This Buds for you.Mich Champ

[DOGS THAT BARK]

One again Sportingbet 1st out of my outs with lines????
Had 2 long one I was wanting to hawk but they must be real long as they are listed only to 100/1 for now. Was going to peek at Byrum and Scherrer.

However will pop my weekly unofficial $10 accumulator there before adjustments are made.

Bet Id: 5585617

Type: Accumulator


Unit Stake: 10.00 $

Cost: 10.00 $
You could win: 108.02 $

This bet consists of: Selection Backing Bet Type Odds

Rollins v McCarron McCarron Match 1/1

Mattiace v JP Hayes Mattiace Match 4/6

JJ Henry v Triplett Triplett Match 4/5

Toms v Duval Toms Match 4/5


Tagged em a lightly last week
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bet Id: 5546375 - Click here for a full breakdown of your bet.

Placing Time: Mon Sep 23 17:50:17 2002

Type: Accumulator

Basic Stake: 10.00 $

Return: 129.89 $

This bet consists of: Selection Backing Bet Type Odds

Kaye v Tway Tway Match 11/10

Roberts v Huston Roberts Match 10/11

J Edwards v C Smith J Edwards Match 4/5

JJ Henry v Lehman JJ Henry Match 4/5
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 hole plays
Toms -125 over Duval @ Sportingbet (ties lose)
Hate to back one going for 3 in a row (leonard last week) but both been gone for while and Toms has to have the better attitude on return--and no prob fading Duval is there big M.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
adding
Weir -110 over Riley Cascade
Like Weirs chances to win this thing and he only has to beat one here.
Janzen +125 over Howell @ $plays
Mostly go against Howell who has been struggling with putter,will oppose take quality player with these odds.
Rollins + 100 over Leggett
Will give local boy a shot.

 

[Monarch]

Quick off the mark this week DTB .

Toms to beat Duval 4/5 @ Sportingbet 3 Units.
Duval played ok during the Ryder Cup but still threw in a whole load of bogies/doubles. Toms was the best US player all week and should be expected to have an excellent event.

 

[bettingmad]

Monarch,
Is it you laying Duval at 11.00 for this at betfair?

 

[Monarch]

Not me BM. I'll be the one laying the 100s .

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

link to weather and sports in williamsburg
http://weather.mgnetwork.com/cgi-bi...orecast=zandh&pands=williamsburg+pa&Submit=GO

With cool morning rain and poor showing across the creek Hoch may be good fade in matches.

Oh now I see Tiger had fever in Ryder Cup!!! Hes got to be sickest kid I ever saw. Only plays about 12 events and this is bout 5th report on being ill,which incidently coincides with his bad tourneys.My advise is can Butch in favor of attending physician to take to tourneys with him.

 

[milpalm]

Riley 33/1 Bet365. Course form reads 12/9 and he should be confident after his breakthrough win.

Triplett 50/1 Centrebet. 2nd last year and is decent form.

Weir 30/1 Centrebet. Usually plays well at this time of the year and showed signs of form in his last start. Course form reads 12/2/3.

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1 unit):

David Toms to win 11/1 e.w. @ Bet365
Backed a player last week who was going for the three-peat and had the distraction of the Ryder Cup and he missed the cut. Should be a clear sign to avoid Toms this week, but not at this price. He was the best player in the U.S. Ryder Cup team, not just because he was the leading points winner, but because he had the right temperament to cope with the event. Against such a weak field, including players who would be more affected by last Sunday's rout, he is backable at this price. Has done everything except win this season and this represents an excellent opportunity.

Fred Funk to finish in the top-four 5/1 @ Centrebet
Funk is another who has done everything except win this season and he would certainly be a popular winner. But again on Sunday he faltered in the home stretch, though it is doubtful that he could have kept up with Roberts' final birdie burst. Ignoring the WGC event in Ireland, he has finished in the top-4 in four of his last five starts and five of his last seven. Has not played Kingsmill too well in the last four years, but had four top-10 finishes in his four visits beforehand. Unable to win, the place-only seems the safest approach. Note that this play is provisional at the moment. If Five Dimes offer at least the same odds for a top-5 finish, this will be the final play.

Mike Weir to win 30/1 e.w. @ Centrebet
Thought about Triplett who finished 2nd last year (50/1 @ Centrebet), but sided with the Canadian instead. Has had a steady year with just two missed cuts and played well in Ireland two weeks ago before falling back to 15th. With an excellent record in this event - 3rd, 2nd and 12th in the last three years - this should be another good week for Weir. Has yet to maintain his record of winning every year on the PGA Tour since 1999, but he is certainly good enough to win against this field.

 

[bettingmad]

Not taking too much interest in the golf outrights recently, betfair is changing my habits, not trying to back winners anymore as much as laying bad prices.

