tshwane open
- Thread starter Let's Have Fun
- Start date
Cant' see far past Sullivan (18/1) or Fisher (16/1) to win this with OWGR top 50 positions within reach and the Augusta cut-off point looming.
Havret & Da Silva both 80/1 look the best of the rags that should suit the tight layout.
GL all!
Havret & Da Silva both 80/1 look the best of the rags that should suit the tight layout.
GL all!
Round 1 play (4pts):
Shiv Kapur to beat Benjamin Hebert +110 @ 5Dimes
Easy to back a player who has made his last three cuts against a player who has missed his last three cuts. Kapur did finish in the top-15 last year, albeit on a different course, so there is a positive mental association with this event. As such, I'd back Kapur at pick'em so to get these odds is a bonus.
Shiv Kapur to beat Benjamin Hebert +110 @ 5Dimes
Easy to back a player who has made his last three cuts against a player who has missed his last three cuts. Kapur did finish in the top-15 last year, albeit on a different course, so there is a positive mental association with this event. As such, I'd back Kapur at pick'em so to get these odds is a bonus.
Tshwane:
Outrights:
David Howell(40/1) e.w.
Robert Rock(66/1) e.w.
Raphael Jacquelin(80/1) e.w.
David Drysdale(125/1) e.w.
Neil Schietekat(200/1) e.w.
Pablo Martin Benavides(200/1) e.w.
GL
Outrights:
David Howell(40/1) e.w.
Robert Rock(66/1) e.w.
Raphael Jacquelin(80/1) e.w.
David Drysdale(125/1) e.w.
Neil Schietekat(200/1) e.w.
Pablo Martin Benavides(200/1) e.w.
GL
Round 2 plays (4pts unless stated):
Simon Dyson to beat Edoardo Molinari +113 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes]
Opposing Molinari who finished day one inside the top-10. He hasn't recorded a top-25 finish in any of his last 12 starts, including three times when he similarly finished rd1 inside the top-10, so confidence that he can stay there should be rather low. Dyson had a poor rd1, but it was the same last week and he jumped 76 places in rd2 so it is not unlikely that he will bounce back again tomorrow.
Ross Fisher to beat Edoardo Molinari -150 @ Paddy Power [2pts]
Also opposing Molinari with Fisher who has finished in the top-30 in all four starts this season and is just outside that mark after the 1st round. The added pressure of being the defending champion will have diminished by rd2 and I'd expect him to once again be in contention this week.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Jacquelin tb Van Der Walt D -111]
Simon Dyson to beat Edoardo Molinari +113 @ Pinnacle [also available @ 5Dimes]
Opposing Molinari who finished day one inside the top-10. He hasn't recorded a top-25 finish in any of his last 12 starts, including three times when he similarly finished rd1 inside the top-10, so confidence that he can stay there should be rather low. Dyson had a poor rd1, but it was the same last week and he jumped 76 places in rd2 so it is not unlikely that he will bounce back again tomorrow.
Ross Fisher to beat Edoardo Molinari -150 @ Paddy Power [2pts]
Also opposing Molinari with Fisher who has finished in the top-30 in all four starts this season and is just outside that mark after the 1st round. The added pressure of being the defending champion will have diminished by rd2 and I'd expect him to once again be in contention this week.
[unofficial rd2 system plays: Jacquelin tb Van Der Walt D -111]
Round 3 plays (2pts):
Keith Horne to beat Adrian Otaegui +105 @ SkyBet
Opposing Otaegui who has a two-shot lead heading into the weekend, but he has never previously been in the lead at the end of any European Tour event and in the one Challenge Tour event that he led after 36 holes, he lost the lead in the 3rd round and finished 5th. Horne leads the field in greens in regulation over the first two rounds and has two top-10 finishes in the last three weeks. He looks perfectly placed to take advantage of any struggles Otaegui is likely to have tomorrow.
Jacques Blaauw to beat Jaco Ahlers -105 @ Bet365
Blaauw is similarly in good form with two top-15 finishes in the last three weeks and he recovered well from a poor opening round. I'll back him to beat Ahlers - he already has a 9-2-3 h2h record against him in rd3 over the past 12 months.
[unofficial rd3 system play: Fisher R tb Coetzee G -111]
Keith Horne to beat Adrian Otaegui +105 @ SkyBet
Opposing Otaegui who has a two-shot lead heading into the weekend, but he has never previously been in the lead at the end of any European Tour event and in the one Challenge Tour event that he led after 36 holes, he lost the lead in the 3rd round and finished 5th. Horne leads the field in greens in regulation over the first two rounds and has two top-10 finishes in the last three weeks. He looks perfectly placed to take advantage of any struggles Otaegui is likely to have tomorrow.
Jacques Blaauw to beat Jaco Ahlers -105 @ Bet365
Blaauw is similarly in good form with two top-15 finishes in the last three weeks and he recovered well from a poor opening round. I'll back him to beat Ahlers - he already has a 9-2-3 h2h record against him in rd3 over the past 12 months.
[unofficial rd3 system play: Fisher R tb Coetzee G -111]
