- - 2017 was easily my worst season since I started weekly golf capping with my first offshore accounts in 2001. I was modestly profitable on a cumulative basis over the years through 2015, then had a poor year in 2016 that probably consumed all of my modest profits from the prior years, and then 2017 went right down the crapper. While my capping efforts over the last few years have not matched my passionate efforts of the first 10 or 12 years, I definitely invested at least the same time and effort for the first 6 or 7 months of 2017 as I had in recent years, but the results were never there . . . Without a doubt my one big regret from 2017 was not wagering on Andres Romero at 300+/1 at the BMW International after I had wagered on him in the Top Euro market the week before at the U.S. Open and been reasonably satisfied with his play as I was tracking him closely.
- - I fortunately cut back on my always modest wagers as the losses mounted in 2017 (I started with ?usual? bets of $8 x 2 for e.w. wagers way back when, peaked with ?usual? wagers of $12 x 2 e.w. around 2007, and last year my usual wagers of $6 x 2 e.w. had been cut back to mostly $5 x 2 and then $4 x 2 e.w. wagers by the end of the season). This week I am back starting with $6 x 2 e.w. wagers . . . However, my big mistake last year was never really cutting back on my usual number of weekly plays of about 5 to 9 players per fully invested event, even though I was seeing almost no returns, and not even ?threatening? very often. This year I will be scaling back on my number of plays per event until I am at least getting some encouraging close calls. So it really won?t be possible to have as bad of a season this year as last year . . . And as of now I plan on investing at least a little more time and effort on a weekly basis, which will certainly help, provided I do it . . . Although not really successful, I did ?threaten? most "consistently" last year with a small number of in-running wagers (not all of which I posted), so by cutting back on my pre-event wagers I can justify a few more wagers in that area
- - I also get lots of enjoyment from frequently sharing any ANGLES or INFORMATION behind my wagering (per my write-ups on my football wagers), but that has been tapering off hugely in the golf forum the last two years as my plays have generally sucked and lacked conviction.
- - Anyway, three plays for this week, none very original:
Rickie Fowler(7/1) e.w.
- - Everything I know would seem to suit for his making a quick start to his calendar year 2018 campaign, stylishly unveiling Puma's Aloha collection.
Pat Perez(28/1) e.w.
- - Gotta go back to November of 2016 for my most recent ?BIG win? at 125/1 on Mr. Pat, and while I am ruling out plays this week on any ?first-timers?, he was strong here last year, which IMO makes some sense based on his strengths.
Mark Leishman(20/1) e.w.
- - Has the game (but not yet a closing pedigree) for what I refer to as ?big boy? courses that usually host big events, and my couple of prior wins with Ogilvy in this event essentially forms 1/2 the basis of a strong history of Aussies at Kapalua in January.
Another Steve - Great Job! on a nicely profitable season last year.
Cheers all around!
GL
Good start, all players under par