Tuesday Plays...

Destructor D

Destructor
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Dec 6, 2005
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37-21-4 after going 1-1 last night. Damn Nets couldn't have played worse in the last 5 minutes offensively. Really sad a veteran team plays like such crap with their season on the line, but go figure. Lebron was incredible.

Wizards @ Pacers - Washington is 5-0 ATS this post season on the road based on closing lines. They have been a poor 1-3 ATS @ home. Pacers took a commanding 3-1 series lead, but I believe closing out the Wizards won't be easy. At any rate, I like catching the points.

Wizards +6 (-120) for 8*

Clippers @ Thunder - Clippers have been horrid ATS this post season at 2-7 their last 9 games. Their backers are being sent to the poor house in a hurry. However, I have to believe LAC stealing game #4 could carry to nice momentum for game #5. I also don't believe either team should be favored by over 5 points in this series as they're too evenly matched overall.

Clippers +6 (-120) for 10*

GLTA
 

Jord20

Sharp
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Jun 27, 2002
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I don't have the stats to back it up, but I believe buying points consistently in hoops at -120 is extremely negative EV. JMHO

Nice playoffs so far, bud. Keep it up.

GL :toast:
 

Destructor D

Destructor
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2005
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Respect your thoughts Jordan. Not sure if it's sharp, but typically on tight spreads with half-point involved, I buy the half along with key numbers. It has benefited me a few times during the playoffs is what I do know, but don't feel like spending the time to research.
 

Destructor D

Destructor
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2005
8,563
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Kansas City, MO
I would guess overall, buying half-points is a negative deal, but I recall buying Memphis to +3.5 vs. Thunder when they lost by 3 in I believe game #6 and recall a few of my pushes are from buying points. Anyway, I hate losing by a half-point so will likely keep doing it. A push means I don't lose juice and this is important to me long-term. At any rate, we play -120 favorites in every sport everyday and don't question it.

Glad I'm 39-21-4 now for playoffs and would love a 3 game winning streak to hit 67% again. Feel both chalk might have value tomorrow being able to closeout and both dogs knowing they have already lost by double digits at homes to the favorites. Will wait and see how lines move before deciding anything. However, Blazers seemed to grab some swag on Monday, they might come ready. Nets, think they're probably cooked and Lebron won't score 49, but Nets don't have an answer. Heat can 3-peat if Lebron keeps being the Alpha Dog!

Night everyone! Glad to be 2-0 tonight and back on a 5-1 run...
 
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