Toshiba Senior Classic

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Outright plays (2pts):

Larry Nelson to win 16/1 e.w. @ William Hill
Was never going to get the 33/1 of last week, but for a player who has finished 4th, 2nd and 2nd in his last three starts, these odds seem fair. Having also been in contention in recent years on this course - 5th, 7th, 15th and 2nd in the last four years - this looks another week in which Nelson will continue his run of good form. He needs to convert more of these chances to win, but so long as he keeps getting himself into contention there is hope.

Tom Purtzer to win 25/1 e.w. @ Stan James
Purtzer also put in a good performance last week in finishing 6th - his third top-6 finish in five starts this year - and looked to be finishing even higher during the final round. His course form is not too impressive, but his last four rounds here have been in the 60s and he is a player who is more than capable of winning in this company.

Graham Marsh to finish in the top-four 10/1 @ Centrebet
Marsh's course form is also rather unimpressive, though he can boast a top-5 finish in the weather-shortened 2000 event. He returns to the selection fold on the back of his impressive 4th place finish last week. After surrendering the title so weakly to Ed Fiori two weeks ago, he would have been excused a hangover last week, but it was not the case as he improved in every round to mount a late challenge. In this form, he should be at shorter odds to secure one of the top-4 places again.
 

Stanley

Registered
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Jul 26, 1999
11,801
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Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Matchup plays (2pts unless stated):

Bobby Wadkins to beat Jim Ahern -133 @ Five Dimes
Opposing Ahern who can blow very hot as well as cold. He finished 4th two weeks ago in Mexico and even won the Music City Championship last year, but he typically finishes more around the 56th place mark as he was last week. Wadkins is not that consistent, but having finished ahead of Ahern in three of four common events this year, I'll back him in this matchup.

Bruce Fleisher to beat Hajime Meshiai -125 @ Centrebet [6pts]
Total mismatch! Meshiai gained his Tour Card by finishing 3rd at the Tour Q-School, but he played on the PGA Tour 17 times and missed the cut in more than half of them. He may have won tournaments on the Japan Tour, but he is not in the same class of player as Fleisher who has four years of experience around Newport Beach against the big-hitting rookie's none. Stadler, McNulty and Jacobsen have been very impressive on their Tour debuts recently, but this is asking too much of Meshiai.

Fuzzy Zoeller to beat Sam Torrance -130 @ Five Dimes
Last week was the first time this year that Torrance had finished ahead of Zoeller. It was his second top-15 finish of the season, but Zoeller had already had three of those, including a win. With two years course form in hand this week, Zoeller should have the upper hand against a player making his debut at Newport Beach.
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
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Outrights - Final update: 1-2; +27.25pts

Nelson 36th
Purtzer 1st
Marsh 36th

After Purtzer had opened with a 60 in the first round, this should have been a lot easier than it was. He did eventually lose the lead on the front nine on Sunday, but regained it a few holes later and hung on for a one-shot win. He did it the hard way, but it meant a third successive very profitable week of selections on this Tour. March and the Seniors have certainly rescued this previously-troubled season!

Matchups - Final update: 2-1-0; +5.40pts

Wadkins/Ahern WON (Ahern disqualified)
Fleisher/Meshiai WON by 9
Zoeller/Torrance LOST by 2

Nice profit thanks to the Fleisher/Meshiai mismatch. Doubt we'll such an opportunity from Centrebet again!

Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 7-14; +87.00pts
Matchups: 27-29; -11.04pts
 
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