(wed:2-2 +0.24)
86-77-11 +33.84
ML:40-36 +12.24 (faves:23-14 +9.53) (dogs:17-22 +2.71)
RL:18-16-1 +13.36
1st5:14-4-4 +12.22 (faves:11-0-2 +13.0) (dogs:3-4-2 -0.78)
totals:7-7-4 -3.05 (ov:2-2-1 -2.5) (un:5-5-3 -0.55)
team totals:4-2-2 +0.94 (ov:4-2-2 +0.94)
parlays:3-12 -1.87
=====
Better than losing but not by much.
Again got bananarama'd by a bullpen.
I'm lying in bed just like Brian Wilson did.
Cardinals -1.5 +122 1.5/1.83
---Adam has been great vs in 4+3 (4-0/1.50) especially in his 2+2 at home and he is very good at Busch and has been great through 4 especially days; Jurrjens has been only so-so in days games, career, and crap in 3 days '010 (and vs weak)...some concerns about a lingering shoulder injury he had during spring; good edge Cardsticks
Astros -1 -114 1.71/1.5
Astros -1.5 +138 2/2.76
---Oswalt has been great this year and the reds are his fave opponent (23-1...no misprint there/2.58 era and even better home vs); Arroyo is nothing special vs and likes to serve up tators at Minute Maid...he's been shit in his last 3 games; caveat: Astros offense is pathetic vs R so far
Dodgers -1.5 -107 1.07/1
---Burres is about as bad as it gets...shows you the pirates options; Kershaw was very good vs before his first start of '010...all have been at PNC and he is much better at home (including 2 '010)...his walks have dropped each game and that is really the only serious concern with him; I'd look to pound, here, but Dodgers have been struggling vs L and their bullpen has been atrocious
Tigers +124 0.81/1
---Pavano has been good vs but beaten on his last vs Sept'09...he's nothing special days and I'm not sold on his early success in 3 out of 4 starts so far; not sold on Willis, either, but Tigers are hitting R very well and--somehow--their bullpen is performing admirably
white sox@Rangers ov9 -124 1.24/1
---Floyd has been dogshit his past 3 and Feldman his past 2; park works and Rapuano is a tolerable ump for the call; wind supposed to blowing in, hard, from right which doesn't thrill my axiology
yankees@Orioles un8.5 -109 1.09/1
---Matusz was great vs in 1 ('09@) while Burnett might wakey-wakey eggs and bacey; late one (for some reason) on getaway day might anti-pump the pinstripes; liked it, anywho, but the clincher for me was seeing Hirschbeck will be behind the plate--this guy is an under-ump if there's ever been one; wanted to buy a 9 but freakin' -141 slapped me down
Blue Jays -125 2/1.6
---backed off these tools lately--appropriately--but looks like a good spot and price here; Romero has been fantastic and it doesn't seem to be an illusion...he's been great in 2 vs (2-0/1.29) with the best coming in the 1 at Rogers; Duch has been good vs at home but shit at the Rogers Centre; Jaysticks with an edge just don't touch them vs a lefty, save for maybe ex-teammate Brian Burres
Rays -1.5 -105 1.26/1.2
---Hochevar's been crap vs in 3 (0-1/6.46) and generally sucks on the road; Garza is actually 0-4 vs (4.21) but was dynamite his first 3 before the 1st-inning brain-cramp in his last...he's very good at the Trop and I say he bounces back strong here; Raysticks with an edge big enough to drive Burres' era through
Just to be told...strengths so far are anything NL-sidelike, even runlines (hence pushing my luck even further) while weaknesses are AL sides, particularly dogs, so expecting the Tigers to lose might be fruitful. Totals aren't rocking, yet, but have improved from early on. Play Hirschbeck games over at your own peril.
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86-77-11 +33.84
ML:40-36 +12.24 (faves:23-14 +9.53) (dogs:17-22 +2.71)
RL:18-16-1 +13.36
1st5:14-4-4 +12.22 (faves:11-0-2 +13.0) (dogs:3-4-2 -0.78)
totals:7-7-4 -3.05 (ov:2-2-1 -2.5) (un:5-5-3 -0.55)
team totals:4-2-2 +0.94 (ov:4-2-2 +0.94)
parlays:3-12 -1.87
=====
Better than losing but not by much.
Again got bananarama'd by a bullpen.
I'm lying in bed just like Brian Wilson did.
Cardinals -1.5 +122 1.5/1.83
---Adam has been great vs in 4+3 (4-0/1.50) especially in his 2+2 at home and he is very good at Busch and has been great through 4 especially days; Jurrjens has been only so-so in days games, career, and crap in 3 days '010 (and vs weak)...some concerns about a lingering shoulder injury he had during spring; good edge Cardsticks
Astros -1 -114 1.71/1.5
Astros -1.5 +138 2/2.76
---Oswalt has been great this year and the reds are his fave opponent (23-1...no misprint there/2.58 era and even better home vs); Arroyo is nothing special vs and likes to serve up tators at Minute Maid...he's been shit in his last 3 games; caveat: Astros offense is pathetic vs R so far
Dodgers -1.5 -107 1.07/1
---Burres is about as bad as it gets...shows you the pirates options; Kershaw was very good vs before his first start of '010...all have been at PNC and he is much better at home (including 2 '010)...his walks have dropped each game and that is really the only serious concern with him; I'd look to pound, here, but Dodgers have been struggling vs L and their bullpen has been atrocious
Tigers +124 0.81/1
---Pavano has been good vs but beaten on his last vs Sept'09...he's nothing special days and I'm not sold on his early success in 3 out of 4 starts so far; not sold on Willis, either, but Tigers are hitting R very well and--somehow--their bullpen is performing admirably
white sox@Rangers ov9 -124 1.24/1
---Floyd has been dogshit his past 3 and Feldman his past 2; park works and Rapuano is a tolerable ump for the call; wind supposed to blowing in, hard, from right which doesn't thrill my axiology
yankees@Orioles un8.5 -109 1.09/1
---Matusz was great vs in 1 ('09@) while Burnett might wakey-wakey eggs and bacey; late one (for some reason) on getaway day might anti-pump the pinstripes; liked it, anywho, but the clincher for me was seeing Hirschbeck will be behind the plate--this guy is an under-ump if there's ever been one; wanted to buy a 9 but freakin' -141 slapped me down
Blue Jays -125 2/1.6
---backed off these tools lately--appropriately--but looks like a good spot and price here; Romero has been fantastic and it doesn't seem to be an illusion...he's been great in 2 vs (2-0/1.29) with the best coming in the 1 at Rogers; Duch has been good vs at home but shit at the Rogers Centre; Jaysticks with an edge just don't touch them vs a lefty, save for maybe ex-teammate Brian Burres
Rays -1.5 -105 1.26/1.2
---Hochevar's been crap vs in 3 (0-1/6.46) and generally sucks on the road; Garza is actually 0-4 vs (4.21) but was dynamite his first 3 before the 1st-inning brain-cramp in his last...he's very good at the Trop and I say he bounces back strong here; Raysticks with an edge big enough to drive Burres' era through
Just to be told...strengths so far are anything NL-sidelike, even runlines (hence pushing my luck even further) while weaknesses are AL sides, particularly dogs, so expecting the Tigers to lose might be fruitful. Totals aren't rocking, yet, but have improved from early on. Play Hirschbeck games over at your own peril.
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