Tuesday Service Plays 4/15

Al Kaline

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The Wunderdog

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Texas (2:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas -108 (moneyline)

Dustin Mosely has not been getting it done for the Angels. He enters off two bad outings and a 7.36 ERA. Texas already touched him up for five runs in five innings this season. Meanwhile Kevin Millwood is off to a blazing start, allowing just thyree runs in 21 innings of work, which includes an eight-inning, two-run performance over the Angels. Over his career Millwood has handled this Angel lineup to the tune of a 3.38 ERA, so we will ride the Rangers to pick up the home win.
 

Al Kaline

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Cincinnati (6-7) at Chicago Cubs (7-5)
Two N.L. Central foes renew their rivalry for the first time in 2008, as the Reds send ace Aaron Harang (1-1, 2.14 ERA) to the hill to battle the Cubs? Ryan Dempster (1-0, 0.69). Cincinnati took Monday off after getting swept over the weekend in Pittsburgh, losing a pair of one-run games on Friday and Saturday, then getting blasted 9-1 on Sunday. The Reds are 2-4 on the road this year. Also, they?re in funks of 2-6 on the road (2-4 this year) and 2-6 as a favorite. The Cubs capped a 4-2 road trip with Sunday?s 6-5, 10-inning victory in Philadelphia. Going back to April 5, Chicago is on a 6-2 roll.
These teams split their 18-game season series last year, though the Cubs did win three of the last four. Also, the road team went 7-4 in their final 11 battles of 2007. The Reds improved to 16-5 in Harang?s last 21 road starts and 20-6 in Harang?s last 26 as a road underdog when the hard-throwing right-hander dominated the Brewers in Thursday?s 4-1 victory in Milwaukee. Harang, who gave up just a run on five hits with no walks and three strikeouts against the Brewers has surrendered just five earned runs in three starts spanning 21 innings. Harang is 8-3 with a 4.44 ERA in 15 career starts against Chicago, including 4-0 with a 4.65 ERA in eight outings at Wrigley Field. Last year, he faced the Cubs six times, going 3-2 with a 4.76 ERA. One more positive for the Reds: They?re 5-0 in Harang?s last five starts at Wrigley. Dempster has made a very successful transition from the bullpen to the starting rotation thus far, yielding just two runs (one earned) on four hits and four walks with 10 strikeouts in two starts spanning 13 innings. One Wednesday in Pittsburgh, Dempster threw seven shutout innings and gave up just a single hit and two walks, with the Cubs needing 14 innings to pull out a 6-4 victory. In his one home start this season, Dempster held the Brewers to two runs (one earned) on three hits in six innings, winning 6-3.
Dempster is 3-3 with a 5.00 ERA and five saves in 31 appearances (seven starts) against the Reds. He hasn?t started against Cincy since 2005 when with the Marlins. The under is 6-1 in Harang?s last seven starts overall. Also, the under is 4-1 in the last five series meetings and 5-2 in the Reds? last seven overall. However, the over is 4-2 in Chicago?s last six overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (8-6) at Cleveland (5-8)
One night after watching closer Joe Borowski implode in a tough loss to Boston, the Indians will try to bounce back when they send Paul Byrd (0-2, 11.05) to the mound opposite knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (1-1, 3.27) in battle of grizzled veterans. Borowski blew a 4-3 ninth-inning lead on Monday night, giving up four hits and three runs in just 2/3 of an inning to lose 6-4. Cleveland has lost eight of its last 11, including four of the last five overall and four of five at home. Meanwhile, Boston is now in the midst of its first three-game winning streak of the season. The Red Sox are now 10-5 against the Tribe since the start of last season, including four straight wins going back to Game 5 of last year?s American League Championship Series. Going back even further, Boston is 12-5 in its last 17 games in Cleveland.
Byrd got pummeled in Thursday afternoon?s 9-5 loss at the Angels, giving up six runs on five hits (three earned runs) over just three innings. The right-hander, whose first two starts have come on the road, returns to Progressive Field, where he went 8-4 last year despite a beefy 5.68 ERA.
Byrd is 4-2 with a 4.12 ERA in seven career outings against the Red Sox, Last year, he faced them twice, giving up two runs (one earned) in six innings in an 8-4 road win in May, then allowing two runs on six hits in five innings in a 7-3 playoff victory in mid-October. Cleveland is 3-1 in his four starts against Boston the last two years (2-0 at home). Wakefield wobbled a bit in Thursday?s home start against Detroit, yielding three hits and five walks over five innings, but he surrendered just two runs (one earned) and recorded a 12-6 victory. Wakefield is 9-8 with a 4.50 ERA In 23 games (18 starts) against the Indians, including 5-4 with a 4.64 ERA In 11 appearances (10 starts) in Cleveland. However, last year Wakefield faced the Indians (once in the regular season, once in the playoffs), and went 0-2 with a 6.97 ERA.
The over is 6-1-2 in Byrd?s last nine starts overall, 7-1-1 in his last nine at home, 3-0-1 in his last four against Boston and 5-2-2 in Wakefield?s last nine overall. Furthermore, including last night?s high-scoring affair, the over is 6-1-2 in the last nine series meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
 

