07:05 PM NHL [4] New York Rangers -1.5 -110
07:05 PM NHL [6] New Jersey Devils -164
07:35 PM NHL [14] Montreal Canadiens -200
09:05 PM NHL [20] Colorado Avalanche -1.5 +200
07:30 PM CFB [103] Western Michigan -21.5 -110
10:35 PM NBA [512] Los Angeles Lakers -5-105
1 unit bet pays 50 ....betdsi line
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :SIB:em71:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Oilers @ Penguins
Pick: Under 5.5
First-place Edmonton has impressed with their fast skating offense, but don't overlook the defense that is ninth in the NHL in goals allowed, and fourth in penalty killing. Edmonton is on an 8-2 run UNDER the total, as well as 14-2 UNDER after allowing two or fewer goals in their previous game. They come off a 2-1 win at Detroit and the team is 14-6-1 UNDER after scoring two or fewer goals. And speaking of defense, defending champion Pittsburgh can play tough 'D', too, off a 5-0 win at San Jose. Pittsburgh is also 7-2-2 UNDER the total against the Pacific Division and this shapes up as a defensive battle.
Ottawa +145 over NASHVILLE
OT included. One of our NHL strategies right now is to attack weak goaltenders when taking back a price. Pekka Rinne is always capable of losing games all on his own and it?s not like the Preds are killing it anyway. Nashville has three wins in 11 tries. Nobody on the team has more points than Flop Forsberg?s seven but his plus/minus is -4. P.K. Subban?s plus/minus is -7. Only two players on the entire roster, Matt Irwin and Auston Watson, are on the positive side of plus/minus. Viktor Arvidsson has been the teams? leading scorer for most of the year so far. Nashville is probably better than their record but they have very little chance of winning if the game goes into OT because Rinne is so weak. Nashville is now 0-3 in extra time this season and as those soft goals and OT losses mount, team morale declines. We are seeing the effects of weak goaltending on several teams. We see it with Carolina, Winnipeg and Calgary among others, whereas they?re all having difficulty winning because it becomes increasingly difficult for players to get up for games when the goalies keep letting you down. Add Nashville to that list.
The exact opposite is going on in Ottawa with Craig Anderson (.930 SV%). He?s been tremendous in goal and very quietly the Senators have won seven games in 11 tries. Furthermore, the Sens aren?t even scoring much so when their point producers start producing, they are going to become even more difficult to defeat. Ottawa ranks eighth in the league in high quality scoring chances against. They rank 14th in quality scoring chances. While one can expect a sense of urgency from the Preds here, it?s not going to deter us from fading an overpriced, weak goaltender. The Sens have condfidence and swag and their focus seems to be better than it has been for quite some time.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Play: Under 201
The Grizzlies are playing their 8th game of the season and they've only had 2 games this season exceed 200 points and one of those was an overtime game. Memphis has stayed under the total in all 4 of their November games, even though one of those also went to OT, and none of the games exceeded 196 points. Both Denver and Memphis like to roll with 2 big men on the floor and that is going to limit offensive production in the lane for each of these teams. Also, both teams do have some injury issues effecting perimeter scoring right now. This should help lead to a rather ugly, low-scoring game Tuesday as Memphis has shot 38.3% or less from the field in all 4 games this month! The Nuggets are off of a great shooting night at New York on Sunday but previously were held to 40.7% or less from the field in 3 of their 4 prior games. 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams have stayed under the total and the under is 22-12 in the Grizzlies last 34 November games. More of the same tonight.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Play: Under 200?
The books have set the mark on the total too high for tonight's Western Conference showdown between the Nuggets and Grizzlies. Memphis is a team built for low-scoring games as they rank 2nd to last in offensive efficiency. Denver isn't too far behind, as they are just 21st in offensive efficiency. While the Nuggets rank 4th in pace, the Grizzlies are 24th. The key here is that Memphis should be able to dictate the tempo at home, especially with this being the 5th straight road game for Denver and 4th in the last 6 days. Nuggets are also coming off a huge win at Boston and have a big home game on deck against the Warriors Thursday, putting them in a big letdown spot. This feels like a must win game for Memphis off two straight losses and 6 of their next 7 on the road, so they should bring the defensive intensity here.
Atlanta Hawks +8.5
The Atlanta Hawks are 4-2 this season and coming off a 112-97 home victory over Houston. They have had two days off since to prepare for the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Hawks want to make a statement tonight and let the Cavaliers know that they are going to have to deal with them. Fading Cleveland has been a great move of late. The Cavs are 6-0 this season, but they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall as all four wins came by 8 points or fewer. They don't seem to be concerned with blowing teams out, but rather just winning games. That was evident in their lackluster 102-101 win at Philadelphia last time out as 12-point favorites. The Hawks were swept by the Cavs in the playoffs last year and want revenge.
