TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola, Sept 24 to Sept 27, East Lake G.C., Atlanta, GA

[kickserv]

Bubba Watson to win TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola at 20-1 odds

Dustin Johnson to win TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola at 16-1 odds

Justin Rose to win TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola at 12-1 odds

Louis Oosthuizen to win TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola at 40-1 odds

Rory McIlroy to win TOUR Championship by Coca-Cola at 6-1 odds

 

[Another Steve]

Outrights

Outrights

ODDS TO WIN 2015 TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP DUSTIN JOHNSON +1765
ODDS TO WIN 2015 TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP BUBBA WATSON +2350
ODDS TO WIN 2015 TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP KEVIN KISNER +6195

 

[Tommyjay]

Watson to win 21.5-1

72 holes
Fowler over Rose +114
DJ over Fowler -107
Lee over Piercy -117

 

[lostinamerica]

Nationwide:

Outrights:

Lucas Glover(40/1) e.w.
Luke Guthrie(90/1) e.w.
Aaron Baddeley(100/1) e.w.
Chris Smith(150/1) e.w.

GL

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Rory McIlroy(6/1) e.w.
Zach Johnson(22/1) e.w.

GL

 

[Stanley]

Round 1 plays (4pts):

Scott Piercy to beat Danny Lee +101 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Lee certainly had a purple-patch of form in a six-week period in July-August when he finished in the top-6 in four of five starts, but he has finished further down the leaderboard with each Playoff event, whereas Piercy showed great form to finish 3rd last week. He also has course experience - he finished 15th three years ago - whereas Lee is making his course debut and he ranks higher in the World Rankings. This points to the value being with the underdog in this matchup.

Charley Hoffman to beat Brooks Koepka +115 @ 5Dimes
Koepka is another who was in great form, but has failed to replicate it in the Playoff, finishing mc-mc-49th so far and breaking 70 just once. Hoffman's season hasn't been as eye-catching, but he is still ranked 8th in the FedEx Cup, finished 3rd in the Deutsche Bank Championship and he finished 6th in his previous appearance on this course. With Koepka making his course debut, this is a large price against such an out-of-form player.

J.B. Holmes to beat Kevin Kisner +106 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Again the value should be with the underdog. Both players are making their debuts and while the course should suit Kisner's game better than Holmes', it was J.B. who has the better form and momentum after his 4th place finish last week.

 

[Let's Have Fun]

in play
Rory +550 ew

 

[LA Burns]

for rd 1, playing:


Johnson -105 vs Watson


Zach playing on house money after his summer and should feel pretty comfortable out there this week I think, despite the fact that his course history isn't necessarily top flight (though he does own the course record) - Bubba enters in the top 5 and probably will be placing a little more pressure on himself b/c of that, knowing a win here means the FE Cup - imo not really a good recipe for success when you consider his admission that East Lake doesn't inspire a great deal of confidence in him


as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose


LA Burns

 

[Stanley]

Round 2 plays (2pts):

Dustin Johnson to beat Daniel Berger -132 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
DJ is a far better player - ranked inside the top-10 in the World Rankings - and has finished ahead of Berger in six of their last eight common events. He has also improved with each appearance at East Lake, finishing 5th last time, so should be expected to finish ahead of his opponent this week.

Hideki Matsuyama to beat Paul Casey -125 @ Paddy Power
It was a very impressive round from Casey to finish the day in 2nd place, but he is certainly opposable in this position: in the six previous occasions that he has finished rd1 in the top-3 over the last five seasons, he has yet to finish the event in the top-10. Matsuyama is very consistent and the perfect selection to benefit from this situation.

Rory McIlroy to beat Zach Johnson -149 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
McIlroy's game is definitely in now his 4th event since his return from injury and even though there only nine places between them in the World Rankings, there is a huge difference in ability if McIlroy is getting close to his former game. These odds are fully justified.

Robert Streb to beat Kevin Kisner -102 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
And now a basement battle. Streb has finished ahead of Kisner in five of their last seven common events and ranks higher in both the World Rankings and FedEx Cup than Kisner, so I don't see why Streb is priced as the underdog againt the player in last position.

Matt Kuchar to beat Patrick Reed -120 @ Paddy Power [also available @ SkyBet]
Reed played well yesterday, but dropping four shots in his last three holes summed up Reed's season - lots of promise, but failing to fully deliver ... he has just one top-10 finish in the last six months, whereas Kuch has four in his last eight starts. I don't expect a rebound today from Reed, so Kuchar is the play.

 

[sharky17]

ROUND 2

BUBBA WATSON (+102) over JUSTIN ROSE

:toast:

 

[LA Burns]

for round 2, playing:


Haas -115 vs Reed


Outside of his win here in 2011 Haas results at East Lake haven't been what one would call outstanding, but he has seen the course a good bit more than Reed (Reed's only appearance resulted in a t19 last year) - also don't think Reed's finish yesterday will have him in a very cheery mood today (bogey, bogey double on 16-18 to take him from 2 under to 2 over)


as always, good luck


LA Burns

 

[LA Burns]

digging on one for round 3, and digging on it quite a bit:


Rose -125 vs Fowler


East Lake seems to suit Rose's game, as in the last 3 years he has posted t-4, solo 6th and solo 2nd in 2012 - by contrast, Rickie has only qualified for the Tour Championship twice before this year, though he did finish solo 8th ly (w/ a t-23 in his previous start) - I have also seen a lot of video clips and highlights that seem to suggest that a strong finish is not all that is on Fowler's mind this week, with his prank war with Danny Lee and his left handed shots, etc - finally, Fowler's ball striking stats are pretty poor this week, as he is hitting less than half of his fairways and just under 64% GIR - Rosie hitting about 61% of his fairways and 72% of his greens while averaging about 15 yards more off the tee than Fowler - putting has held Justin back this week as his strokes gained number is -1.570, but to me this is an easier fix than with ball striking, and I would assume that Rose will become more and more comfortable with the new putter he recently put in the bag as well as with his putting routine that he has changed a little bit to, in his words, free himself up and putt more like he did when he was a kid - think a little bit of work on the putting green as the week goes on will help him a good bit and Rose sure seems to feel confident in his game right now based on comments I have read


Bottom line, we have a golfer who has had a good deal of recent success on this course, who seems to be striking the ball better than his opponent and who seems like he might be a bit more serious about the goings on this week as well - if Rose simply improves his putting a little bit and has a decent day on the greens I feel that he will enjoy a convincing victory over Fowler today - and even if his putting doesn't improve he should still stand a solid chance (he is 1 stroke ahead on the scoreboard despite the putting woes at this point right?)


Playing Rose today and playing him rather large -


And as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose,


LA Burns

 

[LA Burns]

looks like the Rose play is a loss, Rickie holed 64 feet of putts on holes 10-12 as well as a 22 footer on the front 9 and again Rose's putting let him down a bit (he actually didn't hit the ball well either)


gl - burns

 

[boomer1]

Fowler -150 Casey **
Sten +120 Spieth **