Round 4 plays (4pts):
Jason Day to beat Bubba Watson +100 @ Paddy Power
Both players ended the 1st day in 3rd place and with realistic chances of winning this title and the FedEx Cup, but whereas Day has ground out good scores over the next two rounds to enter the final round just three shots off the pace in 4th place, Watson is three further shots back in 11th and with very little chance of achieving either title. With just one round left in this season, this may become a rather tired round from Watson if he doesn't get back into contention very early in the round. As such, I'll back Day to play a better round and finish ahead of Watson for the 7th time in their last nine common events.
Jordan Spieth to beat Webb Simpson -108 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
A basement battle with only pride to play for, so in this situation I'll back the younger player and one with a strong bounceback motive after his 80 yesterday. He is also the better player as shown by almost every meaningful statistic.