Alabama +17
First off, I rarely bet my Tide because I'm a homer and I don't like to bet with my heart. But you asked for my opinion so here you go...
This is basically UcheaT's bowl game. They are 2-4 and there is no way they get to 6 wins this year. They may win twice more this season (Memphis and Vandy).
The Viles have played two games against non-BCS teams (UT-Martin and UAB). It took 2 Overtimes to beat the Blazers and also score 32 points (while giving up 29). In their four games against Oregon, Florida, Georgia and LSU they did not score more than 17 points (avg. 14.5 points) and allowed an average of 34 points in those games.
Nick Saban called his team out this week publicly about not being physical and man enough on the field. After a less than spectacular outing at home against Ole Miss I think they come out on fire this week. I hope that our coaching staff remembers that Mark Ingram is still in the backfield and in my opinion is the key to the final games of this season.
Last year was a total shock for sure. But Alabama was in total control until the final 3 minutes. They were driving to run out the clock when Ingram had the only fumble of his career. UcheaT got the ball back, scored a TD then recovered an onside kick. Too close for comfort! I think that they remember last year's game and want to go into their off week with a positive outing.
The injuries are mounting on Rocky Top and Dooley has talked about playing his freshman QB at length during the first half. The only thing that worries me is will Saban let up against Dooley? He definitely called off the dogs when we played Penn State in mid-September (I believe out of respect for Paterno).
Unless Alabama decides to completey shit the bed I think they win this one going away 35-10. Lots of points to lay for sure but if you held a gun to my head that's how I would wager.
