Trophee Hassan II

PaulW

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Mikael Lundberg 250/1

Misses loads of cuts does Lundberg but has won 3 times on the European Tour, 2 of which were on the Russian track where this week's defending champion Alejandro Canizares also won his first title. 10th last time out at the Tshwane Open & topped the putting stats the week before at the Africa Open. Plenty worse than that at much shorter prices this week.

GL all!
 

Stanley

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Round 1 play (2pts):

Marcel Siem to beat Emiliano Grillo +105 @ SkyBet
Siem was a wire-to-wire winner here two year ago and can earn a place at The Masters with another victory this week - he ranks 68th in the World and victory would lift him into the top-50 ahead of Monday's deadline. He has shown enough form recently to suggest that he can do this - he won the BMW Masters in November against a much stronger field and was in contention at the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am recently. He looks to have the edge over Grillo, the no. 100 in the World Rankings, who finished 12 shots behind Siem in his only previous appearance in this event.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Levy tb Sullivan +100; Green tb Pepperell -106; Green tb An -110; Siem tb Levy -115]
 

Stanley

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Round 2 play (2pts):

Gregory Bourdy to beat David Horsey +138 @ SkyBet
Horsey has a great record in this event, including a win in 2011, but these still looks very good odds to oppose him with a player in great form. Bourdy has four top-15 finishes in his last six starts, plus he also has two top-20 finishes in this event. Bourdy did not have a great 1st round, but in this form he should be very capable of bouncing back in rd2.
 

Stanley

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Round 3 play (2pts):

Jaco Van Zyl to beat Kevin Phelan -127 @ Pinnacle
Backing Van Zyl who is in such a good run of form - in the last five weeks, he has finished 3rd, 2nd, 6th, 15th and 2nd. He is already in the top-10 and clearly looks very capable of staying there for the next two rounds.

[unofficial rd3 system plays: Larrazabal tb Bland -125; Larrazabal tb Cabrera-Bello -120; Wattel tb Santos -125; Saddier tb Schneider -175]
 
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