tues aug 3

EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
5,649
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mon: nothing to report, yet...thank Hendrix


lines are from the Greek...often first to open and great software but horrible prices all-round

leans/commentary/whatevas:
---reds -140; Leake pretty good vs in 2 (both'10) and good on the road but nothing special lately with short outings, though the reds BP ain't so bad; Maholm good vs in 17 especially home vs and was good vs in 2 meetings this season...he hasn't excelled at home this year and was horrible his last 2 (sd/COL) though he's capable of the odd gem; reds .759 vs L this year while Pit .662 vs R; cin .753 past week scoring almost 6 per game while Pit .629 scoring 2.5 per; reds 7-10 on road to L while Pit 14-19 at home to R; maybe small at -125 to -130 if reds show some mojo Monday...1st-rounder Leake is cold and Maholm--as mentioned--capable of odd gem; under-lean but listed at 8.5-125 which is unsuitable
---mets +120; lean V as Dickey has been much better than Lowe lately and lineup is decent despite .707 (though app. 5 per) last week...Braves hurting at .611 past week scoring just 2.5 per; neither SP good vs--though both with good BP's behind--so over the 8.5 might show
---phil -1,000,000; hard to discount Doc with the stellar performance lately and the 3 very good vs this season (including the 11-K perfecto); lefty West has been very good down on the farm including a complete game shutout in his last and, with the phils recent reluctance to hit and maybe Howard joining the injured ranks, the under can't be dismissed, despite the 7.5 +100; phil .792 past week scoring around 5 per while Flor .763 scoring the same
---Cubs -115; call-up Diamond a former 1st-rounder but lacks promise, so far, and has been very wild on the farm; Naverson has been spanked by the Cubs, especially in relief (only) at Wrigley and has been nothing special lately and short, meaning the horrible should see some work; impossibly tough call but lean Cubs and over depending on ump, wind, mojo-filter
---Stl -x,000,000; he's been fabulous at home while Norris has been impossible to predict; Cards O, as well, either explodes or disappears; Norris has good numbers vs so maybe an under with a super-ump but the 8+100 doesn't enthrall me; ump news av later after Jake's 1st start with; Cards .779 scoring 5 per last week while 'stros a surprising .840 scoring just over 5 per
---Sanchez/Cook is total passorama, from here, as Sanchez is unpredictable and the Rox O appears to have pulled a Jekyl/Hyde; over the 9 tempting though ump not av until pre-game Tuesday
---Ariz-135; D'Backs unpredictable lately, also, but Saunders was good in his 1st with though very erratic lately...his 1st at Chase; Olsen's been shit vs in 4 (0-2/8.86/.368) especially in the 3 at Chase (incl.429 baa) and his 1st vs Atl since the call-up hasn't got me convinced; this one plays under the 9.5 and/or 'Zona wins, IMO, as I don't see the nats manhandling Saunders...he can durate so the atrocious BP should see minimal work; 'Zona .782 past week scoring almost 6 per while nats .689 scoring 4.5 per
---Padres -110; Latos had been good vs, including this season, good at home and lately; Lilly has been good vs but is without good numbers at Dodger Stadium (0-2/9.20/.328)...he's been good his past 3 after 2 shit; Pads 12-4 at home to L while lad 15-21 at righties; Pads only .607 past week scoring around 3 per while lad a hilarious .459 while scoring under 2 per; price appears a gift, on further reflection


Going to submit and either continue (+113) or hit the bar (-103).


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EXTRAPOLATER

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Feb 22, 2001
5,649
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---Balt -110; Guthrie poor vs but has been good at home and very good past 3, while Bell--1st vs--looks like a lock to not make the HOF; neither club hitting well--laa .654 scoring less than 4 per, O's .690 scoring less than 4 per, but O's have hit much better at home and have shown some flashes lately while laa appears to be suffering a Vlady curse...line very attractive, actually
---Torres-Bonderman game #2 pass...Torres looks unbackable as does both Bonderman and Tig's O
---jays +120; Romero crap vs in 5 especially 3@ but prefer to Moseley despite his recent illusions; jays .896 past week scoring 6 per while Stripes .659 scoring just over 4 per...on the road, mind you...jays tempting but price a little low for my liking
---Bosox -6,660,013; Beck's been good in 2 since DL and they hold the much better BP but I think I'd rather play baccarat
---twins +130; Duensing has been good vs and very good this season, including since being given a starting role...very good as an SP last season, as well; Niemann good vs in 2 GS but so-so lately and not lasting too long; twins .996 past week scoring 8 per while Rays .691 scoring 4 per; twins open this series by manhandling Hellickson and/or Pavano rules and this line will be hoppin'in' for me; TB vg vs L, mind you
---Davies-Mazzaro pass at the price; both good vs but both O's unpredictable...almost calls for a doggie-play just on ridiculous price
---lean Lewis and the rang but Vargas has had a solid season, rang don't prefer L '010 and they've got some injury concerns (Kinsler DL, Josh knee problems); under tempting but 7.5 at -4,000 is a little much; tex .647 past week scoring 3.5 per, and at home, while Seat .536 scoring 2 per
---Cws -125 with Buehrle; hard to trust this guy as he can throw a gem and then stink the joint up for consecutive go's...he's been good vs but couldn't stomach those powerful M's in his last, while Porcello has been shit vs in 3, nothing special at home and same-same lately; game #1 of the 2 but looks like too good of a pass not to pass on

plays pending


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EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
5,649
25
48
Toronto
mon:8-3 +5.4
August:15-15 -3.43
-
ml:3-5 -4.42 (faves:2-3 -3.55) (dogs:1-2 -0.87)
rl: 6-0 +6.15 (NL:5-0 +5.15) (AL:1-0 +1.0) // (V:4-0 +4.15) (H:2-0 +2.0)
totals:1-3 -3.68 (ov: ) (un:1-3 -3.68)
team totals: 0 (ov: )
1st5:4-4 -0.88 (faves:3-1 +1.37) (dogs:0-2 -2.0) (ov: ) (un:1-1 -0.25)
parlays:1-3 -0.6
=====


D'Backs -125 2.5/2
padres +105 1/1.05
Orioles -115 1.15/1
twins +136 1/1.36


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EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
5,649
25
48
Toronto
1st5 phillies@Marlins un4 -104 1.04/1
1st5 D'Backs -135 1.35/1
1st5 Orioles -110 1.1/1
blue jays ov4 -106 1.59/1.5
1st5 twins +140 1/1.4


---ump Johnson in NY an over-lean; be totally surprised if Jays can't plate at least 4 here; wind out to left at 14mph


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