Will try a tiny (and it is tiny as the price disappeared between my intended 2 bets) interest on dodgy Phil Tataurangi at 125/1 with Paddy Power. He has managed a runner-up spot here in the past and had a good last 3 rounds when 14th in Texas last week. Earlier top 5's this season in the AT & T and Colonial. Hopefully if I say "Can't see him winning this week".... he will duly oblige!!

Later... the price re-appeared. They must have initially been worried about the liability on my first bet.... but then when they saw who had placed it.... broke out of the sweat.

 

[Ian]

Bettingmad
Betfair has certainly changed the way I bet this weeks so far are
Begay 120 and 150
Crane 160
Campbell 200
Still working on a few more
Begay certainly of interest as a previous winner - last week he was top 7 for DA and GIR and if it wasn't for a 7 hole spell with 5 bogeys he would have been up there in the van come Sunday

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Outrights Going with some longer ones here and will play fewer as I agree with Stan that his selections have excellent chance of taking up at least 2 of top 5 spots and with 5dimes hacking odds on top five have opted to top 4 at Oly on 2 selections. Did cut Perez out of in the money last week but with ties for 5th did not lose much.

1/2 unit to place @ Oly top 4
Tripp 12/1 (15/2 @ 5dimes)
Mattiace 15/1 (10/1 @ 5dimes)

and 1/2 unit to place @ 5dimes top 5
Scherrer 30/1

Tripps had some time off and may be fresch instead of rusty. Has a 2nd and 6th here last 5 and ranks 12th in scoring ave of field on this course.

Mattiace finished 5th here last year and game has improved much however current form not great.

Scherrer justly deserves long odds but has picked up pace on cuts made,did finish 6th few weeks back and has 2 top fives here in last 3 years. I'm gonna give him a look at these odds.

 

[steved]

1 ew Coceres 125/1 (PPower)..on my short list and also being ducked by two of the sharper UK books on the US Tour this year..
1 ew Tanaka 100/1 (VChandler)..strange in that I picked him with Coceres in the NEC..both popped their head above the parapet early on, then slipped away..must be looking for US Tour card..
1 ew Triplett 40/1 (BSquare) nicely rested, same as he did last year, repeat of that second place will do!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

added a few 72 holes in that thread

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (1 unit):

Lee Janzen to beat Mark Brooks -118 @ Easybets
Brooks does not play well at Kingsmill where he is 1-4-0 against Janzen in the last five years. With his form being very erratic at the moment, this does not look to be one of his good weeks. Steady, mid-table finish from Janzen will be enough.

David Toms to beat David Duval -125 @ Sportingbet or Sporting Odds
Duval has finished lower down the leaderboard every year since he defended his title in 1998 and in his current form, which was very scrappy last week, he is unlikely to secure his first top-20 finish since May. Toms is deservedly available at much shorter odds in this matchup: -175 @ Olympic.

 

[Monarch]

Adding:

Adding:

Funk v Duval 9/10 @ B&W 3 Units.

 

[Caesar]

Today's Final Practice Round

Today's Final Practice Round

Len Mattiace looked very comfortable today and was hitting the ball right where he wanted (safe side of all greens). Like his chances for strong showing since he had 36 hole lead last year, but mentally struggled on Saturday for 74 (finished 5th). Plus his two wins this year has momentum on his side.
Sounds like a good play DTB
Hometown (Richmond, VA) boy Rollins looked like he has been partying all week or something (that may be a stretch), but he was constantly talking to friends all over the course and really didn't seem to have his head in the game. His recent win has created a celebrity like status here at Kingsmill and I personally believe he is falling in that trap.
Be careful of that one DTB
Just some thoughts...hope it helps.

 

[Stanley]

Adding (1 unit):

Charles Howell to beat Luke Donald -115 @ Bet365
Surprising matchup, but it is indicative of how much Howell has under-achieved this year. Still very capable of winning this title, much more than Donald, and is backed accordingly. Finished 3rd last year so it should be a much better weekend after taking last weekend off.

Chris Riley to beat J.J. Henry -140 @ Bet365
Henry finished 6th last year to beat Riley, but with finishes of 9th and 12th in the last two years, Riley should fancy his chances this week. He does have the knowledge that he can close out events after he capped a fine late summer with victory in the Reno-Tahoe Open. That is something that Henry has struggled with and he can be counted upon to fall back on Sunday if he does get too close to the lead.

 

[bettingmad]

Caesar,
Thanks for the info.... I was looking for another reason to back Mattiace and after your comments I couldn't resist the 80/1 I had noticed at Ladbrokes which is 30 points higher than anywhere else.
Make sure you add a few in-running notes if you go to watch and have time to report back.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

I echo Steves sentiments Caesar. Appreciate the on course commentary. Thanks Bud.

 

[Ian]

Added a couple more - Mr Unpredictable Kuchar 120/1 and little Steve Allan who has been quietly putting together a good run of figures 350/1