Thoughts on Consensus & LSU-Alabama line

baltimore buc

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Oct 16, 2001
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Two questions/thoughts?..

? I know certain off shore sports books are ?considered? by some to be sharper than others, but what do you all think about the players at such books. This brings up the old argument of ?consensus sites? and why certain books detail where their action is. I know some of you feel like this could be misinformation b/c the book doesn?t necessarily have to provide this service and I have also noticed that cappers on here take it more into consideration then others, but here is my question (short story long, eh :rolleyes: )?

I usually take a look at both carib and sportsbook.com to see where the $$ is on games that I am interested in, and almost all the time, both books have just about the same % of action as the other on any particular game, until this week (or maybe this is the first time I have noticed it before). Here are a couple games that differ GREATLY?.

24% on Northwestern @ carib
58% on Northwestern @ sportsbook

90% on Akron @ carib
53% on Akron @ sportsbook

41% on New Mexico @ carib
14% on New Mexico @ sportsbook

These are just a few that popped out at me ? especially the Akron game :scared . Pretty good disparity between some of these. So I guess my thoughts were, does this mean something?? (i.e., one book has ?sharper players? then the other or this consensus info is just a bunch of crap).

? LSU-Bama line??does anyone have any thoughts on this one. When I saw the opening number at 10 on Sunday night (per Master Capper?s post) and then open off shore at 7.5 my initial thinking was this line moved 2.5 points and the public is going to be all over LSU at home, until I see (again, we are back to whether these consensus sites have any validity) 60% and 70% of the wagers are on Bama this week, yet that 7.5 has not budged all week. I loved Alabama on Monday morning, but now I am not so sure.

Would like to catch some of your thoughts on the above, but I guess I don?t expect much since I have posted my card 2-3 times this year, with pretty good write ups, but never get much response ? ha ha, :142lmao: :142lmao: I know how it works, my post total is too low for hanging around here for the past 3 years?. For what?s it worth, I still posted my plays below. :)

Southern Miss +6
Boston college +7
Minnesota ?3
Akron pick
Marshall +10 (tailin? gman)
Oregon State -1
 

DuPont 24

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To get Bama at +10 would have been a steal. Still should be good at 7.5. Bama could easily win the game SU. Getting over a touchdown in a game in which neither team will likely get 14 should always be a good situation to be in. The line will go down before it climbs if you like Bama. GL
 

greed

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Bama love the tide

Bama love the tide

Think the game will be played out the same as when LSU played Auburn. LSU quarterback will keep bama in the game. The only one I don't care for is Oregon State because Anderson plays like a knucklehead on the road. Good luck and appreciative of any write-ups as sometimes it gives you a different perspective on a game that you may like or dislike. Don't worry on how many views you get as the longer you post the more hits you get.
 

trolln4walii

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Nice write-up and info bb. Like bama here, got the extra 1/2 point and played them at +8.(anyone and everyone wins in sec so I'm taking the dog here) Also like the under in this game and your plays on Min and Marshall. GL this week and keep the good stuff comin' :D
 
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