Three Games in College Football

Nolan Dalla

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COLLEGE PLAYS THIS WEEK:

Temple +5 vs. Cincinnati
Bearcats are coming off a heartbreaking loss to in-state rival Ohio State last week and now have to get up emotionally for a team they probably won't take as seriously. Cincy's only win was a shakey opening day 7-point win versus unimpressive TCU. Meanwhile, Temple has played against top notch cpmpetition -- ORE ST, MIA, and outgained SO CAR, but lost that game because of turnovers. Temple is a team ready to take the next step with its program (was 4-7 SU last season) and will look to this as a very winnable game. Bearcats were completely dejected coming off the field last week in the loss to the Buckeyes and it's going to be tough to go out and get fired up again for lesser-quality competition. Cincy also lost one of its key starters due to a suspension this week because of underage drinking. Sharps pounded this number last Sunday night at the Stardust when it came out at 7 and bet it down to 5, which is significant line movement. I'm all over Temple.

Illinois +7.5 vs. Michigan
The Wolverines don't cover as road favorites. It's that simple. Under current coach, this team is a miserable 2-14 ATS as a road favorite. Add the fact they must now lay over a TD to an in conference rival that was humiliated last week at home to SJSU. Illinois is the defending Big 10 champ and should bounce back and be up for this game. This has been a nightmare season for Illini at 1-3, but this is also their third straight home game and they should treat this like a bowl game. I love the hook on the 7. Home conference dog is always worth a look. Unlike some college teams, Michigan plays to win, not to cover. Fine with me.

West Virginia / East Carolina UNDER 52
After going 8-0 on college football totals last season, I'm putting out my first totals play of 2002. East Carolina doesn't have much offense and I expect them to struggle here on the road. This is a drop in class for the Mountaineers who should win at home facing a team that couldn't even beat dreadful Duke or Wake Forest. While West Virginia has given up lots of points versus good competition (at Wisc and at Cincy last three weeks), they completely shut down Richmond at home and now face a team that hasn't combined to break 50 points in three games. This total at 52 is simply too high.


Nolan Dalla
 

theGibber1

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Nolan,

Thank you so much for your hard work! I check your free picks page every day..

last week the Denver under was my pick o' the week, we should have nailed that one..:shrug:

anyway,
i love the Illinois pick. made it my upset special of the week..glad to see we are on the same page
good luck to you sir
:D
 

gardenweasel

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nolan

nolan

after struggling mightily vs juggernauts duke and tulane(and quasi-juggernaut-one dimensional wake)why not take a flyer on west virginia and their high powered offense vs a less than mediocre pirate squad....there is a history here for east carolina(albeit a bad one)....avon colborne and qb marshall should scald a very pedestrian e car defense....w va coming home and stepping way down in caliber after seeing wisky and cincy on the road....i think west va should be very high after beating the bearcats at cincy....a great spot....7 is very attainable....g.l. and glad to see you in the college forum....
 

gardenweasel

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Re: nolan

Re: nolan

gardenweasel said:
after struggling mightily vs juggernauts duke and tulane(and quasi-juggernaut-one dimensional wake)why not take a flyer on west virginia and their high powered offense vs a less than mediocre pirate squad....there is a history here for east carolina(albeit a bad one)....avon colborne and qb marshall should scald a very pedestrian e car defense....w va coming home and stepping way down in caliber after seeing wisky and cincy on the road....i think west va should be very high after beating the bearcats at cincy(the game was not as close as the final score)....a great spot....7 is very attainable....g.l. and glad to see you in the college forum....
 

Nolan Dalla

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Garden:

Thanks for the advice. I will certainly consider it. My offshore has it at -7.5 right now, but Ill go to the Strip tomorrow and see if I can get it at -7. You make a great case for WVA and I thank you for the information.

ND
 

RAYMOND

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PROBLEM WITH TEMPLE THEY ARE UNDERSIZE AND BEEN GET BLOW OUT IN SECOND HALF OF EVERY GAME . THAT MEAN THEY GET VERY TIRED:shrug: THERE QB IS NOT VERY GOOD. I SEEM
THEM PLAY 2 TIMES THIS YEAR, I AM NOT IMPRESS AT ALL

GOOD LUCK AS ALWAYS
RAY
 

WHY ASK WHY?

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Nolan:

I first want to say that I am a fan of your writing and always check out your page...

I am reminded of the quote (from Daymon Runyan?) about the race not always to the swiftest and the battle not always to the strongest...but it's damn sure the way to bet.

Michigan and cincy seem to be that way. And are large plays for me.
However since you are on the other side, I am still looking at
these games....so far I am on a course to fade you..(not being a smartass just don't see it your way this time...).

WHY?
 

djv

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Raymond you mention teams get tired. You are correct. Watch for northern teams this time of year that go south. The 4th quarter can be a killer sitting on a team from up north as a fav. Win and not cover. Can drive you nuts.
One team out east the coaches have stress being in best shape possible. Conn. It has payed off. They come on strong in 2 half. They may just do that today.
 
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