(mon:2-0 +5.85)
79-70-10 +33.11
ML:38-34 +12.47 (faves:23-13 +11.33) (dogs:15-21 +1.14)
RL:15-14 +11.94
1st5:12-4-4 +10.22 (faves:10-0-2 +12.0) (dogs:2-4-2 -1.78)
totals:7-7-4 -3.05 (ov:2-2-1 -2.5) (un:5-5-3 -0.55)
team totals:4-2-2 +0.94 (ov:4-2-2 +0.94)
parlays:3-9 +0.59
=====
nationals +153 0.8/1.22
---Livan has been very good in 10 at Wrigley and great through his first 3; Gorzy so-so vs in 2 starts and pretty bad in 8 at Wrigley...pretty good his first 3 but against pretty weak competition and hasn't last long; nats 3-1 on the road to L, for whatever that's worth--maybe not much as they were 6-15 on the road to L in '09, but they have hit lefties well this year; Cubs pen is unimpressive so far
Astros -120 1.8/1.5
---Harang has followed up his crappy spring by being consistently brutal through his first 4...he's been nothing special vs including 10 at MM; Norris has been so-so though wild and short; Astros with the better pen, sticks and momentum
Cardinals -1 -125 1.25/1
---Lowe has been crap vs in 7 and even worse at in 3 (0-3/8.80era) as well as nothing special his first 4 (wild); Carpenter has been improving and looked good his last 2...he's very good at Busch though poor vs in 7; good edge Cardsticks
Rockies -1.5 +116 1/1.16
---Jackson has been shit vs in 4 (0-1/13.81era) including 2 at Coors...pretty good his first 4 but vs weak; Jimenez has been good vs in 8 and great through his first 4; Rox have the WAY better bullpen; d'backs have been hitting well lately but mostly vs some poor pitching...some better righties have kept them quiet and they much prefer home; other than the Haren game, Rox have been hitting well, also, and do their best (no doubt) at home
Rays -1.5 +120 1/1.2
---still not sold on Sheets as he had a shit spring and has been wild and short; Davis was very good his last 2 and has been good at the Trop in 5 and good nights in 6; Rays pen getting better and a big edge to their sticks here
Royals -1.5 +121 0.83/1
---Snell has been poor vs in 2 including 1 at Kaufmann and has been crap, wild and short his past 2; Greinke still not dominating but has been very good vs in 6+2 (3-0/2.14era) and is very good both home and nights; edge to Royalsticks as m's have carried over their crappy spring hitting into the real deal; Royals middle-relief kind of blows but hopefully Zack can last and closer Soria should be available, unless there's something I'm unaware of--surprised he didn't close Monday
Too many RL's but wha(t)(he)y.
Might parlay the yanks if not too exorbitant.
<object width="480" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/7CSZX3bzNkc&hl=en_US&fs=1&"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/7CSZX3bzNkc&hl=en_US&fs=1&" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="480" height="385"></embed></object>
One of these days I'm going to cut you into little pieces.
79-70-10 +33.11
ML:38-34 +12.47 (faves:23-13 +11.33) (dogs:15-21 +1.14)
RL:15-14 +11.94
1st5:12-4-4 +10.22 (faves:10-0-2 +12.0) (dogs:2-4-2 -1.78)
totals:7-7-4 -3.05 (ov:2-2-1 -2.5) (un:5-5-3 -0.55)
team totals:4-2-2 +0.94 (ov:4-2-2 +0.94)
parlays:3-9 +0.59
=====
nationals +153 0.8/1.22
---Livan has been very good in 10 at Wrigley and great through his first 3; Gorzy so-so vs in 2 starts and pretty bad in 8 at Wrigley...pretty good his first 3 but against pretty weak competition and hasn't last long; nats 3-1 on the road to L, for whatever that's worth--maybe not much as they were 6-15 on the road to L in '09, but they have hit lefties well this year; Cubs pen is unimpressive so far
Astros -120 1.8/1.5
---Harang has followed up his crappy spring by being consistently brutal through his first 4...he's been nothing special vs including 10 at MM; Norris has been so-so though wild and short; Astros with the better pen, sticks and momentum
Cardinals -1 -125 1.25/1
---Lowe has been crap vs in 7 and even worse at in 3 (0-3/8.80era) as well as nothing special his first 4 (wild); Carpenter has been improving and looked good his last 2...he's very good at Busch though poor vs in 7; good edge Cardsticks
Rockies -1.5 +116 1/1.16
---Jackson has been shit vs in 4 (0-1/13.81era) including 2 at Coors...pretty good his first 4 but vs weak; Jimenez has been good vs in 8 and great through his first 4; Rox have the WAY better bullpen; d'backs have been hitting well lately but mostly vs some poor pitching...some better righties have kept them quiet and they much prefer home; other than the Haren game, Rox have been hitting well, also, and do their best (no doubt) at home
Rays -1.5 +120 1/1.2
---still not sold on Sheets as he had a shit spring and has been wild and short; Davis was very good his last 2 and has been good at the Trop in 5 and good nights in 6; Rays pen getting better and a big edge to their sticks here
Royals -1.5 +121 0.83/1
---Snell has been poor vs in 2 including 1 at Kaufmann and has been crap, wild and short his past 2; Greinke still not dominating but has been very good vs in 6+2 (3-0/2.14era) and is very good both home and nights; edge to Royalsticks as m's have carried over their crappy spring hitting into the real deal; Royals middle-relief kind of blows but hopefully Zack can last and closer Soria should be available, unless there's something I'm unaware of--surprised he didn't close Monday
Too many RL's but wha(t)(he)y.
Might parlay the yanks if not too exorbitant.
<object width="480" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/7CSZX3bzNkc&hl=en_US&fs=1&"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/7CSZX3bzNkc&hl=en_US&fs=1&" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="480" height="385"></embed></object>
One of these days I'm going to cut you into little pieces.
