This Week's Service plays
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
North Coast - Power Sweep
4* New Mexico - phone 4 star
4* Washington
3* Houston
3* Fla St
2* Duke
2* New Mexico - PS 2*
Underdog - Idaho
Tech - Iowa
Situation - San Diego St
Revenge - none
NFL
4* New Orleans
3* Houston
2* Indy
3* Over Sea/Hou
3* Under Indy/Jax
3* Under Cincy/Cleveland
2* Over Chi/Det
2* Over AZ/TB
Angles: Denver, Indy (L5 angles, 0-5)
Information: 4 straight ATS win teams, Maryland, Wash St, Toledo, Wisky & Wyoming
4 straight ATS loss teams, FIU, NM St, Notre Dame,
4 straight over teams: LSU, NM St, Troy
4 straight under teams: La Tech, Toledo, Mass, WV
Computer plays: 3-4 ATS last wk, this week's, Vandy by 11, Arizona St by 1, Army by 3, Temple by 1, ULM by 3
GL!
4* New Mexico - phone 4 star
4* Washington
3* Houston
3* Fla St
2* Duke
2* New Mexico - PS 2*
Underdog - Idaho
Tech - Iowa
Situation - San Diego St
Revenge - none
NFL
4* New Orleans
3* Houston
2* Indy
3* Over Sea/Hou
3* Under Indy/Jax
3* Under Cincy/Cleveland
2* Over Chi/Det
2* Over AZ/TB
Angles: Denver, Indy (L5 angles, 0-5)
Information: 4 straight ATS win teams, Maryland, Wash St, Toledo, Wisky & Wyoming
4 straight ATS loss teams, FIU, NM St, Notre Dame,
4 straight over teams: LSU, NM St, Troy
4 straight under teams: La Tech, Toledo, Mass, WV
Computer plays: 3-4 ATS last wk, this week's, Vandy by 11, Arizona St by 1, Army by 3, Temple by 1, ULM by 3
GL!
Interesting read for this wk!!
Mark Lawrence
Brick Walls
A good measure of a team?s defensive prowess is the ability to hold an opponent below their average in offensive yardage.
The best barometer is finding teams that hold EVERY opponent to a season-low yardage mark.
Here is a list of each team that has managed to hold EVERY opponent to a season-low yardage mark this campaign: Arizona, Arizona State, Florida, Florida State, Michigan State, Ohio State, Rice, South Carolina, Stanford, USC, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Washington and Washington State.
On the other side of the coin, only one team has allowed season-high yards in every game: New Mexico State.
Freshen Up
According to our powerful database, it seems Game Four of the College Football season is often times a critical stepping-stone for teams who play with a week of rest.
This is especially true for teams that are either playing at home off a win, or on the road off their first defeat of the season. Check out these refreshing numbers:
? When these reinvigorated home teams take the field off a win with a week of rest in Game Four of the season, they are a super-strong 70-33-1 ATS overall since 1980.
This week finds Buffalo, Oregon and UCF with smiles on their faces.
Dress these rested Game Four hosts with a measure of revenge and they rocket to 26-9 ATS. And if they dress up as a favorite or dog of 10 or less points, they zoom to 20-4 ATS. With that, Buffalo will be looking to rise to new heights this Saturday.
? Meanwhile, Game Four rested road teams who find themselves off their first loss of the season show their muscle, having gone 20-10 ATS over the same span in this role. East Carolina fits the bill this week.
And finally, if these rested Game Four road teams are off an initial defeat of 7 or less points, their record climbs to 11-2 ATS. East Carolina will seek the bounty this week.
Now, if you?re either a Bulls or a Pirates fan this week, raise your hand if you?re sure!
Inside Out
One of our favorite statistical approaches to the football card each week is examining teams who won their last game on the scoreboard but lost the yards on the stat sheet.
We call it winning ?inside-out?.
College football teams playing this week who won the game but lost the stats in their previous game include: Buffalo, Fresno State, Houston, Middle Tennessee State, Minnesota, Nevada, South Alabama, Stanford and USC.
In the NFL, the smoke and mirrors winners included: Baltimore, Cincinnati, Chicago, Kansas City and Miami.
Note: Fresno State and the Dolphins have won all three games this season despite being outgained in every contest.
Slow Down
On the NFL totals front, there were no games win Week Three in which any team ran 80 or more plays on offense.
The teams who ran the quickest offenses last week were: Vikings (79), Chiefs (77), Packers (77), Bills and Browns (75), Panther and Saints and Redskins (74), and the Broncos (73).
They combined to go 4-5 UNDER, a reversal of fortune for OVER players using this formula during the first two weeks of the season.
