- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 75-56-4 (+20.5)
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 2-5 (+1.1)
Back in the black in all categories. Represent, Brooklyn!
The first game tonight will feature a battle from downtown New York City...and downtown on the court. The Knicks live and die by the three pointer, and they may face an uphill battle tonight. The Spurs have the fourth best defense in the league against three point scorers, allowing only 17.6 ppg and opponents to score 18.1% of their points from long range. In contrast, the Knicks are first in the league in their dependence on the three, scoring 33.9 ppg and 33.1% of their total points from distance. This season, when the Knicks shoot below their average percentage of 38.8% from three point range, they are 3-7 SU (-3.6 ppg) and 1-9 ATS. San Antonio is second best in the percentage they allow, at 32.6%. Overall, they are great at defending the three, which is trouble for the Knicks.
The Spurs are coming into the garden red hot, on a seven game winning streak, averaging 111.7 ppg in this stretch and winning four of these games by 20+. The Spurs are 12-3 SU (+5.1 ppg) and 9-4 ATS when playing away on no rest after a road win since the calendar year 2011. They are the eighth best team in the league playing with no rest. They lost to the Knicks earlier this season at home, in a game that Raymond Felton took over down the stretch when the Knicks rallied from 12 point fourth quarter deficit to win. Felton won't be there tonight to save them. When the Spurs scored more points in the paint and out rebounded an opponent in the previous season matchup, but lost the game, they are 10-0 SU (+14.2 ppg) and 9-1 ATS in the next meeting since the 2006 season. The Spurs average more than 10 ppg in the paint than the Knicks, and teams that outscore their opponent by ten in this area are 135-49 SU (+7.9 ppg) this season. Even removing the ten points, teams that win this category are 288-152 SU (+4.6 ppg) this season.
Popovich after their last matchup: "There's a reason why they're (6-0). They lead the league in steals. They lead the league in lowest points allowed. They lead the league in 3-point percentage. It's a hell of a team. They won the game. I think we ran out of gas. They just didn't have enough left in the tank after that road trip [to the West Coast for four games in the past week]."
Since the beginning of the season, New York?s defense has sputtered. They started the year as one of the best in the league, but are now below average, giving up 100 or more in each loss during their current 3-5 game stretch. Against a team that is playing great offense, this is trouble.
Since Raymond Felton went out with injury, the Knicks have struggled. They beat the Suns by two on a last second shot, then lost to the Kings and Blazers. None of these teams have a winning record. They are struggling right now, and the return of Amare doesn?t help them any, especially on the defensive end. Their last two opponents have shot 41.3% from three point range, and San Antonio comes in shooting 47.5% from threes during their last seven games. Since the Knicks acquired Melo, they are 2-8 SU (-1.6 ppg) and 3-7 ATS when on a 4+ game ATS losing streak. The Knicks have been great this year at taking care of the ball, which is something both these teams excel at, and the Spurs uncharacteristic turnovers at the end of the last matchup cost them that game. I think the loss of Felton will catch up with the Knicks tonight.
The NBA schedule has not been kind to the Spurs this year, and they have lost their last two games on TNT as a road dog with no rest. If the Knicks shoot lights-out from three, they will win, but I don't see it happening tonight. The Knicks haven't won back-to-back games in this series since the 2002-03 season.
Spurs +1 x2
Haven't even looked at the other game, but it doesn't look too enticing to me...has to be Nuggets or nothing - don't see any good angle on a struggling Wolves team, but seems like a trap. Line should be 10+...
Good luck...
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 2-5 (+1.1)
Back in the black in all categories. Represent, Brooklyn!
The first game tonight will feature a battle from downtown New York City...and downtown on the court. The Knicks live and die by the three pointer, and they may face an uphill battle tonight. The Spurs have the fourth best defense in the league against three point scorers, allowing only 17.6 ppg and opponents to score 18.1% of their points from long range. In contrast, the Knicks are first in the league in their dependence on the three, scoring 33.9 ppg and 33.1% of their total points from distance. This season, when the Knicks shoot below their average percentage of 38.8% from three point range, they are 3-7 SU (-3.6 ppg) and 1-9 ATS. San Antonio is second best in the percentage they allow, at 32.6%. Overall, they are great at defending the three, which is trouble for the Knicks.
The Spurs are coming into the garden red hot, on a seven game winning streak, averaging 111.7 ppg in this stretch and winning four of these games by 20+. The Spurs are 12-3 SU (+5.1 ppg) and 9-4 ATS when playing away on no rest after a road win since the calendar year 2011. They are the eighth best team in the league playing with no rest. They lost to the Knicks earlier this season at home, in a game that Raymond Felton took over down the stretch when the Knicks rallied from 12 point fourth quarter deficit to win. Felton won't be there tonight to save them. When the Spurs scored more points in the paint and out rebounded an opponent in the previous season matchup, but lost the game, they are 10-0 SU (+14.2 ppg) and 9-1 ATS in the next meeting since the 2006 season. The Spurs average more than 10 ppg in the paint than the Knicks, and teams that outscore their opponent by ten in this area are 135-49 SU (+7.9 ppg) this season. Even removing the ten points, teams that win this category are 288-152 SU (+4.6 ppg) this season.
Popovich after their last matchup: "There's a reason why they're (6-0). They lead the league in steals. They lead the league in lowest points allowed. They lead the league in 3-point percentage. It's a hell of a team. They won the game. I think we ran out of gas. They just didn't have enough left in the tank after that road trip [to the West Coast for four games in the past week]."
Since the beginning of the season, New York?s defense has sputtered. They started the year as one of the best in the league, but are now below average, giving up 100 or more in each loss during their current 3-5 game stretch. Against a team that is playing great offense, this is trouble.
Since Raymond Felton went out with injury, the Knicks have struggled. They beat the Suns by two on a last second shot, then lost to the Kings and Blazers. None of these teams have a winning record. They are struggling right now, and the return of Amare doesn?t help them any, especially on the defensive end. Their last two opponents have shot 41.3% from three point range, and San Antonio comes in shooting 47.5% from threes during their last seven games. Since the Knicks acquired Melo, they are 2-8 SU (-1.6 ppg) and 3-7 ATS when on a 4+ game ATS losing streak. The Knicks have been great this year at taking care of the ball, which is something both these teams excel at, and the Spurs uncharacteristic turnovers at the end of the last matchup cost them that game. I think the loss of Felton will catch up with the Knicks tonight.
The NBA schedule has not been kind to the Spurs this year, and they have lost their last two games on TNT as a road dog with no rest. If the Knicks shoot lights-out from three, they will win, but I don't see it happening tonight. The Knicks haven't won back-to-back games in this series since the 2002-03 season.
Spurs +1 x2
Haven't even looked at the other game, but it doesn't look too enticing to me...has to be Nuggets or nothing - don't see any good angle on a struggling Wolves team, but seems like a trap. Line should be 10+...
Good luck...
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