Thursday Hoops Card *

HiLo Kaiser

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Dec 22, 2008
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Hey everyone I still have to do my hours of due diligence before posting my picks for tomorrow, but felt compelled to post one that I am happy to share earlier in case it moves suddenly. That is why I put an asterisk next to the title.

Citadel/W.Carolina Over 130.5 **** (4 Units)
I locked this one in already with one of my offshore accounts before the line changes. I feel this could jump as much as 3-4 points from where its at. Citadel is playing very well right now as they have begun to loosen up and play with a lot more tenacity on the offensive side of the ball. As for the Catamounts, they have been on a skid losing 3 of their past 4, but consistently score points in bunches. They might be losing some games, but scoring is the one area that has maintained regardless. In conference play they have only been affiliated with a game this low in total twice and that has been over a 10 week time frame. Even with their skid, they are only a game out of 1st place in the conference. They are averaging 76 PPG in conference play where their mediocre defense is allowing 74 PPG to the opposition. This total is assuming the Bulldogs at home will be able to contain W.Carolina and play a slower tempo, but this game means a lot for both teams. You have a desperate high scoring squad who plays little defense against a confident hot team who has picked up its scoring as of late. I feel both teams will be coming out with a fighting incentive resulting in a higher total than 130.5. Just my feeling. I'm playing this a unit more than my typical bet.

I'll see you guys tomorrow once I have time to set my other plays.

Best,
Kaiser

Record:
127-97 (+61 Units)
 

HiLo Kaiser

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Dec 22, 2008
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I stayed up last night and posted my first one which is listed above. I couldn't wait until the morning in case it moved, which of course it did. So I am happy I placed it last night. In any case, here are the rest of my plays this evening. It seems tonight totals came into play a little more than usual.

Tonight:

Vandy +3.5 ** (2 Units)

M.Tenn St/Troy Over 138 ** (2 Units)

Cal -6 ** (2 Units)

Washington St -2.5 (1st Half) *** (3 Units)

St. Mary's -7.5 ** (2 Units)

Stanford/Oregon Under 139.5 ** (2 Units)

Wisconsin/Minnesota Over 124 ** (2 Units)

Auburn +5 (1st Half) ** (2 Units)


Good luck everyone!

Best,
Kaiser

Record:
127-97 (+61 Units)
 

HiLo Kaiser

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Dec 22, 2008
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Not sure I followed Illuminati.

"jumped 2 for me, I still played"

Hope you make out well tonight man!

Best,
Kaiser
 

Lumi

LOKI
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Aug 30, 2002
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Not sure I followed Illuminati.

"jumped 2 for me, I still played"

Hope you make out well tonight man!

Best,
Kaiser

I am sorry for the lack of clarity, the total on the Citadel game jumped to 132?, like you had said in your post, it could jump 3 or 4 points
 

HiLo Kaiser

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Dec 22, 2008
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My two top plays miss tonight. The over missed again by a basket. Just not getting the bounces. As for Wazzou they look like garbage and the 1st half play turned out badly. I want to apologize to those that followed either of those plays since I placed them as higher units. My other plays have been going fine so far.

Let's finish the night strong everyone and hopefully many of you made out on some of my other plays.

As for tonight I'm adding an additional unit on St. Mary's and Cal. They are already listed above as two unit plays.

Additional:

Cal -6 * (1 MORE Unit in addition to the 2 above)

St. Mary's -8 * (1 MORE Unit in addition to the 2 above, however this extra unit is a half point higher)


Best,
Kaiser
 

OAKAS

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Feb 7, 2002
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Well HiLo, I made The Citadel over a big play also.

Western Carolina scored their lowest total of the year, except for their 2nd game of the year against Texas. I was more worried about The Citadel scoring.

That was a rough loss.
 

GENO

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Jan 5, 2002
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I play the CItadel total play also, for 2 units. I did not watch the game, however I hardly think that your handicap was bad, HiLo

I was one point away from a push and two from a win, That is close and yes I know close don't cash the ticket, but don't beat yourself up about it.

G/L and thanks for the solid work you are doing. I know it takes time and commitment. :)
 

HiLo Kaiser

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Dec 22, 2008
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I play the CItadel total play also, for 2 units. I did not watch the game, however I hardly think that your handicap was bad, HiLo

I was one point away from a push and two from a win, That is close and yes I know close don't cash the ticket, but don't beat yourself up about it.

G/L and thanks for the solid work you are doing. I know it takes time and commitment. :)

Thanks Geno for the kind words. We are all here to offer our opinions, but let it be known to you and all fellow MJ members that I take this very serious. I don't beat myself up over every loss (how could you) because sometimes bounces just don't go your way or unforeseen factors come into play. However, I do feel bad when I post a play big or small and it plays out in such a way that I question my pick all together. It is very few and far between, but tonight my 1st half Wazzou play fell into that category. So I make a point to call myself out when this does happen to keep my approach disciplined.

I appreciate everyone's kind words! And Geno capping does take time and commitment, but it is something I enjoy and am good at. If I post a play, it means I analyzed the game down to what I saw fit. It got a Kaiser approval.

As for tonight, I went 4-5 for (-5 Units). Friday there will be less games therefore there will be fewer plays on the card. Let's get after it tomorrow guys and have a strong day so our weekend starts off on the right foot. See you all tomorrow.

Best,
Kaiser

Updated Record:
131-102 (+56 Units)
 
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