Travis Perkins Senior Masters

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Outright plays (2pts):

Guiseppe Cali to win 66/1 e.w. Centrebet
Among the favourites, I do think Torrance and Ebihara have a very good chance of victory, but a place finish from any of these selections will earn just as much, if not more, than a win with either Torrance or Ebihara. And it would not be too much of a surprise if Cali were placed. He has finished in the top-4 in each of the last tow weeks and was a very creditable 13th in the Senior British Open the previous week. With a 7th place finish on his debut on the Edinburgh course at Wentworth last year, there is every reason to expect another competitive performance from the Italian.

David Oakley to win 80/1 e.w. @ Stan James
One of Oakley's four wins on this Tour came in this event in 2001, having finished 3rd the previous year. He also added another win last month when he was tied for the lead with one round to play and shot 68, but was still denied by Seiji Ebihara. It was his second consecutive runners-up finish and he also finished 6th two weeks ago, so he is in good form. It is certainly unusual that a recent winner on a course, who is ranked 5th on a Tour Money List is available at these odds.

David Good to win 100/1 e.w. @ Stan James and BetInternet
Good is another player in the top-10 on the Money List and that is due to eleven top-20 finishes in thirteen European Senior Tour events, including the Senior British Open. As a player who has also finished in the top-20 in each of the last four years here, he certainly looks capable of securing a place win.
 

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Matchup play (4pts):

Bill Longmuir to beat David J. Russell -125 @ Centrebet
Only Centrebet are offering matchups for this event and only three at that, but one does stand out. While Longmuir is a justifiable 4th favourite for this event, Russell lies considerably nearer the middle of the outright odds list. He did open his European Senior Tour career in style with successive runners-up finishes in May, but he struggled since and so trails Longmuir 8-3-1 h2h in all events this year. With Longmuir having played well on this course last year - he was leading the event with one round to play - and Russell making his debut this week, there is little reason for these two to be priced so closely.
 

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -6.00pts

Cali 34th
Oakley 29th
Good 10th

What a frustrating final day! Good had been in 2nd place overnight, but was always slipping down the leaderboard and he finished three shots out of an extremely profitable place win. And to rub salt in the wound, the two players that I eschewed in favour of the outsider strategy finished well clear of the field, Torrance 1st (16/1) and Ebihara 2nd (14/1). Maybe I should stick with the more dependable players!

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-0-0; +4.00pts

Longmuir/Russell WON by 5

Comfortable win to offset some of the losses on the frustrating outrights.

European Senior Tour ytd
Outrights: 1-5; -6.00pts
Matchups: 4-1; +11.46pts
 
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