record 92-80, +39.42 units
Going to try and do some writeups when I've got time from now on.
Mets -120, 2 units
Looking for the Mets to avoid the sweep against Glynn. Glynn has never had much success in the major leagues with a career ERA over 6 and more walks than strikeouts for his career. I also expect the Mets to get to the A's middle relief as Duchscherer was used for 2 innings on Wednesday and the rest of their pen is suspect. Benson has been very consistent with the Mets winning 5 of his last 6 starts. Might also get some help with Danley behind the plate as home dogs are 0-8 the last 2 seasons.
KC +125, 2 units
Royals have been hot since Bell took over winning 10 of 14. While Greinke has struggled I think there is value with him at home as he has faced some very tough lineups of late pitching at Arizona with the roof open, against Texas twice, and against the Yanks and Cards in his last 5 games causing his ERA to double from 3.09 to 6.01. LA has scored 4 runs or less in 5 of 6 games so I think Greinke can get back on track against this lineup. Lowe has looked very hittable after a fast start as he had a 2.04 ERA in April, a 4.14 ERA in May, and a 5.49 so far in June. Dodgers' pen has some questions with Gagne going on the DL as no one else has an ERA under 3.49 so like KC as a home dog.
Yankees -213, 1 unit
Going to lay the chalk as I expect this to be near -250 by gametime. Pitt doesn't match up well against LHP and Yanks should get some help with the umpire Randazzo. Home favs over -160 were 9-1 last season and are 2-0 so far this season. Yanks have won last 8 games umpired by Randazzo and Johnson is 7-2 with Randazzo with his losses being against the Yankees and when he was shutout 2-0. Yanks need a strong homestand and think Johnson gives 7 or 8 strong innings and gets the win.
Going to try and do some writeups when I've got time from now on.
Mets -120, 2 units
Looking for the Mets to avoid the sweep against Glynn. Glynn has never had much success in the major leagues with a career ERA over 6 and more walks than strikeouts for his career. I also expect the Mets to get to the A's middle relief as Duchscherer was used for 2 innings on Wednesday and the rest of their pen is suspect. Benson has been very consistent with the Mets winning 5 of his last 6 starts. Might also get some help with Danley behind the plate as home dogs are 0-8 the last 2 seasons.
KC +125, 2 units
Royals have been hot since Bell took over winning 10 of 14. While Greinke has struggled I think there is value with him at home as he has faced some very tough lineups of late pitching at Arizona with the roof open, against Texas twice, and against the Yanks and Cards in his last 5 games causing his ERA to double from 3.09 to 6.01. LA has scored 4 runs or less in 5 of 6 games so I think Greinke can get back on track against this lineup. Lowe has looked very hittable after a fast start as he had a 2.04 ERA in April, a 4.14 ERA in May, and a 5.49 so far in June. Dodgers' pen has some questions with Gagne going on the DL as no one else has an ERA under 3.49 so like KC as a home dog.
Yankees -213, 1 unit
Going to lay the chalk as I expect this to be near -250 by gametime. Pitt doesn't match up well against LHP and Yanks should get some help with the umpire Randazzo. Home favs over -160 were 9-1 last season and are 2-0 so far this season. Yanks have won last 8 games umpired by Randazzo and Johnson is 7-2 with Randazzo with his losses being against the Yankees and when he was shutout 2-0. Yanks need a strong homestand and think Johnson gives 7 or 8 strong innings and gets the win.
