Thursday Hoops

xerri

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Sep 10, 1999
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Elon College +6, 2 units
Not sold on Fairfield as a road fav as they really struggle to shoot the ball at just 39% on the year and 38% on the road. While Elon has struggled they have played a very difficult schedule with 8 of their 12 games on the road including games at Wake, Xavier, Cincy, and Georgetown. At home they are 4-0 and have beaten some decent teams in Chattanooga and American while shooting 54% from the field and from 3 pt. range in their home games and avg. 86.5 ppg. Public is on Fairfield big yet line isn't budging so think Elon is the right side here.

Youngstown +9, 1 unit
Think this line is just a little too high. Youngstown seems to be improved this season and they actually won outright the last time these teams faced off. Also think this is a good look ahead spot as WGB plays Butler on Saturday and Wisc. Milwaukee after that.

Tulsa -3, 2 units
Tulsa has had a much more difficult schedule thus far playing 7 of their 11 games on the road while UTEP has played 8 of their 10 at home. Tulsa has won the L10 meetings and UTEP has played a soft schedule so not sure how good they really are. Tulsa totally dominated this team last season winning by 34 and 23. Tulsa really needs a win at home here and I don't think UTEP is that much better so look for Tulsa to get the cover here.
 

xerri

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Sep 10, 1999
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Gonzaga -5 1st half, 1 unit
Zags have dominated this series winning last 4 and 7 of 8 ATS. Zags are much better on the glass at +9 per game compared to -6 per game for the Waves and much better defensively allowing 39% shooting as opposed to 47% for Pepperdine. Zags should dominate the paint and get plenty of easy buckets from Turiaf, Morrison, and Violette. Just hoping they can keep the Waves' 3 point shooting in check.

Washington St. +1.5, 2 units
More of a line play here but not sold on this UCLA team that has played just 1 road game this season while the Cougars have played 8 of their 12 games on the road. WSU has some problems on the interior but UCLA is not particulary strong in the frontcourt and they don't shoot 3's very well so I think the Cougars will at least be able to hang with them. UCLA is coming off a big win against the Ducks so think this is a good letdown spot to go against them.
 

xerri

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Sep 10, 1999
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adding
Boise St. 2nd half +1.5, 1 unit
Think this game falls near the original game spread and essentially getting 12.5 at this line so think there is some value here.
 
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