- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 112-83-5 (+32.2)
OU: 63-54-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 4-7 (+3.05)
A tale of two teams. The Warriors return home tonight from a four game road trip where they won the last two. In their last game, they shot over 50% from the field and over 65% from long range, without their core players even suiting up. They have looked very impressive and their team chemistry is great. Bogut returning gives them another great big and excellent passer.
Then there is that team from Dallas. The Mavericks led pretty much wire to wire in the Blazers game, and even with 12 seconds remaining they had a three point lead and somehow managed to lose. In fact, they lead the NBA in last minute meltdowns - this was their eighth loss this season when leading in the final 90 seconds of a game. They are turnover prone, cannot rebound very well (and Kaman is out too), don?t play very good defense, and their star playing is still struggling to recover from his injury.
So, given these teams, the line opens tonight with the home team Warriors a 3 point favorite.
The league acknowledged that the refs blew the call at the end of the Blazers game a couple days ago - a call that would have sent Mayo to the line to shoot two, and most likely would have iced the game for them. We all know how boisterous Mark Cuban is with his opinions about officiating, and one has to think that there may be some favorable calls from the reffing crew tonight.
The Warriors are playing their fifth game in seven tonight, and had to travel from the east coast to the west. They have some game-time decisions on players, but even if they play, they are a bit beat up. Although this trend does not mean much because it dates back to 1995, the Warriors are 2-13 SU and ATS after a game where they shoot 65% or better from downtown.
TNT games are played on Thursdays, and while there are sometimes other games on that day, the majority have been on TNT. It is interesting to note that teams playing as a home favorite of three or less during the regular season on Thursday are 38-37 SU and 27-47 ATS since the 2005 season.
Teams coming off a road loss where they held a double digit lead are 23-12 SU and 25-9-1 ATS since the 2003 playing as a road dog of 5 or less (average line 3.3) and their opponent is off a road win. The Mavericks have played well on the road recently. They have only won three games, but as a dog of 3 or less they are 2-1 SU, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
The Warriors beat the Mavericks in Dallas earlier this season in overtime. Nowitzki did not play in that game. I think Dallas should win this game, but given their propensity for close games, I'll take the three!
Mavs +3 x2
Good luck...
OU: 63-54-1 (+2.3)
ML dogs: 4-7 (+3.05)
A tale of two teams. The Warriors return home tonight from a four game road trip where they won the last two. In their last game, they shot over 50% from the field and over 65% from long range, without their core players even suiting up. They have looked very impressive and their team chemistry is great. Bogut returning gives them another great big and excellent passer.
Then there is that team from Dallas. The Mavericks led pretty much wire to wire in the Blazers game, and even with 12 seconds remaining they had a three point lead and somehow managed to lose. In fact, they lead the NBA in last minute meltdowns - this was their eighth loss this season when leading in the final 90 seconds of a game. They are turnover prone, cannot rebound very well (and Kaman is out too), don?t play very good defense, and their star playing is still struggling to recover from his injury.
So, given these teams, the line opens tonight with the home team Warriors a 3 point favorite.
The league acknowledged that the refs blew the call at the end of the Blazers game a couple days ago - a call that would have sent Mayo to the line to shoot two, and most likely would have iced the game for them. We all know how boisterous Mark Cuban is with his opinions about officiating, and one has to think that there may be some favorable calls from the reffing crew tonight.
The Warriors are playing their fifth game in seven tonight, and had to travel from the east coast to the west. They have some game-time decisions on players, but even if they play, they are a bit beat up. Although this trend does not mean much because it dates back to 1995, the Warriors are 2-13 SU and ATS after a game where they shoot 65% or better from downtown.
TNT games are played on Thursdays, and while there are sometimes other games on that day, the majority have been on TNT. It is interesting to note that teams playing as a home favorite of three or less during the regular season on Thursday are 38-37 SU and 27-47 ATS since the 2005 season.
Teams coming off a road loss where they held a double digit lead are 23-12 SU and 25-9-1 ATS since the 2003 playing as a road dog of 5 or less (average line 3.3) and their opponent is off a road win. The Mavericks have played well on the road recently. They have only won three games, but as a dog of 3 or less they are 2-1 SU, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
The Warriors beat the Mavericks in Dallas earlier this season in overtime. Nowitzki did not play in that game. I think Dallas should win this game, but given their propensity for close games, I'll take the three!
Mavs +3 x2
Good luck...
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