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LT Profits
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox o9.0 (-110)
Tue Oct 14 '08 8:05p
The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox have gone Over in each of the last two games, and we are looking for a repeat performance tonight.
The Red Sox are turning to Tim Wakefield for Game 4 after it was questionable whether or not he would even be on the playoff roster. After all, Wakefield was just 10-11 this season despite pitched for a team that has won 99 games, and his 4.13 ERA is hardly noteworthy.
Most distressing though is the way the knuckleballer finished the season, as he had a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts, including what may have been his worst outing ever vs. a Tampa Bay team that he had dominated in the past. That start came on September 17, when these Rays reached him for six earned runs in just 2.1 innings of a 10-3 Boston loss.
Now Andy Sonnanstine is actually in good form for the Rays, but do not forget that he still has a modest 4.34 ERA over the entire year. Besides, if Tampa Bay gets to Wakefield as we expect, Sonnanstine may not even need to give up that many runs for the contest to reach double-digits.
The Over is now 6-2-1 in the last nine Red Sox playoff home games after last night, and we look for them to extend this streak tonight.
Rays, Red Sox Over 9 (-110)
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Wunderdog
By: Steve
Game: Tampa Bay at Boston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -144 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.1)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 9 +100 (risk 3 to win 3)
The Red Sox have now dropped two straight games and trail the series to the Rays 2-1. This is a huge game for Boston, especially at home and a loss would be devastating. They will send Tampa killer Tim Wakefield to the mound who owns a 19-5 lifetime record over the Rays. He will backed by the best postseason closer this side of Mariano Rivera in Jonathon Papelbon, who if need be will be summoned for a two-inning close, considering the magnitude and significance of this game. The Rays will counter with Andy Sonnanstine who has pitched well this season, but his career numbers against the Boston are not very good. Boston is 31-11 this season as a home favorite of -125 to -175. I will back the BoSox here and also play the UNDER, as the UNDER is backed by an LCS situation that has produced 67% UNDERS that is live for this game.
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GINA :mj07:
By: Steve
Tuesday, October 14, 2008 8:05 p.m. est.
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
(R) Andy Sonnanstine (1-0) vs. (R) Tim Wakefield (0-0)
Tampa Bay leads best-of-seven series, 2-1
Boston's Tim Wakefield is 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA against Tampa Bay in three starts this season and the Red Sox have lost the right-hander?s last four starts against them. Go with the Rays to give Boston another blow at Fenway. Right-hander Andy Sonnanstine pitched superbly against Boston in two starts this season and Tampa Bay won both.
Tampa Bay Rays +135
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