Tuesday Service Plays 5/27/08

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SportsKingz

MLB:

PHILLY R/L EV (1000 TO WIN 1000)
ANGELS -135 (1350 TO WIN 1000)
ATLANTA -145 (1450 TO WIN 1000)
BOSTON R/L -110 (1100 TO WIN 1000)
ARIZONA -160 (1600 TO WIN 1000
 

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Insider Sports Report

Cleveland -130 over Chicago White Sox (MLB)
 

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HONDO

May 27, 2008 -- The Yankee bullpen made some inflammatory pitches yesterday, which burned previously hot Hondo and shrunk his wad to 340 skowrons.

Tonight, he expects Lincecum, who has been granted a conditional stall in Mr. Aitch's stable, to make another contribution to The Cause - 10 units on the Giants
 

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Jimmy The Moose

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs May 27 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Chicago Cubs

Reason: The Dodgers have lost 9 of their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record. LA has lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Dodgers are 11-13 on the road this season. The Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 home games. In their last 18 home games vs. a right-handed starter the Cubs are 15-3. The Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. NL West teams. Sean Gallagher has made two home starts this season and the Cubs have won both of them.

Play on the Chicago Cubs
 

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The Vegas Steam Line:

Take ATLANTA w/ Hudson -130 over Milwaukee
 

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The Sports Advisors:

WESTERN CONFERENCE

(1) L.A. Lakers (10-3, 8-4-1 ATS) at (3) San Antonio (9-6, 8-6-1 ATS)
After an impressive Game 3 victory on Sunday night, the defending champion Spurs now look to even this best-of-seven Western Conference finals series when they host the Lakers at the AT&T Center. Following two sub-par efforts in Games 1 and 2 in Los Angeles, the Spurs? Manu Ginobili came to life on Sunday, scoring a team-high 30 points on 9 of 15 shooting to lead San Antonio to a 103-84 victory, easily cashing as a 5?-point home favorite. Tim Duncan added 22 points and a game-high 21 rebounds, while Tony Parker tallied 20 points for the Spurs, who shot 51.4 percent from the field, including a blistering 55.6 percent from three-point land (10-for-18). Los Angeles, which averaged 95 points on 48 percent shooting in two home wins to begin this series, were limited to 42.7 percent shooting in Game 3, including missing 17 of 23 attempts from long range. Kobe Bryant had 30 points to pace the Lakers, who finished with their lowest point output of the postseason. The Lakers still lead the season series 4-3, with the home team winning all seven contests, but the Spurs have the advantage at the betting window, going 5-2 ATS. Los Angeles has eliminated San Antonio seven times in the last 10 postseason head-to-head matchups, going 3-0 in conference finals. Also, L.A. coach Phil Jackson has never lost a seven-game postseason series when winning Game 1, going 40-0. The Lakers are now 3-3 SU and 3-2-1 ATS on the highway in the postseason. Also, despite Sunday?s defeat, they sport positive pointspread streaks of 10-4-1 overall, 6-2-1 when playing on one day of rest, 35-17-2 on the road, 22-9-2 as a ?dog, 8-2-1 as an underdog, 12-3-2 as a road ?dog and 10-3 on Tuesdays. However, the Lakers are still just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games against teams from the Southwest Division, 1-5 ATS in their last four conference finals contests and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss.
With the Game 3 win, the Spurs improved to 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight home games (5-1-1 in the postseason) and 6-2-1 ATS at home against teams with a winning road mark. Gregg Popovich?s squad is also on pointspread hot streaks of 5-0-1 as a favorite (all at home), 17-4-2 as a playoff favorite, 5-1-2 on Tuesdays and 14-4 in conference finals action (including 7-2 in the last nine). On the downside, the Spurs are only 4-6-1 ATS in their last 11 against Pacific Division foes. The first three games in this series have stayed under the total, making the under 7-2 in the last nine series meetings between these squads. Also, the under is 9-1 in the last 10 head-to-head clashes at the AT&T Center. Finally, for San Antonio, the under is on runs of 7-0 overall, 3-0 at home, 4-1 in the conference finals, 5-0 against the Pacific Division and 5-0-1 after a SU win, while the under is 5-1 in the Lakers? last six games as an underdog (all on the road).

