thanks for the kind words big bucksfan...any play i post has a solid trend to back it up.....95% off trends i use are situational....meaning i track how teams react in next game to what happened in previous game....and i dont track how individual teams do, but how the whole league reacts to a certain situation....i dont post gut-feel plays, ever, because mine are terrible.
anyway, since you asked..... college sports are the most emotional of any...so one area i track is how teams react to upset wins or losses..
louisvile is off an outright win as 20 pt dog over fla.st....going back 8-yrs....teams who have achieved this feat and then have been a road fav. of 10+ pts. in next game have gone 1-7 overall ats...as u can see only comes up about once a year....so thats why im on memphis tonite...its pretty much a louisville letdown play....alot of times letdown spots dont come thru, but this is one spot that has numbers to back it up....hopefully this trend comes thru.
gluck with ure plays, burgh.