Al Kaline

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Dave Cokin
MIN Twins
DET Tigers

Take DET Tigers"

The Tigers finally got their dormant offense untracked Monday night as they exploded against the Minnesota bullpen in a much needed come from behind win. I think the way they won that game could provide some positive momentum that gets them going. Nate Robertson is hardly ace material, but he matches up okay against Scott Baker of the Twins, and I'm banking on the Detroit offense to put up some good numbers tonight. The Tigers are the choice tonight.
 

Al Kaline

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Jim Feist

MIN T'wolves
DET Pistons

Take "Over"

Who cares about defense the final two games of the regular season? The Pistons won't, just trying to stay healthy as they are locked into the No. 2 seed. Minnesota doesn't, with vacation starting in two days. In fact, the Timberwolves are 9-4 over the total the last 13 games. Minnesota gives up 104 ppg on the road and the only meeting between these teams went over. Don't look for any defense, play the Timberwolves/Pistons over the total!
 

Al Kaline

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Marc Lawrence

Game: New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Apr 15 2008 7:10PM
Prediction: New York Yankees

Reason: Play On: NY Yankees w/Pettite.
Note: The Pinstripes take on the Rays in the final game of this mini two game set in Tampa knowing that Andy Pettite is 15-5 in his career team starts in this series. He's also 9-3 in his last 12 team starts on Tuesdays. With the Bronx Bombers bats coming alive, we'll back the big lefty and the Yankees here tonight.
 

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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Jazz -8-1/2 Monday night.

Today it's the (Mighty) Ducks (86% System).
The surplus is 650 sirignanos.
 

bettinfool

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YankeeCapper

YankeeCapper

Yankee Capper Comps:

MLB:
3 Units - Atlanta Braves

NBA:
2 Units - Charlotte Bobcats +3

NHL:
2 Units - San Jose Sharks
 

Al Kaline

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DAVE MALINSKY

GAME: Minnesota Twins (HT) @ Detroit Tigers (HT) Apr 15, 2008 6:40PM
SPORT: MLB First 5 Innings
PICK: Detroit Tigers (HT)
REASON FOR PICK: 3* DETROIT First Half over MINNESOTA

As tough as it was to lose that 4* ticket with the Twins on this field last night, seeing exactly how it happened can put us in the right place at the right time here - the energy the Tigers maintained despite a big deficit was a sign of a fighter that was ready to punch his way back off of the ropes, and the fist-pumping by Pudge Rodriguez after that key triple in the bottom of the 8th inning was just that. Now they are going to come to the ballpark tonight with an entirely different attitude, and there is also a favorable mound matchup for them to get the job done.

We lost a 4* ticket against Scott Baker on the road in his last outing, but it was a case of the offense behind him producing, and not of Baker pitching well. Nick Swisher, Paul Konerko and Joe Crede all hit home runs off of him in the five innings that he worked, and that is going to be the problem for him on the road against good competition - he just does not have the stuff to miss bats, and a savvy group of hitters can get good contact against his offerings. The timing is there for the Tigers to do that tonight, with eight of the nine batting positions producing hits in Monday?s rally, and all nine spots either scoring a run or driving one in.

Nate Robertson brings us a short price here off of his 0-1/7.84 opening to the season, but his stuff has been better than that. His arm showed a lot of life in spring training, and through his first two starts sports a ratio of 11 strikeouts vs. only four walks. Now he steps way down in class here, after having to face the Red Sox in Fenway, one of the toughest matchups in the Major?s for him. Tonight it is a Minnesota lineup that he can control, and he does it by taking the key cogs away - Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer are a combined 10-55 lifetime against him, an anemic .182, and their strikeout count of 10 matches their hit total. If you can keep those two in check this offense is hard-pressed to get production from the other spots, and he had a sparkling 1.93 ERA against the Twins over 28 innings LY, with a terrific count of 19 strikeouts vs. only 16 hits allowed. We will call for more of the same here, putting our eggs in the Robertson/Baker basket in this one. Despite what happened last night there is still a significant bullpen gap between these teams, and we will make our play in the early stages, where the strongest edges come into play.
 

the duke

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Michael Cannon


10 Dime ?

REDS (With Harang as listed pitcher)

Take the Reds for the road win tonight over the Cubs.

