trades

selkirk

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Jul 16, 1999
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these two trades will start off the thread will see how well/poorly I do on a few trades, mainly to see what worked and what did not.

these were first posted in Bakers Nasdaq thread.

note: I have writen more puts on Williams and own more shares with covered calls, similar to the trades below since this post; this may effect my outlook.

Williams went up $2.49 there is a story on why in this thread, the puts are doing well, the calls are already in the money and perphaps I wrote them to low, still if I lose the stock will still gain +17.75% (not counting div+ or comission-) in roughly seven months, not a bad trade. May roll up and out will see in July or August.


Recently have been looking at Williams WMB - they have been caught up with Enron and also have problems of their own.

still Feb 19, close $16.72

1. WMB buy 400 $16.72
sell covered calls August $17.50 (last $2.40) bid $2.20 ask $2.50

400 X $2.20 = $880

2. WMB write 4 August 15 puts last $1.95 bid $2 ask $2.40

400 X $2 = $800

plus commissions costs


warning = usually trade Canadian stocks would rate Williams risk level high. still let us see how it turns out.


thanks
selkirk


Williams Resolves Major Issues Related to Debt of Former Subsidiary


16:26 EST Tuesday, March 05, 2002



TULSA, Okla., March 5 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Williams (NYSE: WMB) today announced a significant step toward resolving major issues related to certain financial obligations of its former telecommunications subsidiary.

As a result of successful negotiations with noteholders, Williams has confirmed its responsibility for semiannual interest payments on the $1.4 billion WCG Note Trust notes. The debt, which matures in March 2004, will be reflected on Williams' balance sheet in 2002. As a result of today's agreement, Williams expects that any change in the business condition of Williams Communications Group will have no impact on this note.

Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed. The consent is effective immediately.

Under terms prior to the negotiations with noteholders, the notes were contingent liabilities of Williams with the full $1.4 billion due upon certain changes in the business condition of Williams Communications Group or a trigger directly tied to Williams' credit ratings. The restructured terms remove those triggers.

"This is a very positive development -- one that we believe will be well- received by credit-rating agencies and lenders. We believe our stockholders also should feel more confident that this eliminates any substantial near term cash requirement related to this issue," said Steve Malcolm, president and CEO of Williams.

"We are continuing to resolve these financial issues in a manner that is designed to preserve the financial flexibility and appropriate debt and equity levels that support our investment-grade credit rating," Malcolm said. "The major elements in our effort include today's restructuring of the WCG Note Trust notes, reduced capital spending, asset sales, issuing securities that will result in the issuance of common equity and reducing costs. In addition to what we've already achieved in this area, we will continue to pursue additional measures that we believe best enable the long-term success of the company and meet the credit-rating agencies' new, more conservative standards for an investment-grade balance sheet."

Malcolm said the company plans to release audited 2001 earnings prior to a March 8 analyst conference.

Williams, which on Jan. 29 reported record recurring 2001 segment profit of $2.7 billion, has previously announced a balance-sheet strengthening plan that includes the issuance of $1.1 billion in securities, which has already been accomplished, reduction of 2002 capital spending of $1 billion or more, the sale of assets, and reductions in operating expenses. Part of that overall plan included the removal of triggering events such as the ones eliminated today.

The solicitation agent for the WCG Note Trust consent agreement was Salomon Smith Barney.

About Williams

Williams, through its subsidiaries, connects businesses to energy, delivering innovative, reliable products and services. Williams information is available at www.williams.com .

Portions of this document may constitute "forward-looking statements" as defined by federal law. Although the company believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual outcomes will not be materially different. Any such statements are made in reliance on the "safe harbor" protections provided under the Private Securities Reform Act of 1995. Additional information about issues that could lead to material changes in performance is contained in the company's annual reports filed with the Securities and Exchange.
 
