(mon:5-7-1 +0.78)
33-24-5 +28.19
ML:21-10 +23.54 (faves:9-4 +10.33) (dogs:12-6 +13.21)
RL:5-4 +6.41
1st5:2-1-3 +1.5 (faves:2-0-1 +2.5) (dogs:0-1-2 -1.0)
totals:0-4-1 -7.98 (ov:0-2 -4.5) (un:0-2-1 -3.48)
team totals:2-1-1 +1.02 (ov:2-1-1 +1.02)
parlays:3-4 +3.7
[next RL breakdown doesn't match on the W-L above as if I play both and lose/push then it's 1 loss,]
[...play both and win/win or lose/lose then it's 1 win or 1 loss; +/- matches, as you can see]
(RL(-1):1-1-1 +0.69 (faves:1-1-1 +0.69)*(dogs
)
(RL(-1.5):5-3 +5.72 (faves:2-1 +2.87)*(dogs:3-2 +2.85))
[*obviously fave/dog means -line or +line on the RL's]
(Jays sides:4-2 +5.81 (all dogs--that changes today))
(bigguns(risk+>3.0):4-0 +14.2 (sides:4-0 +14.2))
(windays-losedays: 5-4)(best:+15.57(11-4-1))(worst:-2.56(0-1))
(streak:4 W days)(str.best//worst:4W+26.83(25-14-3)current//3L-4.92(3-6-1)apr6-8)
note: I was doing a breakdown (bracketed) and discovered that last Friday I put my jays 1st5 as a W when it pushed; not sure why the boo-boo but I've taken 1 unit off my overall and adjusted elsewhere, e.g. my best day said +16.57 yesterday. Was drinking Friday night and did a quick tabulation in a rush so I could post and eventually crash. I need to keep posting records different than reality as I often add last-minute bets or what-have-you and don't want to past-post. whatevas
===
Also, crazy breakdown is for my own benefit as opposed to any kudos mongering or what-have-her. I might do some kinda NL/AL splits before it's too much work (I've always found the NL easier but should track it). Anyways, my important plays are all posted so the above will be a good way to see current strengths and weaknesses.
===
Got these 4 fairly early and now not so crazy about them:
Marlins -110 1.1/1
Orioles +105 1/1.05
Blue Jays -109 2.18/2
a's -117 2.34/2
---Arroyo's been crap in 2+2@Land Shark; nothing special during spring but great in his first vs cards; Nate very good[vg] in1 vs (H.Comerica), was great in 1 7-inning spring app.(his only work, as far as I can tell) vg in his 1st @Mets; reasonable edge Flor. bats and reds have stunk in limited vs L '010
---Niemann's been poor in 7+1 vs including crappy in 3+1@Camden; Matusz has faced TB twice and was shit in 1@Trop '09 before looking very good @Trop in his 1st '010...he's been pretty good in 3@Camden and had a vg spring; sticks should be close, here, as rays have been atrocious vs L so far and don't hit nearly as well away from home while the O's do their best work at home to R; rays 13-18 on the road to L '09 while O's were 27-26 home to R (the only above .500 for them in that 4-way split)
---Floyd has been shit in 3+1 vs Jays including 1@from '09 (5 ip, era10.80 whip1.80 baa.350, gave up 2HR and took the L)...he's not so hot on the road, poor at night and had a so-so spring, though he was good in his 1st vs indians; this will be Romero's 1st vs...he had both a vg spring and 1st @Tex; I've got a good edge Jaysticks but it should be noted that pale hose have done their best work vs L the past couple of season and are doing fine so far in '010, not to mention that they're seeing one B2B...I dunno...maybe Lyle Overpaid will surprise; Chisox pen looks great, too, and flippin' Jays might be 7-0 as their only 2 losses came on 9th inning blown saves by Jason Frasor and his sparkling 2.54 whip through 5 games
---B.Anderson has been good in 6 vs including vg in 2@Oakl.Col...he had a pretty good spring and was great in his 1st, at home to this same sinking ship known as the M's...duration is a concern but the pen should be fine; Fister is tough to assess but has been good in 3 vs especially in his 1 home start vs...these numbers as overall, obviously, as he was nothing special in his 1st '010 @Oakland...he had a crappy spring in only 11.2 ip but has been pretty good at SAFECO in 6+1; gotta give the edge to a'sticks as M's OPS is under .600 so far (under .500 vs L) while a's is .750...both near .750 spring training (which is nothing special for spring) though the A's scored 5.3 runs per game while M's cashed 4.6
BTW, Bannister is 3-0 @Comerica with a 0.45 era in 20 ip and was vg in his first '010 H to Tigers. Tempting. Likely get better than current +123 later...maybe +135ish closer to gametime.
How's that for overkill?