DEN @ MEM -2.5
Here?s an interesting spot to analyze. Denver is playing their 6th consecutive road game and their 6th game in 9 nights. They?re also coming off a huge win @ Boston, a team that is supposed to challenge for the 2nd seed in the Eastern Conference. This could be a big ?let down? spot for the Nuggets. Memphis is off 2 losses, but both came to playoff teams in LAC and POR. They?re playing their 4th straight home game, and are much more rested. The spot suggests to take a look at the home team in this one. Lean: MEM -2.5
Minnesota +3.5
Minnesota hasn't been as sharp as most think, but they have the talent to get it together and should be rather strong as the season moves along...Problem here for the Nets is the amount of points they can generate..If this game turns into and up and down affair, the T-Wolves will eventually pull away and cover this number..I expect that pace, because Brooklyn even at home falls into the oppositions pace more often then not.....Brooklyn has done some things well and it's the small things....They are very good at stealing the basketball and good at rebounds as well..It's those things that keep them close and that actually got them to 2-4 this year...Still Minnesota has too much speed and too many pure scorers on this team..Defense isn't the hallmark of this Timberwolves team, but they are getting better...Most likely Wiggins will draw the best scorer for the Nets and that will limit the over output of points for the Nets..The reason the T-Wolves are favored by 2 buckets here is because they are better...T-Wolves have had a tough schedule thus far, but this is by far the weakest team they will have seen all season..I think it shows up here tonight and the T-Wolves win in convincing fashion.
New Orleans at Sacramento
Play: New Orleans +5.5
Sacramento has a better coach this season and a new state-of-the-art arena, but don't get ahead of yourself with this team. The Kings are still the Kings, which means they are overpriced here.
If there is a big man better than DeMarcus Cousins it's Anthony Davis. Davis is averaging 30.4 points, 11.9 rebounds and leads the NBA in blocked shots at 2.8.
New Orleans played last night covering against Golden State. The Pelicans are 0-7, but are better than their record. They've lost twice in overtime and suffered two other losses by a combined nine points. They shouldn't be fatigued playing without rest this early in the season.
Yes, the Pelicans are a lottery team. They're missing a couple of key cogs with Jrue Holiday and Tyreke Evans sidelined. But the Kings aren't any better.
The Kings are trying to find their identity under new coach Dave Joerger. This is a bad spot, too, for Sacramento traveling home after concluding a five-game, eight-day road trip that finished up Sunday. with a 96-91 upset win against Toronto.
The Kings are a work in progress. Their dynamics are going to be different here as starting point guard Darren Collison makes his season debut after sitting out an eight-game suspension. There's going to be an adjustment period for the Kings going from Ty Lawson to Collison, who figures to be rusty. Collison is an upgrade. Lawson can't shoot, or make free throws. But that difference might not show up for a while at least not in Collison's first game back.
Sacramento was the worst defensive team in the league last season giving up 109.1 points a game. Joerger is working on that. The Pelicans have surrendered six more points per game than the Kings so far this season - but have also played Golden State twice. The Warriors averaged 119 points against the Pelicans in those two games. Discount those two games and New Orleans would be surrendering an average of 98.8 points in regulation, which would rank as the 10th best in the league.
New Orleans is desperate for a victory. The Pelicans have beaten the Kings six straight times, including all four meetings last season.
WESTERN MICHIGAN AT KENT STATE
PLAY: WESTERN MICHIGAN -21.5
Forget the numbers here. I?m fading Kent State as I have to think the team is in a state of shock right now.
In case you missed it, star safety Nate Holley will be watching this game from a halfway house. Holley was arrested Friday on a kidnapping charge, so he has obviously been suspended. This is not only a huge loss for the Golden Flashes from a personnel standpoint as he?s a terrific player, but I have to think it?s a mental stunner for the team.
One also cannot help but speculate what impact this has on Nick Holley. Nick is Nate?s twin brother, and he also happens to be the starting quarterback for Kent State.
Western Michigan is angling toward a perfect season and a Cotton Bowl invite as the Group of Five representative. The Broncos are totally legit. They?re also pretty good at wiping the floor with overmatched opposition, so laying even a number as large as this one is not overly concerning.
The math on this game suggests the line is a bit inflated. But considering the mitigating circumstances, I have to think it?s justified. Sometimes teams galvanize and come up with monster efforts in the face of adversity. But considering what has just gone down for Kent State, I just don?t see that being likely. Even at the huge number, I?d lay it here with Western Michigan.