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selkirk

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will start another thread of the mistakes Williams has made in the past two years, there are quite a few, and how they are similar to mistakes made by other companies.

thanks
selkirk
 

selkirk

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the Williams trades are bothing looking good at present, well the covered calls are already in the money but still will be a profitable trade (at least that is what I am telling myself.)

anyways bought 300 shares of EEP, Enbridge Energy partners. This is not Enbridge pipelines but their partnership which they own a stake in. currently yields over 8%, and should grow the distributions on a annual basis. Also as a Canadian like the fact that I am receiving a US div, just in case the Cdn. dollar continues going down.

expect a return of 6-10% on this investment going forward. If you expect 15-20% wrong investment. hopefully something that will give me a decent yield in US dollars. (long term play if everything works out.)


so in keeping with the energy theme
300 EEP at $44.50.

below is a year end report on the company.

thanks
selkirk

Enbridge Energy Partners Increases Cash Distribution, Outlines Business Outlook and Reports 2001 Financial Results

16:42 EST Thursday, January 24, 2002

HOUSTON, Jan. 24 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ --

Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. (NYSE: EEP) today announced a cash distribution of $0.90 per unit to be paid on February 14, 2002 to unitholders of record on February 5, 2002. The declared amount represents an increase in the distribution of $0.10 per unit to $3.60 per unit on an annualized basis. Dan C. Tutcher, President of the General Partner, commented, "The Partnership is increasing its cash distribution as the result of incremental cash flow to be generated by the recently acquired natural gas assets in East Texas and from expected improvements in delivery volumes on the Lakehead crude oil system. This represents the first step in achieving our goal of providing a high single-digit rate of growth for distributions over the next two to three years. We anticipate that additional accretive acquisitions this year should allow us to consider further increases in the level of distribution paid to unitholders."

Tutcher added, "The Partnership stands to deliver considerably improved bottom line performance as our growth potential is realized over the next few years. We expect volumes on the existing systems will continue to increase and that our acquisitions program will have considerable success. The potential for acquisitions is substantial as we estimate that in excess of $5 billion of mature energy transportation assets will become available for purchase within two years. We will actively pursue suitable opportunities in order to build a more diverse and profitable Partnership that will sustain our cash distribution growth strategy."

Based on the results of a recent survey of its customers, the Partnership forecasts that deliveries of crude oil and natural gas liquids on the Lakehead System will climb to between 1.33 and 1.40 million barrels per day ("mmbpd") in 2002. The improvement over average deliveries in 2001 of 1.315 mmbpd is expected to result from increasing production of upgraded crude oil and bitumen from the Alberta Oil Sands, particularly from the major expansion of an existing oil sands plant which came on stream late in 2001.

The Partnership is in the process of updating with its customers the forecast for transportation requirements beyond the current year. It is expected that some US $30 billion of planned investment by western Canadian producers in numerous oil sands facilities will result in strong growth in oil sands production over the next several years. However, these increases are likely to be partially offset for the intermediate term by a continuing lag in recovery of production from conventional western Canadian reserves. The net year-over-year increases in crude oil supply are anticipated to gradually utilize the existing capacity of the Lakehead System to access attractive markets in the US Midwest.

Effective in November 2001, the Partnership diversified its operations to include gathering, treating and processing of natural gas with the acquisition of the East Texas System. The System's extensive natural gas handling capabilities are an advantage to producers in the East Texas region, therefore, throughput is expected to increase over the next few years. An active gas drilling program by the producers and a number of low capital cost system extension opportunities are expected to underpin this growth. In 2002, throughput on this System is forecast to be between 405,000 and 435,000 MMBtu per day.

Based on projected utilization of its Systems, the Partnership estimates that net income will improve in 2002 to between $60 and $75 million, excluding any contributions from potential acquisitions that may be made during the year.

For the three months ended December 31, 2001, the Partnership reported net income of $10.6 million, or $0.26 per unit, compared with $9.4 million, or $0.25 per unit, in the final quarter of 2000. Full-year net income in 2001 of $38.9 million, or $0.98 per unit, compared with $60.2 million, or $1.78 per unit, reported in 2000. Excluding a one-time provision of $5 million related to the estimated expense of relocating the Partnership's offices from Duluth, Minn. to Houston, Texas, earnings would have been $1.14 per unit in 2001. Cash provided from operations excluding changes in operating assets and liabilities was $27.8 million in the final quarter this year, compared to $28.7 million in the comparative quarter in 2000, while for the full year 2001 it was $103.2 million compared to $122.8 million in 2000.

Deliveries on the Lakehead system averaged 1.340 mmbpd in the fourth quarter 2001 compared with 1.361 mmbpd for the same quarter in 2000. Full year deliveries averaged 1.315 mmbpd in 2001 compared with 1.338 mmbpd for the prior year.

For the fourth quarter 2001, an increase in operating income of $2 million was primarily attributable to two factors. Operating revenue from the Lakehead mainline system increased as a higher average per barrel tariff more than offset a decline in average daily deliveries. As well, a contribution to operating income was generated by the North Dakota system, which was acquired by the Partnership in May 2001. Earnings per unit increased by $0.01, after giving effect to the Partnership's issuance of 2.25 million new units on November 26, 2001.

