The Shell Houston Open

[Tommyjay]

One week before the big game.

Crane to win 80-1

72 holes
Kirk over Streelman +100

R1 Stanley over Els and Kim +175
R1 Wagner over Stricker and Mahan +225

5Dimes and SIA

 

[Dallasbetgolf]

McDowell 25-1 win, 12 1/2 place, 6-1 show

Cauley 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show

Hanson 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show

Moore 40-1 win, 20-1 place, 10-1 show

Good luck to all!

 

[Whalers Rule]

1 unit ew

Lovemark 250-1
Vegas 300-1
Lee 300-1
Holmes 100-1

 

[Another Steve]

Chad Campbell is my Pick in the Contest, again not there for me to pick

Outrights
ODDS TO WIN SHELL HOUSTON OPEN HUNTER MAHAN +1800
ODDS TO WIN SHELL HOUSTON OPEN JOHNSON WAGNER +4000
ODDS TO WIN SHELL HOUSTON OPEN RYAN MOORE +5000

 

[Stanley]

Round 1 play (2pts):

Robert Allenby to beat Louis Oosthuizen +100 @ WSEX [available generally]
A marginal play at plus-odds, though unsure of the value at lower odds. Allenby is a former winner of this event back in 2000 at The Woodlands, but his record in this event is generally very good with no missed cuts in seven previous visits and a record of having finished 34th (2008) and 6th (last year) in his two previous visits to the Redstone course. Oosthuizen finished behind Allenby in both 2008 and 2011 (his only previous starts in Texas) and even though he played well last week, he had struggled in his two previous events, withdrawing with illness from the Honda Classic and finishing 60th of 74 in the Cadillac Championship. At plus-odds and ties void, there is just enough value to warrant a play here.

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Lee Westwood(10/1) e.w.
Henrik Stenson(40/1) e.w.
Kyle Stanley(50/1) e.w.
J.B. Holmes(100/1) e.w.
Paul Casey(100/1) e.w.
Chris DiMarco(225/1) e.w.

GL

 

[sharky17]

TOURNAMENT

ANGEL CABRERA (-143) over DARREN CLARKE

ROUND 1

JEFF OVERTON (+111) over PETER HANSON

:toast:

 

[TLankford]

R1

Brian Harmon over Camillo -130 1.5u

 

[Tommyjay]

R2 Wagner over Stricker and Mahan +215

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 2

JEFF OVERTON (+110) over PETER HANSON

:toast:

 

[TLankford]

Oosthuizan --130 over Allenby 1.5u

 

[sports student]

3rd round at 5 dimes:

Huh +125 over Davis
Stanley -135 over Harrington

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 3

PHIL MICKELSON (-127) over LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN

:toast:

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 4

JAMES DRISCOLL (+107) over RYAN PALMER

 

[Another Steve]

4th Round Match Ups

J HUH (RND 4) -110 (JB HOLMES (RND 4) vrs J HUH (RND 4))
T GAINEY (RND 4) -115 (B WEEKLEY (RND 4) vrs T GAINEY (RND 4))
K BRADLEY (RND 4) -115 (K BRADLEY (RND 4) vrs P MICKELSON (RND 4))

 

[Betone]

Round 4

Phil Mickelson -110

vs

Keegan Bradley

:0008

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

Round 4 Matchups:

E ELS vrs L WESTWOOD (4R)) +130
JB HOLMES vrs J HUH (4R)) -120
J SENDEN vrs J OVERTON (4R)) +110

1 unit each on Holmes, Els, and Overton.

 

[Stanley]

Round 4 play (4pts):

Ryan Palmer to beat James Driscoll -119 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Opposing Driscoll who dropped from 2nd to 5th in the third round, but is still in a very unusual position: in the last six seasons: he has started the final round in the top-10 just once on the PGA Tour. Palmer has been in that position six times in the last two years along, always remaining in the top-10, winning once and reaching a playoff one other time. With Palmer dominating the h2h stats 9-4-0 since the start of last year, I can only see a continuation of yesterday's movement on the leaderboard with Palmer moving upwards while Driscoll slips further back.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Palmer tb Huh -110; Els tb Wagner -111; Jobe tb Taylor -125; Holmes tb Huh -113; Perez tb Taylor +105; Mahan tb Oosthuizen -109; Weekley tb Driscoll -125]