Pats vs Browns- pats 3-0 ats at home vs the browns since they came into the league. Also 19-10 ats at home in dec, but 11-19 in last 30 games where they were at least a ten point favorite. Pats -9.5
Bengals/colts. Bengals unbeaten ats at home this year. Luck is 2-2 in December when playing outside. Looking back through his college games I couldn't find anything to make me think he has any experience in these conditions. Bengals are 2-6 ats at home vs colts in last 8 meetings, but won by ten laying 4.5 to luck last year.
Bengals -7
Packers vs falcons- pack is 26-4 at home in dec over the last thirty. 19-9-2 ats during that period. 9 straight wins ats, 10 su wins in a row. Meanwhile Atlantans last five games in gb they are 2-3 su and 5-0 ats. Hard to pick with Rogers being out. The last thirty trend is deceiving, because I don't know if any of them were with a qb this bad. The stat that sticks out is Atlantas no 29 rushing d vs the packs no 3 home rushing attack. Pack -3.5
Raiders/jets- both teams look bad on paper. Jets have covered one game at home in dec since 06. Raiders have covered only 6 on the road in that same span. Raiders 12-6 in last 18 against the jets. Raiders +135
Eagles vs lions. Eagles covered once in last twelve home games. Only won twice in that same span. Detroit is 4-11 on the road in December. 1-6 su against eagles and 2-4 ats. Not playing this one, but would lean towards det -110.
Steelers/Miami. Pitt 6-2 vs Miami but mostly close games. Miami on a 3 game streak ats. They have done this one other time in their last 30 games but have not hit 4 straight. In dec at home Pitt is 5-4-1 ats. On the road in dec Miami is 8-2 ats. No pick here either because I hate to put money against my steelers, but Miami +3 looks good. Only thing I didn't look into is how is tannehill in the cold?
Bills/ bucs. Tb has won 1 of last 11 at home in dec. same record ats. On the road in dec buffalo has won 4 and covered 5. Tb was favored in 6 of their games, while buffalo was favored only once. Taking buffalo +130
Redskins/chiefs. As a home dog wash is 8-22 su and 14-14-2 ats in last 30. This season 1-2 ats and su. Kc this year is 3-0 3-0 su and ats as road favorite this year.
Kc -3.5
More later.
Bengals/colts. Bengals unbeaten ats at home this year. Luck is 2-2 in December when playing outside. Looking back through his college games I couldn't find anything to make me think he has any experience in these conditions. Bengals are 2-6 ats at home vs colts in last 8 meetings, but won by ten laying 4.5 to luck last year.
Bengals -7
Packers vs falcons- pack is 26-4 at home in dec over the last thirty. 19-9-2 ats during that period. 9 straight wins ats, 10 su wins in a row. Meanwhile Atlantans last five games in gb they are 2-3 su and 5-0 ats. Hard to pick with Rogers being out. The last thirty trend is deceiving, because I don't know if any of them were with a qb this bad. The stat that sticks out is Atlantas no 29 rushing d vs the packs no 3 home rushing attack. Pack -3.5
Raiders/jets- both teams look bad on paper. Jets have covered one game at home in dec since 06. Raiders have covered only 6 on the road in that same span. Raiders 12-6 in last 18 against the jets. Raiders +135
Eagles vs lions. Eagles covered once in last twelve home games. Only won twice in that same span. Detroit is 4-11 on the road in December. 1-6 su against eagles and 2-4 ats. Not playing this one, but would lean towards det -110.
Steelers/Miami. Pitt 6-2 vs Miami but mostly close games. Miami on a 3 game streak ats. They have done this one other time in their last 30 games but have not hit 4 straight. In dec at home Pitt is 5-4-1 ats. On the road in dec Miami is 8-2 ats. No pick here either because I hate to put money against my steelers, but Miami +3 looks good. Only thing I didn't look into is how is tannehill in the cold?
Bills/ bucs. Tb has won 1 of last 11 at home in dec. same record ats. On the road in dec buffalo has won 4 and covered 5. Tb was favored in 6 of their games, while buffalo was favored only once. Taking buffalo +130
Redskins/chiefs. As a home dog wash is 8-22 su and 14-14-2 ats in last 30. This season 1-2 ats and su. Kc this year is 3-0 3-0 su and ats as road favorite this year.
Kc -3.5
More later.
