Fine-tuning my new system, which yields:
Wisconsin -14.5 2 units
NC- Charlotte -2 2 units
Arkansas +2 1 unit
Wyoming +2 1 unit (got this last night online)
Teasers
Wisconsin -10.5 and Charlotte +2 2 units
Wisconsin -10.5 and Duke -24 1 unit
Also,
Duke -26 1 unit (again, got it last night, non-system play, I will write-up and post plays for all Duke games this year, I will be like saint for UNC)
I would write this game up but I'm in a hurry. I would not play this game big either way, Duke should cover but could get backdoored. Daniel Ewing is closer to form after getting rid of his orthotic boot... this gives Duke more scoring punch and better quickness, which will be a plus. Fairfield has gotten rocked each of the past two meetings at Cameron, don't expect that to change, even if Duke gets off to a poor start. Look for Duke to continue their stellar defensive pressure and interior-shotblocking, although Deng Gai (cousin of Luol Deng) is a top-tier shot-blocker himself. You could make strong cases for either side, Fairfield has good value at the current line of 28.
Good luck all,
Grey
Wisconsin -14.5 2 units
NC- Charlotte -2 2 units
Arkansas +2 1 unit
Wyoming +2 1 unit (got this last night online)
Teasers
Wisconsin -10.5 and Charlotte +2 2 units
Wisconsin -10.5 and Duke -24 1 unit
Also,
Duke -26 1 unit (again, got it last night, non-system play, I will write-up and post plays for all Duke games this year, I will be like saint for UNC)
I would write this game up but I'm in a hurry. I would not play this game big either way, Duke should cover but could get backdoored. Daniel Ewing is closer to form after getting rid of his orthotic boot... this gives Duke more scoring punch and better quickness, which will be a plus. Fairfield has gotten rocked each of the past two meetings at Cameron, don't expect that to change, even if Duke gets off to a poor start. Look for Duke to continue their stellar defensive pressure and interior-shotblocking, although Deng Gai (cousin of Luol Deng) is a top-tier shot-blocker himself. You could make strong cases for either side, Fairfield has good value at the current line of 28.
Good luck all,
Grey