Tuesday Service Plays 7/1/08

[the duke]

Comps


Sports Gambling Hotline

Texas at NY YANKEES (-210)

Another total play for you tonight, as we like Texas and the Yankees to hold LOW.

New York is struggling to plate runs right now, as they have been held to just 5 runs their last 3 games, as they have played UNDER the total in 4 in a row, and 8 of 11.

Texas comes into this one on a 3-7-1 UNDER clip their last 11 ball games.

Rangers starter Kevin Millwood has been hit around hard of late, allowing 12 runs over his last 19 innings, but right now we don't think the Yanks could hit their way out of a wet paper bag.

The Yanks counter with Joba Chamberlain, and Joba has allowed just 2 earned runs his last 19 innings as a starter.

Doubtful the Rangers muster much off of Joba in this one, after getting just 2 in last night's win.

Play on the UNDER.

3♦ UNDER


Karl Garrett

Cleveland (+125) at WHITE SOX

Tonight I will go with the underdog Indians to snap their 3 game losing streak with their ace Cliff Lee on the mound.

Lee is a rockin' 11-1 on the year, and just worked 8 innings of 1 run ball in a home win over San Francisco, and he does bring a 7-1 road mark into tonight's game at US Cellular.

The Pale Hose ran their win streak to 5 straight with last night's win, but I didn't like the way their bullpen almost coughed up a 5 run lead. Chicago starter John Danks has been hot, with 18 innings of 1 run ball to his credit, but he hasn't worked past the 6th in any of his starts in the month of June, and with Chicago's bullpen getting a little nicked up last night, I can see them coughing up a few more tonight.

Take the Indians and Lee to snap their 3 game losing streak, and halt the Sox 5 game winning streak.

2♦ CLEVELAND



Marc Lawrence

Play On: Minnesota w/Baker vs Robertson

Note: The Red-hot Twins look to continue their winning ways when they send Scott Baker up against Nate Robertson in the Metrodome tonight. A quick check of ERA's shows Baker's 2.24 mark at home is twice as good as his 4.57 road mark, while Robertson's 6.27 mark on the road is more than two full runs worse than his 4.17 home ERA. With Baker 4-1 with a 2.39 ERA in his last five home starts, look for Robertson to dip to 4-12 away on Tuesdays here tonight.



James Patrick Sports

Dodgers vs. Astros 8:05 p.m. est.

Joe Torre brings his Dodger Blue to Houston and the road has not been very friendly for his team as the Dodgers are 5-12 on the road and have dropped 7 of 9 overall. To add to their problems LA is just 1-4 in Texas and 0-4 on the road versus lefties. Houston is a solid 5-1 in Tuesday action and tonight?s starter Rodriguez has cashed in 14 of 20 home starts. Our Tuesday Major League complimentary selection is #908 Houston Astros.



Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (903) PHI Phillies and (904) ATL Braves. Take "(903) PHI Phillies". Philadelphia has a powerful offense and they get to face a hittable pitcher here in Atlanta's Charlie Morton. He's allowed as many hits as innings pitched with an ERA over 4. Atlanta has all kinds of problems on offense, especially with slugger Chipper Jones hurting. Philadelphia starter Kyle Kendrick is 2-0 lifetime against the Braves and 7-3 for the season. A great spot for the visiting dog. Play the Phillies!



Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (905) WAS Nationals and (906) FLA Marlins. Take "(905) WAS Nationals"

Colin Balester has been recalled by the Nationals, who feel he's ready to assume a spot in their regular rotation. Marlins lefty Mark Hendrickson has been in horrible form for several starts now, and looms as one of the better fades in the game at this point. I see some good value with the Nationals as dogs in this contest.



John Fina

Selection: Oakland Athletics (-105)

Reason: Put us down on the Oakland Athletics (-105) for our Free MLB Selection on Tuesday. Today the Oakland Athletics will be on the road as they take on the Los Angeles Angels. We will side with the Oakland Athletics! One reason why we will side with the Oakland Athletics is because they will be sending to the mound the much better pitcher. This says it all... The Oakland Athletics Starting Pitcher (Rich Harden) has a 0.46 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Los Angeles Angels Starting Pitcher (Ervin Santana) has a 4.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, the Oakland Athletics will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. We see the Oakland Athletics beating the Los Angeles Angels tonight! Take the Oakland Athletics!


