going against a team which shutout its opponent in its previous game & against a team which suffered a shutout in its previous game

'94 thru '97 combined 129-102 (56%)
Teams off a shutout win going 78-62 (56%)
Teams off a shutout loss going 40-51 (44%)

'98
Overall 32-34 (48%)

'99
Overall 34-24 (59%)

'00
Overall 40-38 (51%).

After breaking this system down it was discovered 2 more profitable trends appeared, namely;

1) Going against teams which were installed dogs or pk, & which posted a shutout in their previous contest.

2) Going against teams that are installed as favorites or pk, & face teams which were shutout in their previous game.



'94 - '00
both trends combined 85-62 (58%)
A year ago this overall system went a combined 34-25 (58%)

Bucking teams off a shutout loss went only 13-13 (50%)
Bucking them as dogs was a paltry 9-11 (45%)

Equaling a losing propostion.

However backing teams off a shutout win was a different story

2001 Teams off a shutout win

21 Winners - 12 Losers (64%)

As Underdogs 8 Winners - 3 Losers (73%)



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