The Open
- Thread starter Danforth Keeton
- Start date
Danny Willett (Tourn) +110
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
Lee Westwood (Tourn) +100
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
Lee Westwood (Tourn) +100
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
Tournament Matchup Plays for Open: Fowler +115 over Garcia; Stenson -145 over Oosthuizen; Rose -125 over Oosthuizen; Reed -115 over Watson; Kuchar -130 over Watson; and Stricker -110 over Kjeldsen.
Danny Willett (Tourn) +110
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
Lee Westwood (Tourn) +100
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
_______________________________
adding these
Jordan Spieth (Tourn) +115
over
Dustin Johnson (Tourn)
Jason Day (Tourn) -115
over
Dustin Johnson (Tourn)
Rory McIlroy (Tourn) -115
over
Dustin Johnson (Tourn)
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
Lee Westwood (Tourn) +100
over
Phil Mickelson (Tourn)
_______________________________
adding these
Jordan Spieth (Tourn) +115
over
Dustin Johnson (Tourn)
Jason Day (Tourn) -115
over
Dustin Johnson (Tourn)
Rory McIlroy (Tourn) -115
over
Dustin Johnson (Tourn)
Matt Kuchar 70
With five top-6 finishes in his last six starts, Kuchar is a player back to his best and most consistent form - that makes him a likely contender this week, particularly as his links play has improved considerably over the years and he has two top-15 finishes in the last four years in this event and finished 2nd at Gullane in the Scottish Open last year. I'd price him in the 40-50 range so there is value here, particularly as the current weather forecast suggests that the wind should rise considerably on Friday afternoon.
With five top-6 finishes in his last six starts, Kuchar is a player back to his best and most consistent form - that makes him a likely contender this week, particularly as his links play has improved considerably over the years and he has two top-15 finishes in the last four years in this event and finished 2nd at Gullane in the Scottish Open last year. I'd price him in the 40-50 range so there is value here, particularly as the current weather forecast suggests that the wind should rise considerably on Friday afternoon.
want to go back through my record, know I'm coming off of 2 straight losses, one of them a bad blowout loss but don't remember the particulars.......
anyway, like the following for round 1:
casey +100 vs schwartzel
charl put some new sticks in his bag for this week, becoming the newest member of team Parsons Exteme Golf - thinking that he feels comfortable with the new clubs but there has to be an adjustment period i would think, there certainly was for other PXG golfers
love The Open, my fave tourney
gl - burnsie
anyway, like the following for round 1:
casey +100 vs schwartzel
charl put some new sticks in his bag for this week, becoming the newest member of team Parsons Exteme Golf - thinking that he feels comfortable with the new clubs but there has to be an adjustment period i would think, there certainly was for other PXG golfers
love The Open, my fave tourney
gl - burnsie
The Open Plays
The Open Plays
I will be getting up early to watch, see ya off to bed:0028
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP ADAM SCOTT +2015
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP SERGIO GARCIA +2555
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP DANNY WILLETT +6225
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP RUSSELL KNOX +8550
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP ANDY SULLIVAN +8050
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP DANNY LEE +8415
Made this Rose play way back before the back, now it is at +4050
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP JUSTIN ROSE +2575
Round 1 Match Up
W SIMPSON (RND 1) -130 (T PIETERS (RND 1) vrs W SIMPSON (RND 1))
4 Rounds Match Ups
D WILLETT +105 (P MICKELSON vrs D WILLETT)
P REED -125 (B WATSON vrs P REED)
The Open Plays
I will be getting up early to watch, see ya off to bed:0028
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP ADAM SCOTT +2015
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP SERGIO GARCIA +2555
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP DANNY WILLETT +6225
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP RUSSELL KNOX +8550
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP ANDY SULLIVAN +8050
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP DANNY LEE +8415
Made this Rose play way back before the back, now it is at +4050
ODDS TO WIN THE 2016 OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP JUSTIN ROSE +2575
Round 1 Match Up
W SIMPSON (RND 1) -130 (T PIETERS (RND 1) vrs W SIMPSON (RND 1))
4 Rounds Match Ups
D WILLETT +105 (P MICKELSON vrs D WILLETT)
P REED -125 (B WATSON vrs P REED)
72 holes at 5 dimes:
Stricker -103 over Kjeldsen
Rahm -120 over Hoffman
1st round at 5 dimes:
Furyk +111 over Olesen/Clarke
Piercy +122 over Lovemark/Dunne
Woodland +125 over Morrison/Soomin Lee
Stricker -103 over Kjeldsen
Rahm -120 over Hoffman
1st round at 5 dimes:
Furyk +111 over Olesen/Clarke
Piercy +122 over Lovemark/Dunne
Woodland +125 over Morrison/Soomin Lee
14-6-3 ytd +7.80 units
another little tidbit about the play above -
Casy fired a 66 to tie for the 1st round lead in 2004 at Royal Troon - he faltered in round 2 and wound up in a tie for 20th but some good memories nonetheless and a slight experience edge over Charl who did not compete in The Open that year
as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose
LA Burns
Outrights:
Phil Mickelson(50/1) e.w.