Enbridge Partners will be hosting an investment conference call today commencing at 4:45 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss its 2001 financial results and its business outlook. Interested parties may listen to either a live broadcast of the call via the Internet at enbridgepartners.com/investor or to a replay that will be available on the website for a limited period following the call.

Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. ( http://www.enbridgepartners.com ) owns the United States portion of the world's longest liquid petroleum pipeline, and recently diversified into mid-continent natural gas gathering, treating and processing. Enbridge Energy Company, Inc., an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Enbridge Inc. (enbridge.com) of Calgary, Alberta, holds an effective 13.6% interest in the Partnership. The Partnership's Class A Common Units are traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "EEP." Enbridge Inc. common shares are traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange and on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "ENB."
 

selkirk

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thanks for the comments, each month a small presentation is done for our shareclub. Next month I am going to do a presentation on Income trusts, which are very popular in Canada at present. people are chasing yield. name the product and their will soon be an income trust for it, if there is not already. incredible. just a note of caution I own some trusts on the TSE and they have done very well, also the divs for the most part are secure and going up. However when a sector or type of investment becomes very popular it often signals a top (at least for now).

more info on income trust in about 3-4 weeks.

thanks
selkirk
 

selkirk

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wrote some August $20 puts WMB on Wednesday. got $1 $100 per contract.

wrote five contracts. so basically I have to buy WMB at $20 until August. for this I get $1 a share (500 shares (5contracts)X $1 =$500). So hope it stays above $20

since I am posting this today I will use .55 since the bid is .55 ask .70. for record purposes always take the lowest price.

stock is at $24.01 up today. did not think it would reach $24 this soon. thought it might do this over 12 months.

both Williams trades will make a nice profit but have a feeling will make someones year on the $17.50 calls. should have tried to rollup and out, to late now and at this price.

Enbridge Energy partners is at $44.15, still like the play but probably best to wait to see how much they will pay in their next dividend and also may come under some presure as rates start climbing slowly (hopefully).

have a small position in EEP (going to build it up slowly-hopefully), have done more trades on WMB but they are similar to the ones posted on Williams.

some new stocks in about 2 weeks, hoping for a small sell off to pick up some positions.



thanks
selkirk
 
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selkirk

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will do another trade, soon will organize past trades and current ones in one thread.

write $20 uncovered 6 contracts Nov $20 .55/.75

.55X600= $330

will stay better on top of these Williams trades. wrote quite a few $15 puts August and did well, bought most of them back when the stock fell back to $20, still have some outstanding, big mistake. If you write a put and the stock keeps going up there is nothing to worry about, however if a stock starts falling back you should put in stops, and buy back your puts, could have bought them all back for a nice profit.

The $20 puts were a bad idea almost from the beginning as my upside on the stock was $25-$30 best case scenario. so writing puts at $24 was not wise.

These uncovered calls are a hedge against the $20 August puts which will probably be put to me. overall I believe they are taking the corrects steps after blowing billions on Williams Communications but they are not doing the reorganizing quick enough.



EEP

enbridge partners is at $44.05 but as long as they increase their div and trade flat do not mind. yields over 8%. bought it for US $ income and so far it has done fine.

more trades will concentrate on the Mr. Gic portfolio and Brookfield.

If Williams breaks below $12.25 will buy back puts at a loss and exit position.

thanks
selkirk
 

selkirk

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Williams is down to $12.11 and critical article in the NY times. got stopped out at $12.25, bought back all puts outstanding $20, and $15 for a loss. sold the shares at $12.25.

only thing outstanding is the $17.50 calls August and the $20 November uncovered calls, both should expire worthless.

will take the losses, more trades to come,
the stock seems to have value but when the market takes a stock from $24 to $12 I dont argue. could write more uncovered $20 novembers and may but the puts and stocks postiions are closed out at a loss. A mistake...live and learn.

next trades will make a profit.....company has bad publicity NY times article and trouble with their actions in California. not a death blow but hurts the companies future since they need to raise 2-3 billion, if they do this by a share offer very dilutive.

why they did not issue 500-1.5 billion equity issue when the stock rose from $14 to $24 (anywhere from $20-$24, is beyond me.) when in doubt take my loss and go home.

thanks
selkirk
 
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