Thurs NBA w/thoughts

pt101

Registered User
Forum Member
May 6, 2006
378
1
0
Grizz +10

A big game for west rivals where Memphis is looking up at SA and OKC, the 1 and 2 seeds respectively. Rudy Gay and his inefficient production is not worth 10 points. This game should be a battle where the Grizzlies still have the advantage in the front court, and to keep the game respectable, only Westbrook needs to be limited as Durant will surely get his. Another x-factor is Grizz's new secret weapon Chris Johnson. Without Gay, the Grizz's offense will spread the ball around more and in effect actually take better shots. It is true that OKC can run anyone off the floor, but we're a bit deeper into the season that west rivals have acclimated to playing each other at least once (if not twice or more), which lends to competitive games. The question is whether the short-handed Grizz can compete tonight. Without Harden, OKC is clearly not the same team (despite their record) and even more reliant on fastbreak points and perimeter shots (Harden is/was relentless at getting to the rim and he has the size/strength to create mismatches throughout the game). K-mart fills a position but not the production of points in the paint (getting to the rim) and free throws. On the defensive side K-mart is a liability not having the size to guard bigger guards or small forwards. Even with the makeshift lineup, the Grizz can defend, rebound, dominate the paint, and that makes them a threat to beat anyone on any given night.


Mavs +3 & total over 203.5

Another rival game where the "underdog" should be competitive. Both these teams like to play at a faster than normal pace, take a lot of 3's, and have questionable defenses. Mavs have the horses to match up offensively, which is what this game is likely going to come down to. If Curry doesn't play, Warriors miss a big shot maker should the game come down to a 4th Qtr situation. Having Bogut will help in several areas but but strenuous running has yet to be seen and that will hurt the W's in transition defense. W's also face Dirk for the first time this season. Feel that the vets in Dallas are a bit more dire here for a win and they have the horses to get it done.

GL everyone
 

Happy Hippo

Registered
Forum Member
Mar 2, 2006
4,794
120
0
I've enjoyed reading your posts the last few days.

Good luck tonight!

:toast:
 

pt101

Registered User
Forum Member
May 6, 2006
378
1
0
26% for mem, while okc shot 61% in the first half. like my chances in the 2nd hf.
 

kenman

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 17, 2002
2,400
10
38
East Coast
up 12 end of 3qt ... hope they keep it up in the 4th just like the 3qt, and we might win both 2h and GM.

GL
 

pt101

Registered User
Forum Member
May 6, 2006
378
1
0
next time kenman. at least we got the half. okc tried to give it away but poor shooting did the grizz in.

mavs +2.5 2nd half

klay and jack 3 fouls each. mavs 11/14 from the stripe while gsw only 5/6. both teams shooting 50%, so i'll go with the team getting to line and has less fouls on key players.
 

kenman

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 17, 2002
2,400
10
38
East Coast
what your take on the O/U 102 ???

I thinking DAL and UN 2h .. both team shoot 50 and more 1hf ... gotta slow down somehow.

GL
 

pt101

Registered User
Forum Member
May 6, 2006
378
1
0
game just went off but i would think over. the pace won't change, and really dallas had a bad 1st qtr and still scored 53 in one half. also because of foul trouble warriors have to back off which attributes to better shots. think both teams get over 50 a piece again.
 

pt101

Registered User
Forum Member
May 6, 2006
378
1
0
kenman, on the topic of shooting %'s, one thing i've learned (from losing my butt off no less) about %'s is that they don't always translate to points or lack of points. e.g. both teams are shooting over 60% in one half and only score 90 combined. so if %'s drop you'd expect less than 90...sometimes but imo more often than not a team's average points per game carries a bigger significance. e.g. if team avg. 100/game and they score 45 in the first half, they'll likely score more in the 2nd half, even if they shot a higher % in the first half. turnovers, boards, etc...other factors influence the game too.

however, where %'s have greater significance imo is in choosing a side (e.g. okc game).
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top