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO and UNDER
 

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The Sports Advisors:


NATIONAL LEAGUE


L.A. Dodgers (26-24) at Chicago Cubs (30-21)

The Cubs try to extend their incredible run of success at Wrigley Field when they host the Dodgers in the middle game of this three-game series. Two rookies are scheduled to take the ball in this nationally televised battle, with Chicago?s Sean Gallagher (1-1, 5.68 ERA) set to oppose Hiroki Kuroda (2-3, 3.48). Chicago road home runs by Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez to a 3-1 victory over Los Angeles Monday afternoon, snapping a two-game slide and once again avoiding its first three-game losing streak of the season. Also, since opening 2008 with a pair of home losses to the Brewers, the Cubs are 20-6 at Wrigley Field. They?re also 15-3 in their last 18 home games against right-handed starters and 7-1 in their last eight against the N.L. West. The Dodgers, who left 12 runners on base on Monday, have dropped three of their last four as their offense has gone cold, producing just six runs during the four-game stretch. Los Angeles has followed up a five-game road winning streak by losing four of its last seven as a visitor, and it is 3-9 in its last 12 against winning teams.
Last year, the Dodgers went 5-2 against the Cubs, and they?re still 13-7 in their last 20 games at Wrigley Field. Kuroda has allowed three earned runs or fewer in nine of his first 10 major-league starts, and he?s strung together three straight quality outings (2.57 ERA), but he only has one win to show for it, and that was Wednesday?s 5-2 home win over the Reds. In that one, Kuroda pitched a career-best eight innings, giving up two runs on five hits. Gallagher is coming off his first loss, a 5-3 setback at Houston on Wednesday. The right-hander gave up all five runs on eight hits in 4 2/3 innings. Kuroda is just 3-1 in five road starts despite a respectable 3.09 ERA. Meanwhile, Gallagher is 1-0 with a 4.35 ERA in two starts at Wrigley, both Cubs wins. The under is 4-0 in Kuroda?s last four road outings, but both of Gallagher?s starts at Wrigley have topped the total. The Dodgers have stayed under the total in six straight games, and the under is 5-2-1 in Chicago?s last eight, 6-0-1 in its last six against right-handed starters and 20-8-2 in its lat 30 games on Tuesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE


Toronto (28-25) at Oakland (28-25)

The streaking Blue Jays kick off a nine-game road trip in Oakland, with A.J. Burnett (5-4, 4.69) set to toe the rubber opposite A?s lefty Dave Smith (2-4, 3.18). The Blue Jays completed a four-game home sweep of the Royals with Monday?s 7-2 rout. Toronto has won five in a row, outscoring the opposition 27-7, and the Blue Jays? pitching staff has been outstanding over the last 2? weeks, giving up three runs or fewer in 11 of the last 15 games. During this stretch, the Jays are 5-2 on the road.
The A?s were idle Monday after sweeping a three-game weekend series from the defending champion Red Sox at home. Oakland has followed up a 2-9 slump by winning four in a row, and like Toronto, the A?s have been getting the job done on the mound, allowing three runs or fewer in five straight games and four runs or less in 10 of their last 12. Finally, Oakland is on a 13-5 roll at McAfee Coliseum. The A's swept a three-game series from the Blue Jays in Canada, and they've won four in a row and seven of nine in this rivalry dating to last year. Also, the road team is 11-2 in the last 13 head-to-head meetings. Burnett is 2-1 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts, including a 4-3 victory over the Angels on Thursday in which he yielded all three runs on six hits in six innings. The right-hander has worked at least six innings in six straight starts, with five of those being quality outings (three earned runs or less allowed). Burnett is 3-2 with a 3.10 ERA in four road starts, with the Jays also winning his one no-decision. Also, the veteran hurler was 1-1 with a 2.18 ERA in his first three starts against the A?s, but on April 8 in Canada, he got rocked for six runs on 10 hits (both season highs), getting a no-decision in a 9-8 Toronto loss. Smith is 0-3 with a 4.58 ERA in his last three trips to the mound, including a 3-2 home loss to the Rays a week ago tonight, as he yielded just two runs on five hits in seven innings. The A?s went 4-0 in Smith?s first four starts, but they?re 1-4 in his last five. The left-hander has been solid at home, going 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA in four starts, with the A?s winning both of his no-decisions. Also, in his first career start versus the Blue Jays back on April 9, he gave up three runs (two earned) on two hits and five walks, getting a no-decision in Oakland?s 6-3 road win. The under is 20-8-1 in Burnett?s last 29 starts overall (3-0 last three), 13-3-1 in his last 17 when going on four days? rest and 5-1 in his last six on the road. The under is also 5-0 in Smith?s last five starts overall. The over is 6-2-1 in the last nine series clashes, including 3-0-1 in Oakland. However, for Toronto, the under is on runs of 33-16-3 overall this season (5-2 last seven), 41-19-3 on the road (18-8-1 this year) and 4-0 against the A.L. West. Also, the under is 4-0 in Oakland?s last four on Tuesdays. However, the over is 5-2 in the A?s last seven at home and 4-1 in their past five against a right-handed starter.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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Frank Rosenthal

