Tuesday$ Big Hit$

[bigruss50]

Another extremely profitable evening last night at 3-0 ATS +6 units.

YTD overall 8-1 +13 units

Lets keep this bus rolling....

Baylor +7.5 hosting Oklahoma for 2 units

The Bears are a night and day ballclub when it comes to home and away games but this one looks like a great play here as the Sooners head to Waco. At the Ferrell Center, Baylor has been tough to beat and even tougher to blow out. The bears are 12-2 at home this year with their lone losses coming to Okla st by 11(where baylor blew a lead in the final minutes) and Texas by 6 (where 42% FT shooting absolutely killed the bears). A good example of their home-road difference is the TAMU matchup where baylor lost by 4 at A&M on Jan 19th and then took them behind the woodshed two weeks later, in a 97-45 drubbing. Baylor is a very balanced team (8 different players have led them in scoring this year) and they have a very realistic chance to pull the shocker in Waco tonight. Oklahoma is in disarray since Kansas punched them a month ago. Before that they were ultra-confident with a 14-1 record. Since that game, they have come unglued with a 6-3 mark that included a one point thriller at Texas and a 4 point squeaker at TAMU to go along with three other road losses. The Bears come to play and Oklahoma pulls out a miracle late to avoid the huge letdown. OKLA by 3

 

[dr. freeze]

my thinking is same......if Baylor doesn't keep game close, refs will.....typical big 12 game........like the points......

 

[bigruss50]

another play

another play

Dr. Freeze, good call on the refs. I think the big 12 is probably the toughest conference in the nation to win on the road, and the refs usually have a lot to do with that.

Im adding another play

Depaul +17.5 hosting Cincy for 2 units

The bearcats are playing as good as anyone in the country right now but they are due for a bit of a letdown. This is a prime spot for one as they have a HUGE game at home against marquette for the CUSA crown on Friday. UC only beat Depaul by 17 in Cincy so I dont expect them to run up the score much in this one either. This depaul team is one blowout away from completely falling apart but I dont think they let that happen here. Depaul has lost to this team 21 of the last 22 times so all this upset talk might be too much but its not too much to ask them to stay within 17. Really there are two ways this game can go. Cincy's comes out firing and blows them out of the gym in a 40 point rout or Cincy comes out firing and then saves their starters for friday in a 13 point cruise. Kennedy knows this might be his last chance and without a strong effort here, depaul will absolutely crumble and not even make the conference tourney. I just think they will be way more motivated than cincy in this one. Cincy rolls but no cover here. Bearcats by 13 in a backdoor cover

 

[superbook]

Cincy first half?

 

[bigruss50]

1st half

1st half

I have never bet on the first half and wont start tonight but it really would be a great play in this situation. I've bet on 2nd halves a few times just from gut feelings and they havent worked out too well so I stay away from halves altogether. But like I said, Cincy should come out firing and want to build up a huge lead before resting their starters late in the game, so Cincy would be a good play here.