Lee Westwood(45/1) e.w.
Branden Grace(30/1) e.w.
Rafael Cabrera Bello(100/1) e.w.
Padraig Harrington(125/1) e.w.
Matteo Manassero(200/1) e.w.
Alex Noren(100/1) e.w.
Thongchai Jaidee(175/1) e.w.
Ross Fisher(250/1) e.w.
Chris Wood(80/1) e.w.
Graeme McDowell(80/1) e.w.
Hideto Tanihara(66/1)(1/5 for 1-2-3-4) e.w. Top Rest of World
Soren Kjeldsen(66/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4) e.w. Top European
Jon Rahm(150/1) e.w. First Round Leader
Thongchai Jaidee(125/1) e.w. First Round Leader
GL
**************************************
Edit:
1/28/16 Link:
http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/showthread.php?596646-Farmers-Ins-San-Diago
ODDS and ENDS:
(1) My play on Mickelson from January is actually enhanced IMO by his missed cuts in the year?s first two majors, but I don?t think his chances benefit from the exceptionally rugged weather forecasts for the coming days, or his late start during the exceptionally benign conditions on Thursday.
(2) The weather forecast which has prevailed all week has had me favoring certain players with suitable credentials . . . What my roster is lacking is Americans, and with Friday?s forecast I?m not too sure my in-running addition(s) will address that deficiency.
(3) Troon in 2004 was a beauty for me that started with Thomas Levet(80/1) tied for first round leader, Carl Pettersson(200/1) catching a small e.w. piece for first round leader, and Westwood(80/1) e.w. finishing 4th, plus an in-running play on Westwood(22/1) e.w. as Top European after playing with Tiger the first two days, and almost hitting a 12/1 e.w. in-running parlay on Els as Top ROW and Mickelson as Top American . . . My cleaning up with Westwood at Troon in 2004, along with having 150/1 e.w. on Westwood in-running at The Masters this year, must make me one of the few persons on the planet with very solid profits of 15 or so units on my 25 or so plays on Westwood in major championships . . . I didn?t think the most treacherous greens in golf would suit Westwood at Oakmont, and Sunday there proved a debacle. But I liked what I saw from Lee at Augusta, I liked what he brought to Troon in 2004, and he gets a further lean for his bad weather, links and driving credentials.
(4) Before the BMW International I posted, ?My record in the week after a major is way better than the week before a major.? Alex Noren(50/1) helped flip that trend last week, and I won?t pick up that winning marker.
(5) On Friday night of this year?s BMW PGA I started a post of ODDS and ENDS that I never finished (which I still have saved) and it would have stated, ?Liking Chris Wood for Troon, but might ?pop early.? WITHOUT A DOUBT my biggest regret in wagering at the end of this season will be ?What a stupid I am? for not having made the connection to place an in-running wager on Wood after 36 holes at Wentworth (the odds must have been 100/1 or 80/1) . . . I?m now expecting a WD for this week, and as of yesterday I heard him state his preparation has been "not what I wanted" (more or less non-existent, actually), but I'm letting him carry my cash nevertheless, to avoid further serious regrets . . . Ross Fisher offers several interesting angles to my way of thinking, but realistically I'd be tickled if he came through as a value loser.