TUESDAY, MAY 27, 2008


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NBA PLAYOFFS
CONFERENCE FINALS
715 LAKERS+4.5 SB+
OVER 191.5 SB

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
953 DODGERS EVEN SB
956 REDS UNDER 9 SB+
962 CARDS-130 SB
964 DBACKS-155 SB
966 PADRES-130 SB
972 RAYS-150 SB
976 A'S UNDER 7.5 SB+
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
 

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Brandon Lang

TUESDAY

15 Dime - Padres

5 Dime - A's
5 Dime - Lakers
 

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KARL GARRETT

30 DIMER - SAN ANTONIO SPURS....10 DIMERS - ARIZONA -1 1/2 RUNS, & TEXAS This Lakers-Spurs series has the feel that the last Spurs series had in which the Spurs lost their first 2 games at New Orleans, but came home to rally for a pair of wins and covers on their home floor.

Stick with the home cooking again tonight, as the home team has won the last 7 series meetings, with the Spurs going 5-2 against the spread.

The Spurs looked like a completely different team on Sunday, as their big three of Parker, Ginobili, and Duncan combined for 72 points. If they can get similar production tonight, that will free up the rest of the guys to knock down their perimieter shots, and life will be good once again for the defending champs.

Look for Odom, and Fisher to struggle once again, and for the Spurs to head back to LA-LA-land all even at 2 games each.

10 DIMER - ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (-1 1/2-RUNS) Haren & Lincecum listed
The D-Backs had a rocky road trip, as they lost all 3 at Florida, and split 4 with the Braves. Look for the snakes to enjoy being back at home, and come through with some big offense tonight.

Tim Lincecum has been tough at 5-1, but lately he has been prone to the big inning, and with Arizona 19-8 at home this year, I can see the Diamondbacks pulling away in the later innings in this one.

Arizona is 4-1 this year versus San Francisco, and 9-2 at home against the Giants since last season.

Run Line play on Arizona in this one.

Take the Diamondbacks -1 1/2 runs.

10 DIMER - TEXAS RANGERS (Padilla over Sonnanstine)

The Rays are for real, but the Rangers aren't bad, and if you are going to beat Tampa, the time to get them is when Andy Sonnanstine is on the mound, as Sonnanstine may be 6-2 this year, but his ERA os over 5.

Vincente Padilla is 4-1 on the road this year, and 6-2 for the year with a 3.33 ERA.

Texas has won 4 of their last 6 games, and I like them plus the take back to cool off the surging Rays in this one.

Take Texas.
 

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Scott Ferrall free plays:





AL FREE B's FOR TUES:

OAKLAND -110 on ML over Toronto--The Jays have won 5 straight and the A's have won 4 straight. Something's got to give ! The A's have even swept the jays in Toronto this yr. This one is in Oakland however, so I'm on the A's. They are 16-11 at home this season and the Jays are 13-13 on the road. TAKE THE OVER 7.5 RUNS



Angels -130 on ML over Tigers--Santana looks for his 7th win against the miserable Bonderman, who gets lit up every time he pitches. TAKE THE OVER 9.5 RUNS



BOSTON -180 on ML over Seattle--Dice K isn't losing to this lineup. He's a perfect 8-0 and he'll work over the M's, who've lost 7 straight and suck ass !



NL FREE B's FOR TUES:



Brewers +120 on ML over Braves--The Brew crew upset the Braves and Hudson here. Atlanta is 6-16 on the road--end of story. Atlanta just finished a homestand winning 8 of 11.

ARIZONA -160 on ML over Giants--The D'Backs have won 11 of last 13 at home vs SF, and four straight overall against them at Chase Field. In total games played against the Giants, the D'Backs are 14 of 20 and 4-1 vs them this year already.