Stat Of The Week
LSU?s Les Miles is 22-1 straight up in his last twenty-three games in which his team is undefeated and the opponent is not.
Mark Lawrence
Brick Walls
A good measure of a team?s defensive prowess is the ability to hold an opponent below their average in offensive yardage.
The best barometer is finding teams that hold EVERY opponent to a season-low yardage mark.
Here is a list of each team that has managed to hold EVERY opponent to a season-low yardage mark this campaign: Arizona, Arizona State, Florida, Florida State, Michigan State, Ohio State, Rice, South Carolina, Stanford, USC, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Washington and Washington State.
On the other side of the coin, only one team has allowed season-high yards in every game: New Mexico State.
Freshen Up
According to our powerful database, it seems Game Four of the College Football season is often times a critical stepping-stone for teams who play with a week of rest.
This is especially true for teams that are either playing at home off a win, or on the road off their first defeat of the season. Check out these refreshing numbers:
? When these reinvigorated home teams take the field off a win with a week of rest in Game Four of the season, they are a super-strong 70-33-1 ATS overall since 1980.
This week finds Buffalo, Oregon and UCF with smiles on their faces.
Dress these rested Game Four hosts with a measure of revenge and they rocket to 26-9 ATS. And if they dress up as a favorite or dog of 10 or less points, they zoom to 20-4 ATS. With that, Buffalo will be looking to rise to new heights this Saturday.
? Meanwhile, Game Four rested road teams who find themselves off their first loss of the season show their muscle, having gone 20-10 ATS over the same span in this role. East Carolina fits the bill this week.
And finally, if these rested Game Four road teams are off an initial defeat of 7 or less points, their record climbs to 11-2 ATS. East Carolina will seek the bounty this week.
Now, if you?re either a Bulls or a Pirates fan this week, raise your hand if you?re sure!
Inside Out
One of our favorite statistical approaches to the football card each week is examining teams who won their last game on the scoreboard but lost the yards on the stat sheet.
We call it winning ?inside-out?.
College football teams playing this week who won the game but lost the stats in their previous game include: Buffalo, Fresno State, Houston, Middle Tennessee State, Minnesota, Nevada, South Alabama, Stanford and USC.
In the NFL, the smoke and mirrors winners included: Baltimore, Cincinnati, Chicago, Kansas City and Miami.
Note: Fresno State and the Dolphins have won all three games this season despite being outgained in every contest.
Slow Down
On the NFL totals front, there were no games win Week Three in which any team ran 80 or more plays on offense.
The teams who ran the quickest offenses last week were: Vikings (79), Chiefs (77), Packers (77), Bills and Browns (75), Panther and Saints and Redskins (74), and the Broncos (73).
They combined to go 4-5 UNDER, a reversal of fortune for OVER players using this formula during the first two weeks of the season.
Stat Of The Week
LSU?s Les Miles is 22-1 straight up in his last twenty-three games in which his team is undefeated and the opponent is not.
GL![/QUOTE]
CFB TOTALS[/B]
UAB/Vanderbilt - (Over 54.5)
Army/Louisiana Tech - (Under 54.5)
Akron/Bowling Green - (Over 53)
Kent St./Western Michigan - (Under 51.5)
East Carolina/North Carolina - (Over 59)
Air Force/Nevada - (Under 61)[/QUOTE]
POINTWISE
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
WASHINGTON over Arizona RATING: 1
FLORIDA STATE over Boston College RATING: 1
UTAH STATE over San Jose State RATING: 2
ILLINOIS over Miami-Ohio RATING: 3
WYOMING over Texas State RATING: 4
NAVY over Western Kentucky RATING: 4
OREGON over California RATING: 5
NO CAROLINA ST over Cent Mich RATING: 5
COLLEGE KEYS:
6-0 SWEEP!
TOP 5 COLLEGE THIS YEAR:
15-4[/QUOTE]
SPORTS REPORTER
SUPER BEST BET[/B]
VIRGINIA over *PITTSBURGH by 14
VIRGINIA, 34-20.
BEST BET
WYOMING over *TEXAS STATE by 24 WYOMING, 41-17
BEST BET
FLORIDA STATE over *BOSTON COLLEGE by 35 FLORIDA STATE, 48-13
RECOMMENDED
BUFFALO over CONNECTICUT by 7 BUFFALO, 20-13.
RECOMMENDED
ARIZONA over *WASHINGTON by 1 WASHINGTON, 41-38
RECOMMENDED
TEXAS A&M over *ARKANSAS by 13 TEXAS A&M, 40-27.
RECOMMENDED
SOUTH CAROLINA over *CENTRAL FLORIDA by 16 SOUTH CAROLINA, 33-16.