I think Wednesday looks to be better.
33-24-5 +28.19
ML:21-10 +23.54 (faves:9-4 +10.33) (dogs:12-6 +13.21)
RL:5-4 +6.41
1st5:2-1-3 +1.5 (faves:2-0-1 +2.5) (dogs:0-1-2 -1.0)
totals:0-4-1 -7.98 (ov:0-2 -4.5) (un:0-2-1 -3.48)
team totals:2-1-1 +1.02 (ov:2-1-1 +1.02)
parlays:3-4 +3.7
[next RL breakdown doesn't match on the W-L above as if I play both and lose/push then it's 1 loss,]
[...play both and win/win or lose/lose then it's 1 win or 1 loss; +/- matches, as you can see]
(RL(-1):1-1-1 +0.69 (faves:1-1-1 +0.69)*(dogs
)(RL(-1.5):5-3 +5.72 (faves:2-1 +2.87)*(dogs:3-2 +2.85))
[*obviously fave/dog means -line or +line on the RL's]
(Jays sides:4-2 +5.81 (all dogs--that changes today))
(bigguns(risk+>3.0):4-0 +14.2 (sides:4-0 +14.2))
(windays-losedays: 5-4)(best:+15.57(11-4-1))(worst:-2.56(0-1))
(streak:4 W days)(str.best//worst:4W+26.83(25-14-3)current//3L-4.92(3-6-1)apr6-8)
note: I was doing a breakdown (bracketed) and discovered that last Friday I put my jays 1st5 as a W when it pushed; not sure why the boo-boo but I've taken 1 unit off my overall and adjusted elsewhere, e.g. my best day said +16.57 yesterday. Was drinking Friday night and did a quick tabulation in a rush so I could post and eventually crash. I need to keep posting records different than reality as I often add last-minute bets or what-have-you and don't want to past-post. whatevas
===
Also, crazy breakdown is for my own benefit as opposed to any kudos mongering or what-have-her. I might do some kinda NL/AL splits before it's too much work (I've always found the NL easier but should track it). Anyways, my important plays are all posted so the above will be a good way to see current strengths and weaknesses.
===
Got these 4 fairly early and now not so crazy about them:
Marlins -110 1.1/1
Orioles +105 1/1.05
Blue Jays -109 2.18/2
a's -117 2.34/2
---Arroyo's been crap in 2+2@Land Shark; nothing special during spring but great in his first vs cards; Nate very good[vg] in1 vs (H.Comerica), was great in 1 7-inning spring app.(his only work, as far as I can tell) vg in his 1st @Mets; reasonable edge Flor. bats and reds have stunk in limited vs L '010
---Niemann's been poor in 7+1 vs including crappy in 3+1@Camden; Matusz has faced TB twice and was shit in 1@Trop '09 before looking very good @Trop in his 1st '010...he's been pretty good in 3@Camden and had a vg spring; sticks should be close, here, as rays have been atrocious vs L so far and don't hit nearly as well away from home while the O's do their best work at home to R; rays 13-18 on the road to L '09 while O's were 27-26 home to R (the only above .500 for them in that 4-way split)
---Floyd has been shit in 3+1 vs Jays including 1@from '09 (5 ip, era10.80 whip1.80 baa.350, gave up 2HR and took the L)...he's not so hot on the road, poor at night and had a so-so spring, though he was good in his 1st vs indians; this will be Romero's 1st vs...he had both a vg spring and 1st @Tex; I've got a good edge Jaysticks but it should be noted that pale hose have done their best work vs L the past couple of season and are doing fine so far in '010, not to mention that they're seeing one B2B...I dunno...maybe Lyle Overpaid will surprise; Chisox pen looks great, too, and flippin' Jays might be 7-0 as their only 2 losses came on 9th inning blown saves by Jason Frasor and his sparkling 2.54 whip through 5 games
---B.Anderson has been good in 6 vs including vg in 2@Oakl.Col...he had a pretty good spring and was great in his 1st, at home to this same sinking ship known as the M's...duration is a concern but the pen should be fine; Fister is tough to assess but has been good in 3 vs especially in his 1 home start vs...these numbers as overall, obviously, as he was nothing special in his 1st '010 @Oakland...he had a crappy spring in only 11.2 ip but has been pretty good at SAFECO in 6+1; gotta give the edge to a'sticks as M's OPS is under .600 so far (under .500 vs L) while a's is .750...both near .750 spring training (which is nothing special for spring) though the A's scored 5.3 runs per game while M's cashed 4.6
BTW, Bannister is 3-0 @Comerica with a 0.45 era in 20 ip and was vg in his first '010 H to Tigers. Tempting. Likely get better than current +123 later...maybe +135ish closer to gametime.
How's that for overkill?
I think Wednesday looks to be better.
