Well folks, I see by the lines today that the fun and games have begun. Watch yourself tonight or you will be on the wrong side of everything. Here's what I see. Both totals have dropped from last game and that makes sense because both games went under. They didn't drop enough to look stupid so if you can guess what the coaches game plans are you have a decent shot at the totals. Here is where it gets a little odd. Both these fav covered last time out and yet the line drops. That's because the public expects both dogs to make a better showing tonight and Vegas wants you to believe that they also expect both dogs to do better. Hell, let's just borrow a little money and jump all over these dogs. Why? Bos and LAL are the better teams and neither one wants to leave home 1-1. At least one of these fav will cover and the odds say both will. Taking Phil is totally out of the question for me because I don't bet a dog under 5 unless I expect them to win su. If you play Phil take the moneyline.
Let's take a closer look at this game. Iverson had a bad game last time out, but just how bad was it? He went 4 for 15 and that looks bad but if he had hit 2 more shots (4-6 points) he would have been right on his yearly ave. However, he got an extra 4 at the foul line (he ave's 8 and got 12) so that pretty well off-sets. But he usually shoots 25 not 15. Let's say he makes his ave. There's another 8. If all these things had happened in game 1, Bos still wins by 2. Now here is the rub. Both Walker and Pierce had bad shooting games (both below their season ave) and they still won by 10. I watched the game and it could have been a lot worse. Also, keep in mind that McKie, Harpring, and Motumbo all had decent to good games so don't expect much more out of them. For Phil to win, Iverson will have to score over 30 and shoot over 40% while holding Pierce and Walker to even worse shooting per centages than last time out. When Brown tried to slow the game down in the third qt is when he lost the game. I look for a controled up-temp game out of Phil which will add 10 points to their score. Right now my thinking is Bos and over.
Let's take a closer look at this game. Iverson had a bad game last time out, but just how bad was it? He went 4 for 15 and that looks bad but if he had hit 2 more shots (4-6 points) he would have been right on his yearly ave. However, he got an extra 4 at the foul line (he ave's 8 and got 12) so that pretty well off-sets. But he usually shoots 25 not 15. Let's say he makes his ave. There's another 8. If all these things had happened in game 1, Bos still wins by 2. Now here is the rub. Both Walker and Pierce had bad shooting games (both below their season ave) and they still won by 10. I watched the game and it could have been a lot worse. Also, keep in mind that McKie, Harpring, and Motumbo all had decent to good games so don't expect much more out of them. For Phil to win, Iverson will have to score over 30 and shoot over 40% while holding Pierce and Walker to even worse shooting per centages than last time out. When Brown tried to slow the game down in the third qt is when he lost the game. I look for a controled up-temp game out of Phil which will add 10 points to their score. Right now my thinking is Bos and over.
Hope ya don't mind, but that extra weight is me on your back