Thursday Bowl Games

[xerri]

posted bowl record 1-0

Toledo +4
Nobody is giving Toledo much of a chance in this game. They have a good running game and a solid QB in Jones. Jones is completing 70% of his passes and is also a good runner with almost 400 yards rushing. Think the difference in the game may be TO's as Jones has 21 TDs and just 7 INTs while St. Pierre has just 15 TDs and 17 INTs. BC's K is listed as questionable with an ankle injury which may be a problem as BC has played a lot of close games. This game is being played in Detroit which is very near Toledo and I think they will have a lot more fans and motivation for this game as BC was a little disappointed at being in this bowl. Think this will be a close game with Toledo possibly getting the win.

 

[xerri]

Oregon St. -2.5
Think this line is set up looking for Pitt money. Line opened at a pk and has moved to 2.5 and 3 even though the public is on Pitt. OSU has an excellent secondary and has some corners that can slow down Fitgerald. Their defense has put up some impressive numbers considering they play in the PAC 10 where there is uusally a lot more scoring. Pitt has had problems with fumbles which could really hurt them in this game. I'm not sure that the Big East is very strong this year and think OSU will win this game and cover.

 

[Combato]

I agree with you on both counts. Whenever one has heavy consensus on one side ( Pitt and BC ) with money moving in the opposite direction, go against the consensus. So far, this play is 1 and 1 in bowl games this year ( UNT Winner, T Tech loser ) but it will yield more winners than losers over the bowl season.

SO the plays are

Toledo +4
Oregon St -2.5