College Football picks:
14-6 two-week run.
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
WASHINGTON over Arizona RATING: 1
FLORIDA STATE over Boston College RATING: 1
UTAH STATE over San Jose State RATING: 2
ILLINOIS over Miami-Ohio RATING: 3
WYOMING over Texas State RATING: 4
NAVY over Western Kentucky RATING: 4
OREGON over California RATING: 5
NO CAROLINA ST over Cent Mich RATING: 5
COLLEGE KEYS:
6-0 SWEEP!
TOP 5 COLLEGE THIS YEAR:
15-4[/QUOTE]
SPORTS REPORTER
SUPER BEST BET[/B]
VIRGINIA over *PITTSBURGH by 14
VIRGINIA, 34-20.
BEST BET
WYOMING over *TEXAS STATE by 24 WYOMING, 41-17
BEST BET
FLORIDA STATE over *BOSTON COLLEGE by 35 FLORIDA STATE, 48-13
RECOMMENDED
BUFFALO over CONNECTICUT by 7 BUFFALO, 20-13.
RECOMMENDED
ARIZONA over *WASHINGTON by 1 WASHINGTON, 41-38
RECOMMENDED
TEXAS A&M over *ARKANSAS by 13 TEXAS A&M, 40-27.
RECOMMENDED
SOUTH CAROLINA over *CENTRAL FLORIDA by 16 SOUTH CAROLINA, 33-16.
College Football picks:
14-6 two-week run.
To illustrate the respect RAS gets from the market...
Sides..
Buff +2 now pk -110
Uab +21 now +19.5 +101
Army +1 now -2 +111
Uab over moved 2 points
Army under moved 2 points
WMich under moved 1.5 points
NC over moved 1.5 points
Nevada under moved 2 points
As has been previously mentioned many of the releases are almost impossible to bet at his prices.
The point I'm trying to make...the top books (pinny...) all judge their sharp players on their CLV...
GL to all
Sides..
Buff +2 now pk -110
Uab +21 now +19.5 +101
Army +1 now -2 +111
Uab over moved 2 points
Army under moved 2 points
WMich under moved 1.5 points
NC over moved 1.5 points
Nevada under moved 2 points
As has been previously mentioned many of the releases are almost impossible to bet at his prices.
The point I'm trying to make...the top books (pinny...) all judge their sharp players on their CLV...
GL to all
CFB TOTALS[/B]
UAB/Vanderbilt - (Over 54.5)
Army/Louisiana Tech - (Under 54.5)
Akron/Bowling Green - (Over 53)
Kent St./Western Michigan - (Under 51.5)
East Carolina/North Carolina - (Over 59)
Air Force/Nevada - (Under 61)[/QUOTE][/QUOTE]
Don't know if this matters, but while the others are 1 unit plays, the UAB/Vandy over is a 1.5 unit play. This is only RAS' second 1.5 unit play that I know of for the year. Their 1st was a win, Central Florida -23 vs. Fl. Int. (38-0) Thanks for keeping track of RAS' record WildBill. :toast:
[/QUOTE]
Don't know if this matters, but while the others are 1 unit plays, the UAB/Vandy over is a 1.5 unit play. This is only RAS' second 1.5 unit play that I know of for the year. Their 1st was a win, Central Florida -23 vs. Fl. Int. (38-0) Thanks for keeping track of RAS' record WildBill. :toast:[/QUOTE]
Anytime, Carp!! :0074
RAS is bound to get hot, same thing for NorthCoast PowerSweep - What I have found in the past is the cappers that start out hot end up cold and the ones that start out cold adjust and end up hot, or they all go down in flames the way they started, lol :mj07:
I like the total in UAB/Vandy - nice forecast and UAB can score and Vandy isn't stopping anyone, turnovers the key in that tilt, money line is inviting as well, non-conference game could be a shocker in Nashville!! :shrug:
RCC, I notice around Tues to Wed when totals first come out, the totals adjust 1-2 pts quickly, then by Friday night they adjust once again and on Saturday they either steam in one direction or the other. The closing line value I don't care to much about, it's the ATS results which makes a winning/profitable season/day/week, etc, or a losing one. I also pay attention to info I get to Billy Walters' plays and early plays from the fuzzy foreigner, they are both hitting close to 71% but play 1-2 total games per week in college and NFL.
GL this weekend!!
:toast:
Bill, I don't know if you are on Twitter, if you are, Pinnacle is a must follow. They have links to some great articles they have put out.They profile bettors they respect almost 100% on their ability to beat the closing line.
Check out their stuff if you get a chance.
All the best and GL!
Check out their stuff if you get a chance.
All the best and GL!
- Feb 26, 2001
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