Wish someone would decide what week it is. Anyway -- looking at the following teams this week:
NWE
NOR
ARZ
SEA
DAL
NYJ
I'm a Jets fan who has recommended them each of the first two weeks, but I'm starting to worry about the defense. Saw a note in PFW this week that new HC Edwards is trying to impose a defensive style that doesn't fit the personnel, and have to say there could be some truth to that. CBs in particular have seemed weak, and article said they're not as good a fit in Edwards' man-to-man pass D as in the zone scheme of coaches past. Believe the interior D line should improve now that promising pass-rusher Ellis has been moved back outside. DTs Barndt and Martin no all-pros, but think an otherwise talented D can afford to be ordinary at this fairly pedestrian position.
Anyhow, these picks are all mechanically derived from statistical formulas, and the numbers like the Jets this week. MNF home team factor can't hurt either.
Among the others, I especially like the New England pick. My stat formulas say Colts should only be -5.5, and that's without knowing that Indy is likely to be in cruise control on the divisional road and the Pats must start a nominally-inferior QB due to injury, both of which I consider plusses for NE. In response to the injury to Bledsoe, line has jumped well into double figures, and we all know to take the big dog in those cases. Belichick-designed defenses have turned in some great performances in the past vs Indy offense. Seems like a pretty well-supported play.
Dallas doesn't seem like such a bad play either. Face it, they've lost 2 games, but they've hardly looked unbettable. Wouldn't you rather be on Dallas right now than Buffalo, Washington, Detroit or (gulp) New England? And getting nearly 2 TDs against a low-scoring team (totals line in mid 30s) in a tough divisional rivalry? Wright a substantial improvement over Carter at QB, attitude seems OK, so where are they so bad? Big value off rare Philly blowout win last week.
Almost made the list: MIN, GBY, CIN, BUF
NWE
NOR
ARZ
SEA
DAL
NYJ
I'm a Jets fan who has recommended them each of the first two weeks, but I'm starting to worry about the defense. Saw a note in PFW this week that new HC Edwards is trying to impose a defensive style that doesn't fit the personnel, and have to say there could be some truth to that. CBs in particular have seemed weak, and article said they're not as good a fit in Edwards' man-to-man pass D as in the zone scheme of coaches past. Believe the interior D line should improve now that promising pass-rusher Ellis has been moved back outside. DTs Barndt and Martin no all-pros, but think an otherwise talented D can afford to be ordinary at this fairly pedestrian position.
Anyhow, these picks are all mechanically derived from statistical formulas, and the numbers like the Jets this week. MNF home team factor can't hurt either.
Among the others, I especially like the New England pick. My stat formulas say Colts should only be -5.5, and that's without knowing that Indy is likely to be in cruise control on the divisional road and the Pats must start a nominally-inferior QB due to injury, both of which I consider plusses for NE. In response to the injury to Bledsoe, line has jumped well into double figures, and we all know to take the big dog in those cases. Belichick-designed defenses have turned in some great performances in the past vs Indy offense. Seems like a pretty well-supported play.
Dallas doesn't seem like such a bad play either. Face it, they've lost 2 games, but they've hardly looked unbettable. Wouldn't you rather be on Dallas right now than Buffalo, Washington, Detroit or (gulp) New England? And getting nearly 2 TDs against a low-scoring team (totals line in mid 30s) in a tough divisional rivalry? Wright a substantial improvement over Carter at QB, attitude seems OK, so where are they so bad? Big value off rare Philly blowout win last week.
Almost made the list: MIN, GBY, CIN, BUF