07:05 PM NHL [6] New Jersey Devils -164
07:35 PM NHL [14] Montreal Canadiens -200
09:05 PM NHL [20] Colorado Avalanche -1.5 +200
07:30 PM CFB [103] Western Michigan -21.5 -110
10:35 PM NBA [512] Los Angeles Lakers -5-105
1 unit bet pays 50 ....betdsi line
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :SIB:em71:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Oilers @ Penguins
Pick: Under 5.5
First-place Edmonton has impressed with their fast skating offense, but don't overlook the defense that is ninth in the NHL in goals allowed, and fourth in penalty killing. Edmonton is on an 8-2 run UNDER the total, as well as 14-2 UNDER after allowing two or fewer goals in their previous game. They come off a 2-1 win at Detroit and the team is 14-6-1 UNDER after scoring two or fewer goals. And speaking of defense, defending champion Pittsburgh can play tough 'D', too, off a 5-0 win at San Jose. Pittsburgh is also 7-2-2 UNDER the total against the Pacific Division and this shapes up as a defensive battle.
Ottawa +145 over NASHVILLE
OT included. One of our NHL strategies right now is to attack weak goaltenders when taking back a price. Pekka Rinne is always capable of losing games all on his own and it?s not like the Preds are killing it anyway. Nashville has three wins in 11 tries. Nobody on the team has more points than Flop Forsberg?s seven but his plus/minus is -4. P.K. Subban?s plus/minus is -7. Only two players on the entire roster, Matt Irwin and Auston Watson, are on the positive side of plus/minus. Viktor Arvidsson has been the teams? leading scorer for most of the year so far. Nashville is probably better than their record but they have very little chance of winning if the game goes into OT because Rinne is so weak. Nashville is now 0-3 in extra time this season and as those soft goals and OT losses mount, team morale declines. We are seeing the effects of weak goaltending on several teams. We see it with Carolina, Winnipeg and Calgary among others, whereas they?re all having difficulty winning because it becomes increasingly difficult for players to get up for games when the goalies keep letting you down. Add Nashville to that list.
The exact opposite is going on in Ottawa with Craig Anderson (.930 SV%). He?s been tremendous in goal and very quietly the Senators have won seven games in 11 tries. Furthermore, the Sens aren?t even scoring much so when their point producers start producing, they are going to become even more difficult to defeat. Ottawa ranks eighth in the league in high quality scoring chances against. They rank 14th in quality scoring chances. While one can expect a sense of urgency from the Preds here, it?s not going to deter us from fading an overpriced, weak goaltender. The Sens have condfidence and swag and their focus seems to be better than it has been for quite some time.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Play: Under 201
The Grizzlies are playing their 8th game of the season and they've only had 2 games this season exceed 200 points and one of those was an overtime game. Memphis has stayed under the total in all 4 of their November games, even though one of those also went to OT, and none of the games exceeded 196 points. Both Denver and Memphis like to roll with 2 big men on the floor and that is going to limit offensive production in the lane for each of these teams. Also, both teams do have some injury issues effecting perimeter scoring right now. This should help lead to a rather ugly, low-scoring game Tuesday as Memphis has shot 38.3% or less from the field in all 4 games this month! The Nuggets are off of a great shooting night at New York on Sunday but previously were held to 40.7% or less from the field in 3 of their 4 prior games. 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams have stayed under the total and the under is 22-12 in the Grizzlies last 34 November games. More of the same tonight.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Play: Under 200?
The books have set the mark on the total too high for tonight's Western Conference showdown between the Nuggets and Grizzlies. Memphis is a team built for low-scoring games as they rank 2nd to last in offensive efficiency. Denver isn't too far behind, as they are just 21st in offensive efficiency. While the Nuggets rank 4th in pace, the Grizzlies are 24th. The key here is that Memphis should be able to dictate the tempo at home, especially with this being the 5th straight road game for Denver and 4th in the last 6 days. Nuggets are also coming off a huge win at Boston and have a big home game on deck against the Warriors Thursday, putting them in a big letdown spot. This feels like a must win game for Memphis off two straight losses and 6 of their next 7 on the road, so they should bring the defensive intensity here.
Atlanta Hawks +8.5
The Atlanta Hawks are 4-2 this season and coming off a 112-97 home victory over Houston. They have had two days off since to prepare for the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Hawks want to make a statement tonight and let the Cavaliers know that they are going to have to deal with them. Fading Cleveland has been a great move of late. The Cavs are 6-0 this season, but they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall as all four wins came by 8 points or fewer. They don't seem to be concerned with blowing teams out, but rather just winning games. That was evident in their lackluster 102-101 win at Philadelphia last time out as 12-point favorites. The Hawks were swept by the Cavs in the playoffs last year and want revenge.
