thursday ncaa hoops >>>

loophole

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Jul 14, 1999
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a little sportsbetting 101 from last night's games. flush from my recent success, i managed to take a winning night based on three solidly handicapped home dogs (ga tech, lsu, louisville) and turn the evening into a push by betting two dd home favorites playing inferior archrivals. as to be commonly expected in such situations, both teams won but did not cover and ate up the profits from the good picks. i shall attempt to learn from this foolishness. foulathon in the louisville game caused the total to go over so i don't feel so bad about that one.

southern conference is one of my favorites and i spent a lot of time last night studying these tourney games. saw the first game as too close to call and it looks like the game played out that way. interesting matchups for the two no. 3 seeds - unc-g and c of c. a pair of three-way ties in both divisions of the so conf resulted in these two co-leaders getting royally screwed and having to play first round games today. as both teams have their sights set on winning the tournament despite having to play four games in four days, should be some interesting strategy today by both coaches if they want their teams to last through the weekend against the rested teams. with that thought in mind i decided to pass their games today with the thought of possibly playing against them later in the tourney. will wait and see what develops. did however see one of today's tourney games i consider worthy of a play---


furman -4: decided to play the paladins today as the fact that the top six seeds were taken by the division leaders has caused a bit of a stagger in the lower seedings. furman finished fifth in the stronger southern division with a 7-9 conf record while w car finished fourth in the northern division at 6-10. w car is the weaker of these two teams despite a win over furman in cullowhee in january. in that game furman was playing their second road game in 48 hours and was without key man kenny ziegler, whose absence contributed to a furman four-game losing streak. w car has faded badly at the end of the season losing seven of their last eight. also, someone needs to have a chat with whoever was responsible for scheduling this year as they come to the conference tourney playing their fourth road game in the last twelve days. now there's a nice lead into the culmination of the season. and it's no short haul from cullowhee to charleston. all things considered, paladins look to be in the better spot and should cover this modest number.



back later tonight with the rest. i'm looking at some real zingers.
 

loophole

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Jul 14, 1999
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byu +6: wyo 12-1 at home, byu 1-8 on the road and lost last four in laramie. entire free world playing on the cowboys tonight, but not the ol' loophole. this is a freaky time of the ncaa hoops season so this is when i try to get jiggy with it -here's hoping i haven't completely lost touch. coyboys seem to be on the verge of repeating their fold of last year. last season cowboys were looking good in mid january only to finish 5-6, letting the conference crown and an ncaa bid slip away. wyo has dropped 2 of last 3, soundly beaten at n mex, narrow win at air force and losing to sd st, a traditionally poor road team, in laramie as a 10 point favorite. cowboy fg% those last three way off at 42%, 3 pt shooting barely 20%, scoring 10 points under their season average. defense headed the same direction, having allowed 45% fg over the last five, 38% in games prior. they are now in the position where they will probably have to win the conference tournament to get an ncaa bid and have their big game of the year tomorrow night vs utah, winner wins conference regular season crown. on the other hand, byu, while performing poorly on the road thus far, has a history of turning things around during the last two weeks of the season in every year of coach cleveland's four year tenure. cougars hit the road off a solid sweep of a three game homestand and can really increase their tourney seeding and post season chances with a sweep of wyo and col st this weekend. i'm reading the signs like miss cleo (no calls please) and they say its looking like it deja' vu all over again. hope this one don't blow up in my face.


boise state +1-: bulldogs first road trip to boise - what a treat. longest and toughest road trip of the year for the techsters save hawaii, and they didn't fair too well there. boise st appears to be hanging in there playing much better of late, winning three of four including an impressive road win at fresno. broncos have stepped up and provided aome some support for iron man abe jackson, and the better balance seems to have keyed the improvement. key to the game seems to be boise scoring 70+ as bulldogs are 15-0 when holding their opponents under 70. seems likely the broncos can pull that off as their scoring average over the last four has soared to 76 ppg while tech d allows 71.2 on the road. altitude should also help relax the tech d a little.


also:

long beach state +3: cinderella team starts season with high aspirations, flops and goes on losing streak, coach announces he'll resign at season's end, cinderella turns it around, wins remainder of games, conference tournamant, makes final four and becomes nation's darling......well, maybe not, but i think they can win one more tonight.


utah -3: majerus will hold serve tonight for showdown in laramie tomorrow night.


duke over 164: hoops knows, plenty of scoring in this one. wouldn't touch the side, but cavs need a win here in the worst kind of way.


gl tonight.
 
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