(6) The worse the weather gets, the more I like my plays on Harrington, McDowell and Kjeldsen, and the less I like my plays on Cabrera Bello and Noren.
GL
Phil Mickelson(50/1) e.w.
Lee Westwood(45/1) e.w.
Branden Grace(30/1) e.w.
Rafael Cabrera Bello(100/1) e.w.
Padraig Harrington(125/1) e.w.
Matteo Manassero(200/1) e.w.
Alex Noren(100/1) e.w.
Thongchai Jaidee(175/1) e.w.
Ross Fisher(250/1) e.w.
Chris Wood(80/1) e.w.
Graeme McDowell(80/1) e.w.
Hideto Tanihara(66/1)(1/5 for 1-2-3-4) e.w. Top Rest of World
Soren Kjeldsen(66/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4) e.w. Top European
Jon Rahm(150/1) e.w. First Round Leader
Thongchai Jaidee(125/1) e.w. First Round Leader
GL
**************************************
Edit:
1/28/16 Link:
http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/showthread.php?596646-Farmers-Ins-San-Diago
ODDS and ENDS:
(1) My play on Mickelson from January is actually enhanced IMO by his missed cuts in the year?s first two majors, but I don?t think his chances benefit from the exceptionally rugged weather forecasts for the coming days, or his late start during the exceptionally benign conditions on Thursday.
(2) The weather forecast which has prevailed all week has had me favoring certain players with suitable credentials . . . What my roster is lacking is Americans, and with Friday?s forecast I?m not too sure my in-running addition(s) will address that deficiency.
(3) Troon in 2004 was a beauty for me that started with Thomas Levet(80/1) tied for first round leader, Carl Pettersson(200/1) catching a small e.w. piece for first round leader, and Westwood(80/1) e.w. finishing 4th, plus an in-running play on Westwood(22/1) e.w. as Top European after playing with Tiger the first two days, and almost hitting a 12/1 e.w. in-running parlay on Els as Top ROW and Mickelson as Top American . . . My cleaning up with Westwood at Troon in 2004, along with having 150/1 e.w. on Westwood in-running at The Masters this year, must make me one of the few persons on the planet with very solid profits of 15 or so units on my 25 or so plays on Westwood in major championships . . . I didn?t think the most treacherous greens in golf would suit Westwood at Oakmont, and Sunday there proved a debacle. But I liked what I saw from Lee at Augusta, I liked what he brought to Troon in 2004, and he gets a further lean for his bad weather, links and driving credentials.
(4) Before the BMW International I posted, ?My record in the week after a major is way better than the week before a major.? Alex Noren(50/1) helped flip that trend last week, and I won?t pick up that winning marker.
(5) On Friday night of this year?s BMW PGA I started a post of ODDS and ENDS that I never finished (which I still have saved) and it would have stated, ?Liking Chris Wood for Troon, but might ?pop early.? WITHOUT A DOUBT my biggest regret in wagering at the end of this season will be ?What a stupid I am? for not having made the connection to place an in-running wager on Wood after 36 holes at Wentworth (the odds must have been 100/1 or 80/1) . . . I?m now expecting a WD for this week, and as of yesterday I heard him state his preparation has been "not what I wanted" (more or less non-existent, actually), but I'm letting him carry my cash nevertheless, to avoid further serious regrets . . . Ross Fisher offers several interesting angles to my way of thinking, but realistically I'd be tickled if he came through as a value loser.
(6) The worse the weather gets, the more I like my plays on Harrington, McDowell and Kjeldsen, and the less I like my plays on Cabrera Bello and Noren.
GL
Last edited:
Round 2 Match Ups
Round 2 Match Ups
A SCOTT (RND 2) -115 (A SCOTT (RND 2) vrs H STENSON (RND 2))
S PIERCY (RND 2) -135 (S PIERCY (RND 2) vrs J LOVEMARK (RND 2)
Round 2 Match Ups
A SCOTT (RND 2) -115 (A SCOTT (RND 2) vrs H STENSON (RND 2))
S PIERCY (RND 2) -135 (S PIERCY (RND 2) vrs J LOVEMARK (RND 2)
