Thursday's Plays(Sun Belt Conference GOY!!!)

[Double Two]

130-160-3 Overall
25-32 w/Best Bets
3-2 on Wednesday

Arkansas State +2.5 & ML(+130)-Best Bet & Sun Belt Conference GOY*
OVER 131(St. Louis@Duquesne)
Florida Atlantic -3.5
UNDER 136(North Texas@Western Kentucky)
La Salle +11
UNDER 148.5(Portland State@Idaho)

*-This contest has "TRAP" written all over it & if so it will not be the first time Vegas has "Ensnared" old Double Two. Anyone who caps this game has to believe the wrong Team is favored. The Mavericks are just 4-9SU(4-6ATS) so far this Season while the Red Wolves are 10-3SU(8-3ATS). Totally opposite records Away/Home too:

University of Texas-Arlington Mavericks
1-7SU Away
0-2SU in Conference Play

Arkansas State Red Wolves
7-1SU Home
2-0 in Conference Play

With this affair being played @ First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, Arkansas tonight I think the Red Wolves should win Out-Right so I'll gladly take the Bucket-&-A-Half with a HUGE$$$Wager on the ML(+130) as well. If someone can tell me why Arkansas State will not win tonight I will gladly listen. My Guess:

UTA 66
ASU 74




Best of Luck MadJackers & Go You Arkie State Red Wolves!!! :0008

 

[Keith 1]

Just to play devil's advocate here. If a 4-9 team is favored, on the road, over a 10-3 team, I also see a trap--but not the way you are seeing it. UTSA has played a MUCH stronger schedule as compared to Ark State.

Not trying to talk smack in your thread. I wish you the best of luck (but you asked for someone to tell you why Ark State might not win tonight).

 

[Double Two]

Just to play devil's advocate here. If a 4-9 team is favored, on the road, over a 10-3 team, I also see a trap--but not the way you are seeing it. UTSA has played a MUCH stronger schedule as compared to Ark State.

Not trying to talk smack in your thread. I wish you the best of luck (but you asked for someone to tell you why Ark State might not win tonight).

No worries Keith 1 & I really appreciate your response. You make too very good points & I concur. Mavs have played a brutal schedule so far & I took that into consideration when capping this contest. As I stated in my post Vegas has "Ensnared" me many times over the years so this may very well be a "TRAP"?!!?

Thanks again for the response & Best Of Luck Always Brother!!! :0074

 

[RAYMOND]

:0074:0074

 

[Keith 1]

No worries Keith 1 & I really appreciate your response. You make too very good points & I concur. Mavs have played a brutal schedule so far & I took that into consideration when capping this contest. As I stated in my post Vegas has "Ensnared" me many times over the years so this may very well be a "TRAP"?!!?

Thanks again for the response & Best Of Luck Always Brother!!! :0074

GL to you sir :0074

 

[loophole]

i use t-rank for a source of power ratings, it factors sos as well as other advanced metrics, and in this matchup it favors ark-lr by half a point. noting this to show how misleading records can be at this time year.

 

[DMD252]

Keith 1: They are not playing UTSA, they are playing Tex Arlington.

 

[DMD252]

Loophole: the pick is Ark state, not Little Rock

 

[Keith 1]

Keith 1: They are not playing UTSA, they are playing Tex Arlington.

My bad. You are correct. I slipped an "S" in there when I meant UTA.

 

[loophole]

wow my bad also. somehow locked onto the wrong arkansas sun belt team. fwiw, t-rank has ut arlington favored by 2.9.