I'm doing OK, thank you. I might have made Tiger's list again today but I'm not sure. Still wondering why my 4-2 Friday missed the list.
OK, let's lead off the with the VALUE OF THE WEEK:
The game in Texas is now over. Eight Boston relievers threw 199 pitches. Kim threw 64 of those alone. Urbina went 2.1 innings. Beck went 3 and three 37 pitches. Yes, they are lucky enough to have the late Sunday game but is there any possibility that Pedro won't be on a pitch count?? Eighty? Now, the Rangers also burned a little bit of pen tonight and Mahomes, Zim and Michalak will certainly see little or no action Sunday. I'm just guessing that Davis makes it further than Pedro. I'm also guessing that Pedro will not be sharp and that 170 is inflated and going higher when the public gets a look at it. I will play Texas +160 for the value and because I think that it's a winner. Trying to figure out why not to play the over 9' here, too
Sunday, I will be playing too many games but can't pass Schilling at this deflated price even though it is the time of year to begin fading him. I think the DBacks pen will carry him if they have to.
Acevedo looked terrible last time out but the Reds can win on the road. Dunn's hot as can be and Vidro's still sliding.
The Rockies have a few things going for them tomorrow. The Brews lose a lot at home and the number 9 spot for Colorado has a home run hitter in it. Something few NL teams can boast.
I think that the Dodgers might have another road victory left in them and can beat Burkett who loses at Turner. Two low ERA pitchers, have to look at the ump because an under might be a good play.
No Sweeney, maybe no Randa or Mayne or Alicea will equal no victory for the Royals who will extend their losing streak to six games. Radke's thumb is healed, Stein's a reliever. This game looks like an over. Ump ideas?
I like the Jays as a small dog with a good young right hander going against a weak Mercedes.
Leiter could limit the Giants to 2-3 runs and Ortiz will do the same to the Mets. Both guys are off great LG performances. Mets run output usually makes them a fine under play.
Automatic Two Unit Play. Rekar is fresh off the DL. Garland has had some nice outings and the Sox will get to Rekar early. 5-0 before they can get him out of there.
Schoenweis will beat El Duque. I doubt that Hernandez will find his form in his second game back.
Houston/Pitt goes over with Villone and Williams not being ready for prime time.
Gonzalez and Manuel will not be there. The M's beat the Tribe. Good run line play.
Tigers remain in a power brownout nailing down their 12th one run game since the AS break. I used to like Weaver a lot more than I do. He does not give up the long ball but has lost four straight. Oakland wins and the under 9' looks strong too.
The Schilling problem: he is #1 in the NL in IPs and this is the time of year he tends to weaken. But . . . The RETURNING PITCHER THEORY holds sway over all negatives! This is Curt's first time back in Veteran's since the Phillies sent him packing. He wins. Fig has been allowing nearly a run/inning in his past couple starts. Of course, he is an ex-DBack, but the RPT does not apply to him at home.
Big Mac's still out and the two pitchers are pretty darn good. Cubs/Cards under.
PICKS:
Dodgers +150
Mets/SF under 7'
DBacks -155
Reds +110
Stros/Bucs over 10
Rockies pick
Cubs/Cards under 8' (guessing, pending umps)
White Sox -130 for Two Units
Toronto +115
Twinkies -135
Oak par'd to under 9' to save the juice and get back 2 units for 1 risked
Seattle -1' runs pick
Angels -110
Rangers +160
Rangers/Red Sox over 9'
Also played Fresnut State +8' and Cuse +7.
Too many plays. I will appreciate feedback on umps and anything else. In respect to MadJack's "public knowledge" plays idea. The above are rock solid public plays with only a few exceptions.
GL
J
OK, let's lead off the with the VALUE OF THE WEEK:
The game in Texas is now over. Eight Boston relievers threw 199 pitches. Kim threw 64 of those alone. Urbina went 2.1 innings. Beck went 3 and three 37 pitches. Yes, they are lucky enough to have the late Sunday game but is there any possibility that Pedro won't be on a pitch count?? Eighty? Now, the Rangers also burned a little bit of pen tonight and Mahomes, Zim and Michalak will certainly see little or no action Sunday. I'm just guessing that Davis makes it further than Pedro. I'm also guessing that Pedro will not be sharp and that 170 is inflated and going higher when the public gets a look at it. I will play Texas +160 for the value and because I think that it's a winner. Trying to figure out why not to play the over 9' here, too
Sunday, I will be playing too many games but can't pass Schilling at this deflated price even though it is the time of year to begin fading him. I think the DBacks pen will carry him if they have to.
Acevedo looked terrible last time out but the Reds can win on the road. Dunn's hot as can be and Vidro's still sliding.
The Rockies have a few things going for them tomorrow. The Brews lose a lot at home and the number 9 spot for Colorado has a home run hitter in it. Something few NL teams can boast.
I think that the Dodgers might have another road victory left in them and can beat Burkett who loses at Turner. Two low ERA pitchers, have to look at the ump because an under might be a good play.
No Sweeney, maybe no Randa or Mayne or Alicea will equal no victory for the Royals who will extend their losing streak to six games. Radke's thumb is healed, Stein's a reliever. This game looks like an over. Ump ideas?
I like the Jays as a small dog with a good young right hander going against a weak Mercedes.
Leiter could limit the Giants to 2-3 runs and Ortiz will do the same to the Mets. Both guys are off great LG performances. Mets run output usually makes them a fine under play.
Automatic Two Unit Play. Rekar is fresh off the DL. Garland has had some nice outings and the Sox will get to Rekar early. 5-0 before they can get him out of there.
Schoenweis will beat El Duque. I doubt that Hernandez will find his form in his second game back.
Houston/Pitt goes over with Villone and Williams not being ready for prime time.
Gonzalez and Manuel will not be there. The M's beat the Tribe. Good run line play.
Tigers remain in a power brownout nailing down their 12th one run game since the AS break. I used to like Weaver a lot more than I do. He does not give up the long ball but has lost four straight. Oakland wins and the under 9' looks strong too.
The Schilling problem: he is #1 in the NL in IPs and this is the time of year he tends to weaken. But . . . The RETURNING PITCHER THEORY holds sway over all negatives! This is Curt's first time back in Veteran's since the Phillies sent him packing. He wins. Fig has been allowing nearly a run/inning in his past couple starts. Of course, he is an ex-DBack, but the RPT does not apply to him at home.
Big Mac's still out and the two pitchers are pretty darn good. Cubs/Cards under.
PICKS:
Dodgers +150
Mets/SF under 7'
DBacks -155
Reds +110
Stros/Bucs over 10
Rockies pick
Cubs/Cards under 8' (guessing, pending umps)
White Sox -130 for Two Units
Toronto +115
Twinkies -135
Oak par'd to under 9' to save the juice and get back 2 units for 1 risked
Seattle -1' runs pick
Angels -110
Rangers +160
Rangers/Red Sox over 9'
Also played Fresnut State +8' and Cuse +7.
Too many plays. I will appreciate feedback on umps and anything else. In respect to MadJack's "public knowledge" plays idea. The above are rock solid public plays with only a few exceptions.
GL
J
