Last post went 1-3-1 on Sunday but with a single bucket in two different games (Notre Dame/Seton Hall and Virginia/Mizzu) it could've been a very nice 3-1 day instead. Onto 3 underdog picks for today:
1)Iowa(+7.5)
Iowa has better numbers in the all important defensive FG% at 40.8% to 41.2% for Indiana. In 3 point defensive FG%, the difference is greater with Iowa checking in at 32.1% while the Hoosiers have struggled at 37.4%.
In their last 4 trips to Indiana, the Hawkeyes are 2-2 and have covered this 7.5 number all 4 times.
2)Siena(+9.5)
Yes, Manhattan has a gaudy 16-4 W/L record but they are just 7-9 ATS, a more revealing number.
In Defensive FG%, Siena is actually better at 38.2% compared to 40.7%. Over the last 5 games for each team, the difference in this category is even greater as Siena checks in at 35.9%, while Manhattan has been very poor at 46.6%. Also, in each teams last 5 games, Siena actually has better numbers in offensive FG% (43.5% to 41.3%) and a pronounced advantage in 3 point defensive FG% at 31.4% to Manhattan's brutal 47.9%.
In the last 3 trips here, Siena is 2-1 straight up with the only loss by just 5 points.
3)UAB(+8)
Once again, we have a substantial underdog who has better numbers in the most important category that I look at..........defensive FG%. UAB checks in at 41.0% while S.Fla is at 43.0%. In 3 point defensive FG%, UAB sits at 31.1% and S.Fla sits at 36.7%.
In their last 5 trips to South Florida, UAB is 3-2 straight up with one of the losses by a single point. They are 6-3 ATS in the last 9 meetings overall vs South Florida.
Good luck out there tonight,
Tiger
1)Iowa(+7.5)
Iowa has better numbers in the all important defensive FG% at 40.8% to 41.2% for Indiana. In 3 point defensive FG%, the difference is greater with Iowa checking in at 32.1% while the Hoosiers have struggled at 37.4%.
In their last 4 trips to Indiana, the Hawkeyes are 2-2 and have covered this 7.5 number all 4 times.
2)Siena(+9.5)
Yes, Manhattan has a gaudy 16-4 W/L record but they are just 7-9 ATS, a more revealing number.
In Defensive FG%, Siena is actually better at 38.2% compared to 40.7%. Over the last 5 games for each team, the difference in this category is even greater as Siena checks in at 35.9%, while Manhattan has been very poor at 46.6%. Also, in each teams last 5 games, Siena actually has better numbers in offensive FG% (43.5% to 41.3%) and a pronounced advantage in 3 point defensive FG% at 31.4% to Manhattan's brutal 47.9%.
In the last 3 trips here, Siena is 2-1 straight up with the only loss by just 5 points.
3)UAB(+8)
Once again, we have a substantial underdog who has better numbers in the most important category that I look at..........defensive FG%. UAB checks in at 41.0% while S.Fla is at 43.0%. In 3 point defensive FG%, UAB sits at 31.1% and S.Fla sits at 36.7%.
In their last 5 trips to South Florida, UAB is 3-2 straight up with one of the losses by a single point. They are 6-3 ATS in the last 9 meetings overall vs South Florida.
Good luck out there tonight,
Tiger
