Tuesday Morning Quarterback - October 9, 2007
They Scored How Many Points!?!
By SPORTSBETTING.COM
The beer commercials featuring clips of ex-NFL coaches during old press conferences can usually fetch a laugh or two from any crowd, and one of the best has got to be the one when Jim Mora shrugs off his chances of making the playoffs.
?Playoffs? Playoffs?? ? Ah, that astonished look on Mora?s face alone tells the complete story of his 0-6 career post-season record. And it is that certain dumbfoundedness that can be used to help handicap games that fit under the title of this segment, between a new head coach and a division rival.
There is a host of reasons for all coaches, old and new, to take divisional matchups more seriously than the other 10 games on the schedule. Playoff implications, pride, or even the just the fact that division rivals meet twice each season are just a few. Maybe for a new coach getting ready to square off against a rival it?s easier summoning up that extra bit of fight from his troops since several of them will have played the opponent in previous years, thus holding a ?special? place for them in their hearts.
Whatever the case, numbers from the first five weeks of the season definitely make it worthwhile looking at a possible play on the ?Over.?
- Rookie head coaches have produced 9 overs and 1 under when facing a division rival.
- When playing at home these games have made it over the total five out of five times.
- On the road, four out of five games went over.
Whether the team was favored or an underdog made little difference, and while teams with a new head coach can usually expect to play the role of the dog several times throughout the year, Dallas and Pittsburgh have assured that won?t happen.
Side betting has not offered quite as much in the way of a profit, but is worth noting that the six road teams in this profile have gone 3-0-3 ATS.
There is one game "live" in Week 6, when Oakland plays at San Diego, and the only thing unique about this matchup is that both teams are being run by a new skip this season. Oakland has done its share of scoring this year, averaging 25.5 points per game, and it has led to four straight overs for the Raiders to start the season. Consider the 1-11 O/U stretch that Oakland finished its 2006 season ? and Art Shell?s career ? with, and perhaps Lane Kiffin?s presence is making a difference.
San Diego?s record in divisional matchups tends to lean to the low side (3-11 O/U since Week 12, 2004), but the Bolts are have produced five straight overs in the week before their regular season bye.
Divisional scheduling means several more "live" games under this profile in the weeks ahead, including three in Week 7, so keep your eye on the lines. The total for the Raiders-San Diego matchup is currently sitting at 44.5 SPORTSBETTING.COM.
Good luck with the rest of the card.
Check out SPORTSBETTING.COM for great bonuses and promotions.
They Scored How Many Points!?!
By SPORTSBETTING.COM
The beer commercials featuring clips of ex-NFL coaches during old press conferences can usually fetch a laugh or two from any crowd, and one of the best has got to be the one when Jim Mora shrugs off his chances of making the playoffs.
?Playoffs? Playoffs?? ? Ah, that astonished look on Mora?s face alone tells the complete story of his 0-6 career post-season record. And it is that certain dumbfoundedness that can be used to help handicap games that fit under the title of this segment, between a new head coach and a division rival.
There is a host of reasons for all coaches, old and new, to take divisional matchups more seriously than the other 10 games on the schedule. Playoff implications, pride, or even the just the fact that division rivals meet twice each season are just a few. Maybe for a new coach getting ready to square off against a rival it?s easier summoning up that extra bit of fight from his troops since several of them will have played the opponent in previous years, thus holding a ?special? place for them in their hearts.
Whatever the case, numbers from the first five weeks of the season definitely make it worthwhile looking at a possible play on the ?Over.?
- Rookie head coaches have produced 9 overs and 1 under when facing a division rival.
- When playing at home these games have made it over the total five out of five times.
- On the road, four out of five games went over.
Whether the team was favored or an underdog made little difference, and while teams with a new head coach can usually expect to play the role of the dog several times throughout the year, Dallas and Pittsburgh have assured that won?t happen.
Side betting has not offered quite as much in the way of a profit, but is worth noting that the six road teams in this profile have gone 3-0-3 ATS.
There is one game "live" in Week 6, when Oakland plays at San Diego, and the only thing unique about this matchup is that both teams are being run by a new skip this season. Oakland has done its share of scoring this year, averaging 25.5 points per game, and it has led to four straight overs for the Raiders to start the season. Consider the 1-11 O/U stretch that Oakland finished its 2006 season ? and Art Shell?s career ? with, and perhaps Lane Kiffin?s presence is making a difference.
San Diego?s record in divisional matchups tends to lean to the low side (3-11 O/U since Week 12, 2004), but the Bolts are have produced five straight overs in the week before their regular season bye.
Divisional scheduling means several more "live" games under this profile in the weeks ahead, including three in Week 7, so keep your eye on the lines. The total for the Raiders-San Diego matchup is currently sitting at 44.5 SPORTSBETTING.COM.
Good luck with the rest of the card.
Check out SPORTSBETTING.COM for great bonuses and promotions.