DEN @ MEM -2.5
Here?s an interesting spot to analyze. Denver is playing their 6th consecutive road game and their 6th game in 9 nights. They?re also coming off a huge win @ Boston, a team that is supposed to challenge for the 2nd seed in the Eastern Conference. This could be a big ?let down? spot for the Nuggets. Memphis is off 2 losses, but both came to playoff teams in LAC and POR. They?re playing their 4th straight home game, and are much more rested. The spot suggests to take a look at the home team in this one. Lean: MEM -2.5
Minnesota +3.5
Minnesota hasn't been as sharp as most think, but they have the talent to get it together and should be rather strong as the season moves along...Problem here for the Nets is the amount of points they can generate..If this game turns into and up and down affair, the T-Wolves will eventually pull away and cover this number..I expect that pace, because Brooklyn even at home falls into the oppositions pace more often then not.....Brooklyn has done some things well and it's the small things....They are very good at stealing the basketball and good at rebounds as well..It's those things that keep them close and that actually got them to 2-4 this year...Still Minnesota has too much speed and too many pure scorers on this team..Defense isn't the hallmark of this Timberwolves team, but they are getting better...Most likely Wiggins will draw the best scorer for the Nets and that will limit the over output of points for the Nets..The reason the T-Wolves are favored by 2 buckets here is because they are better...T-Wolves have had a tough schedule thus far, but this is by far the weakest team they will have seen all season..I think it shows up here tonight and the T-Wolves win in convincing fashion.
New Orleans at Sacramento
Play: New Orleans +5.5
Sacramento has a better coach this season and a new state-of-the-art arena, but don't get ahead of yourself with this team. The Kings are still the Kings, which means they are overpriced here.
If there is a big man better than DeMarcus Cousins it's Anthony Davis. Davis is averaging 30.4 points, 11.9 rebounds and leads the NBA in blocked shots at 2.8.
New Orleans played last night covering against Golden State. The Pelicans are 0-7, but are better than their record. They've lost twice in overtime and suffered two other losses by a combined nine points. They shouldn't be fatigued playing without rest this early in the season.
Yes, the Pelicans are a lottery team. They're missing a couple of key cogs with Jrue Holiday and Tyreke Evans sidelined. But the Kings aren't any better.
The Kings are trying to find their identity under new coach Dave Joerger. This is a bad spot, too, for Sacramento traveling home after concluding a five-game, eight-day road trip that finished up Sunday. with a 96-91 upset win against Toronto.
The Kings are a work in progress. Their dynamics are going to be different here as starting point guard Darren Collison makes his season debut after sitting out an eight-game suspension. There's going to be an adjustment period for the Kings going from Ty Lawson to Collison, who figures to be rusty. Collison is an upgrade. Lawson can't shoot, or make free throws. But that difference might not show up for a while at least not in Collison's first game back.
Sacramento was the worst defensive team in the league last season giving up 109.1 points a game. Joerger is working on that. The Pelicans have surrendered six more points per game than the Kings so far this season - but have also played Golden State twice. The Warriors averaged 119 points against the Pelicans in those two games. Discount those two games and New Orleans would be surrendering an average of 98.8 points in regulation, which would rank as the 10th best in the league.
New Orleans is desperate for a victory. The Pelicans have beaten the Kings six straight times, including all four meetings last season.
WESTERN MICHIGAN AT KENT STATE
PLAY: WESTERN MICHIGAN -21.5
Forget the numbers here. I?m fading Kent State as I have to think the team is in a state of shock right now.
In case you missed it, star safety Nate Holley will be watching this game from a halfway house. Holley was arrested Friday on a kidnapping charge, so he has obviously been suspended. This is not only a huge loss for the Golden Flashes from a personnel standpoint as he?s a terrific player, but I have to think it?s a mental stunner for the team.
One also cannot help but speculate what impact this has on Nick Holley. Nick is Nate?s twin brother, and he also happens to be the starting quarterback for Kent State.
Western Michigan is angling toward a perfect season and a Cotton Bowl invite as the Group of Five representative. The Broncos are totally legit. They?re also pretty good at wiping the floor with overmatched opposition, so laying even a number as large as this one is not overly concerning.
The math on this game suggests the line is a bit inflated. But considering the mitigating circumstances, I have to think it?s justified. Sometimes teams galvanize and come up with monster efforts in the face of adversity. But considering what has just gone down for Kent State, I just don?t see that being likely. Even at the huge number, I?d lay it here with Western Michigan.