Aaron Harang gets the nod for the Reds and he?s already looking like he?s in midseason form. The right-hander has gone an inning deeper in each start this year, from six in his first start, to seven and then eight in his last start, a 4-1 victory at Milwaukee.

Harang also has a history of pitching well at Wrigley, where he?s 4-0 with a 4.65 ERA in eight career starts.

The Cubs will counter with Ryan Dempster and he?s looked good in his first two starts since surrendering his role as the closer, but you have to wonder how long that will last.

I?ll take my chances with the Reds lineup and their best pitcher against Dempster.

Take the Reds for the road win.


5 Dime ?

BRAVES (With Jurrjens and Olsen as listed pitchers)

Take the Braves for the road win tonight over the Marlins.

Jair Jurrjens will get the start for Atlanta and I like what I see from the 22-year-old. If his command is on he should be able to keep the Marlins lineup under wraps.

Florida was outscored 10-1 in losing the last two games of their weekend series with Houston.

Scott Olsen will start for the Marlins and he?s struggled big time against the Braves in his career. The left-hander is 1-4 with an 8.54 ERA in eight games against Atlanta.

Take Atlanta as they grab the road win.
 

the duke

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SportsKingz


MLB:

TEXAS -120 (1200 TO WIN 1000)

BOSTON -115 (1150 TO WIN 1000)

N.Y. YANKEES -125 (1250 TO WIN 1000)

ST.LOUIS -130 (1300 TO WIN 1000)
 

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DOMINIC BRANDO


50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet:
#951 ARIZONA -125 over SF Giants (List Only Owings)

50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet:
#956 ST LOUIS -120 over Milwaukee (Action)

50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet:
#962 NY METS -155 over Washington (Action)
 

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)

LA ANGELS vs TEXAS


Play: TEXAS RANGERS -113 (MLB)
MOSELEY AND MILLWOOD
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: TEXAS RANGERS -113 (MLB) * NAME MOSELEY AND MILLWOOD ^^^ We have been waiting for this one. Angels start Dustin Moseley tonight. He's been awful to say the least. After two games he is standing on a 7.36 ERA. Texas already beat him and the Angles 11-6 this season. Mosley's other start found him on the losing side again 9-5 to Cleveland. Kevin Millwood has been on fire in his first two starts only giving up 3 runs in 21 innings. He has a 3.38 career ERA VS LAA. Angels bullpen is starting to show signs of inconsistency. Take Texas today to hand out a little payback to the Angels.



MILWAUKEE vs ST. LOUIS


Play: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -122 (MLB)
BUSH AND LOOPER
Comments: LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) SELECTION: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -122 (MLB) NAME BUSH AND LOOPER ^^^ Another selection where we are going against a pitcher off to a horrible start and putting our money on a pitcher who has come out firing. Dave Bush may get sent to the minor leagues before you are done reading this. That's not true, but that is how bad it has become for him. If Gallardo wasn't hurt, that might have been reality for Bush who has already lost 12-4 to the Reds and 6-3 to the Cubs. He has a 8.44 ERA and jumps to 10.13 on the road. Looper has been fire for St. Louis starting off the season with a 3.00 ERA. (1.5 ERA at home). The next problem for Milwaukee is the fact that Bush keeps getting pulled early averaging 5.33 innings creating havoc on the bullpen. Take STL who should be comfortable playing at home tonight in a big win
 

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Winning Points Online

NBA

TUESDAY, APRIL 15

7:35 pm
**PREFERRED
Detroit* over Minnesota by 17

The T'Wolves attempt to win a third straight road game,
against an opponent looking ahead to the playoffs whose
#2 East seed is locked as solidly as it can be. Detroit has
"nothing" to play for.

That's all the tease, as is Minnesota's almost-win on April
1 vs. the Pistons, a 94-90 defeat on their home floor that
they led by 12 points after one quarter and by 7 points
after three quarters. The Pistons hadn't seen Minnesota
in more than a year (Who are these guys?), spotted them
points in a half-effort, and still won. They can now say,
"Is that all you got?," and give a three-quarter effort to
cruise in the regular-season home finale before tomorrow
night's double-mail-in game at Cleveland.

DETROIT 100-83
 

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Insider Sports Report

4* San Diego (Wolf) -130 over Colorado (Jimenez)
Range -115 to -150

3* Toronto (Marcum) -135 over Baltimore (Trachsel)
Range -115 to -155

3* Charlotte/New Jersey (NBA) UNDER 207
Range 209 to 205
 

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WINNERS EDGE

NBA:

NJ NETS -3.5 , 2 UNITS

DETROIT PISTONS - 7 , 2 UNITS


MLB:

ARIZONA D BACKS - 140 , 1 UNIT

LA ANGELS + 105 , 2 UNITS

MINN TWINS +120 , 4 UNITS (GAME OF WEEK )
 
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