PADRES -135 on ML over Nationals--The Nats don't score runs and are hitting .233 as a team. They'll face Wolf tonight and three straight lefty's in this series. Wolf is 2-1 at home and teams hit .188 against him at Petco. He's 9-4 in 18 starts vs Nationals. Washington is 9-15 on the road
 

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Texas +135 w/Padilla ag. Sorranstine

Winning Points Online
 

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Jeffmoney

We Have 3 Plays For Ya Today

(mlb) Orioles +115 (pod)
(mlb) Braves -125
(mlb) Angels -115
 

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Oscarxena Sports

New York Mets -1 1/2 Runs +1.21 (3 Unit Play) - I am not a huge fan of laying the run line on home teams and especially on teams playing badly like the Mets but I will take a shot here today on Santana here tonight. Although the Mets lost again last night I believe this team has too much talent not to get turned around soon and with management standing behind Willie Randolph I think the players will settle in and start to win. In starting to win they will need to get outstanding pitching and they probably have one of the best starters on the mound tonight in Johan Santana. The Mets have went 7-3 so far this year in Santana's starts and he has been very good in his career against the Marlins going 3-0 with a 1.96 ERA in three starts. Santana has also had good success with HP umpire Ed Rapuano as his teams are 2-0 with two Unders with him behind the plate. The Marlins will counter with Andrew Miller who has been pitching very well lately but has not had much success against New York as he is 1-1 but has a 8.38 ERA and the Mets manhandled him earlier this year. I think if the Mets can score 4 runs in this game the run line is a winner and the Mets are 7-3 with Rapuano behind home plate the last 10 while Florida is 3-6. Take the Mets tonight.
 

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Vernon Croy

Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Play: Minnesota Twins

1 Unit, Take Minnesota ML, This pick falls into one of my MLB systems and this is the Royals first game back after a long 11 game road trip. The Royals just played in Toronto yesterday and this will be their 14th straight game played with out a day off. The Royals have lost 8 straight games and Brian Bannister (4-6, 4.94 ERA) has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 5.95. The Twins are hitting .290 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging 6.3 rpg and they are 5-1 this season when playing with a day off. The Royals are averaging just 3.3 rpg at home this season and Nick Blackburn (4-3, 3.55 ERA) has pitched over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 3.32 so I look for him to dominate this Royals line-up that produced just 4 runs in their 4 game series against the Blue Jays. Grab the value here tonight with the Twins as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night and make sure you get on my 16-7 MLB run.


Robert Ross

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles

Backing the home dog Orioles to make it two straight here at home over the Yanks. New York starter Kennedy has struggled and figures to do so again on the road. Yankees still not completely healthy so don't figure to score enough to overcome Kennedy's shaky hurling.

Take Baltimore



Featured Free Pick
GAME: New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles May 27, 2008 7:05PM
EXPERT: Marc Lawrence
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Baltimore Orioles
Offered at: 109 5Dimes


REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Baltimore w/Burres vs Kennedy
Note: The Pinstripes send Ian Kennedy up against Brian Burres and the Orioles in Game Two of this series in Baltimore this is a right-back revenge rematch from last Thursday when Kennedy edged Burres, 2-1 at Yankees Stadium.

With Kennedy owing a 7.27 ERA on the road this season and Burres sporting a 2.46 at home this season, look for Kennedy to drop to 0-5 in his last five road starts here tonight.

We recommend a 1-unit play on Baltimore with Burres vs. Kennedy.



Big Al Mcmordie comp

Game: Houston Astros at St Louis Cardinals May 27 2008 8:15PM

Prediction: St Louis Cardinals

Reason: At 8:15pm our member selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Houston Astros. The two righthanders facing each other tonight, Shawn Chacon of the Astros and Braden Looper of the Cardinals have almost interchangeable statistics so far this season in all but one important category. Both pitchers have thrown right around 60 innings so far. Chacon has a 4.11 ERA; Looper 4.34. Chacon has a 1.40 WHIP; Looper 1.41. The one main difference of course is wins. Looper has six on the season while Chacon is still looking for his second trip to the win column. Looper should by all accounts have another win as well. In his last home start against this Astros team back on April 25, Looper shut out Hosuton over seven innings, but got a no-decision as the Cards bullpen went on to blow the game (Chacon go the start for Houston in that one as well). But that difference in total wins for these two hurlers gives you a pretty good idea of where these two teams are relative to one another right now. And with this game being played in St. Louis, where the Cards are a very good 17-10, that's all I need to know to pick a winner here. Take the Cards. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
 

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Dunkel Index: NBA

Today's NBA Picks

LA Lakers at San Antonio
The Spurs look to even up the series and come into Game Four with a 5-1 ATS record in home games where the total is listed between 190 and 194 1/2 points. San Antonio is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 6.

Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4).

Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, MAY 27
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 715-716: LA Lakers at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 127.394; San Antonio 133.635
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 192
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4); Under
 
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