the sad truth

nighthorse

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I figure anyone who bothers to read your opinions should know what they're getting. Anyone with a keyboard and no balls can type in other people's posts and not make their own calls and not post their own thread and/or post their overall record.

Anyway, I took an inventory. Found my balls and my past picks from the archive. In College BB, here's what it looks like (and it ain't too pretty):

1 unit : 10-19 (-10.9)

2 unit : 4-5 (-3.0)

TOTAL : 14-24 (-13.9)

Even if someone is consistently bad, that can useful as long they're consistent.

Remember to seperate facts from opinion and analysis. My opinion and analysis may not be trustworty, but I think I've been pretty accurate when I state something as fact.

With that ugly piece of housekeeping out of the way, here we go....

3 UNITS

@Bradley -5 ........small number at home. A lot of the in-conference stats are equal. The two differences are ft% (ISU bricks a lot, I've seen it in person) and rebounding. ISU regularly gets out bounded. Bradley also forces quite a few more turnovers at home and Indiana St. commits quite a few more on the road.

Rebounding will be the key. ISU last 4 road games rebound margin: -12,-10,-16,+1. Plus 1 was at N. Iowa which they won. (I still can't explain it, except that NIU just didn't show up). If Bradley wins the rebounding war, and the stats show that they should...they win and cover easily.

2 UNITS

Fresno +8 .......they match up with Tulsa very well. Swanson not playing at 100% or not at all hurts Tulsa here. Fresno has won the last 6 meetings and the last 3 in Tulsa.

Will post more if I can find anything. GTLA
 

nighthorse

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Adding....

1 UNIT

detroit -7 They still have that home win streak, don't they?

cal -4 & oregon -5.5 trend plays

Tenn. St. -6 SEMO has been good to me....hoping for one more lousy performance.

Fla. International +19 WKY hasn't been blowing people away (one 20 point win in last ten). Fla Int has been competitive on the road of late. (fla int. 10-3 ATS)

Cal-Irvine -5.5 The UCLA of the mid-majors. Thinking they can't dip down to Riverside's level.
 
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