Tony Mathews

Matchup: Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees

Selection: New York Yankees -1.5 Runs (-105)

Explanation: We will side with the New York Yankees -1.5 Runs as they face-off against the Texas Rangers in Tuesday's MLB contest.

The Texas Rangers will use starting pitcher Kevin Millwood. Kevin Millwood has struggled this season. In fact, Kevin Millwood has a 5.08 ERA on the season. In addition, Kevin Millwood has a 5.68 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Kevin Millwood pitching another bad game today.

The New York Yankees will use starting pitcher Joba Chamberlain. Joba Chamberlain has pitched well this season. In fact, Joba Chamberlain has a 2.03 ERA on the season. In addition, Joba Chamberlain has a 0.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Joba Chamberlain pitching another great game today.

The New York Yankees are 17-4 in their last 21 meetings against the Texas Rangers], and should be able to get another blowout win tonight!

Take the New York Yankees -1.5 Runs

 

[the duke]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the Mets and Royals Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Braves and Nationals. The deficit is 120 sirignanos.


Hondo

whose column provides a virtual Personal Seat License for anyone wishing to sit in and ob serve baseball handicapping excellence, scored with the Rays over the Red Sawx last night to widen the wad to 625 lavagettos.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch expects to have some cheers for Cliffy - 10 units on Lee to stifle the White Sox.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Info Plays

MLB
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona D-Backs Arizona D-Backs -116

3* on Arizona Diamondbacks -116
(Listing Johnson only)

Arizona?s Randy Johnson gets back on track tonight at home against the Brewers. Johnson is 9-4 with a 3.28 career ERA against the Brew Crew. Arizona is 77-48 in all home games over the last 2 seasons. On the other hand, Milwaukee is just 8-25 in road games against NL West opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Brewers are 7-22 in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 33-15 in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Bet Arizona at home.



Steve Janus

MLB
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies +105

Philly has won 8 of their last 9 against teams with a losing record and 5 of their last 6 as a road underdog. They are playing an Atlanta team that is 1-4 in their last 5 divisional games, 2-11 in their last 13 as a favorite of -110 to -150 and just 1-5 in home games against a team with a winning record.


Black Widow

New York Mets vs. St Louis Cardinals St Louis Cardinals -136

1* on St. Louis Cardinals -136
(List Wellemeyer and Armas)

St. Louis is coming around and we?ll gladly take the Cards as a small home favorite over the Mets tonight. The Cards enter tonight?s game on a 3-game winning streak and they hand the ball to one of their best starters in Todd Wellemeyer. This right is 7-2 with a solid 3.46 ERA on the year for St. Louis. Tony Armas makes his first start of 2008 tonight for the Mets who are struggling to find consistency in their rotation. Wellemeyer pitched a gem in his only career start against the Mets last year, allowing one earned run on three hits in six frames. The Mets are 6-17 (-20.6 Units) against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. New York cannot utilize their speed at the top of the lineup with Yadier Molina manning home plate for the Cardinals. Take St. Louis on the Money Line here.


Bob Harvey

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros

Total 9 under 130

The Dodger offense is MIA and fans are sending out an SOS (Save Our Season) to Dodger management. Joe Torre?s club has now scored two run in their last three games and one run or fewer in its last seven games. To make matters worse, leadoff man Juan Pierre went on the disabled list with a strained MCL leaving LA without a true top of the lineup hitter. Pierre, who is hitting .277, ranks second in the National League with 35 stolen bases. He joins Rafael Furcal, Andruw Jones, Nomar Garciaparra on the DL, meaning half the starting lineup the Dodgers were counting on in spring training is now on the shelf. Also on the DL are catcher Gary Bennett and pitchers Brad Penny, Hiroki Kuroda, Scott Proctor and Jason Schmidt. Tonight, Texas native Clayton Kershaw gets the start for LA. The 20-year old Kershaw has pitched well but is still seeking his first big league win. He?ll be opposed by lefty Wandy Rodriguez who is just 3-3, but has a fine ERA of 2.58. The Dodgers rank 18th in the league in hitting (.258) but 28th in scoring with just 4.05 runs per game. Houston ranks 23rd in scoring averaging 4.39 runs per game.

Until the Dodgers show me they can hit water after falling out of a boat (old Tommy Lasorda line), I?m staying UNDER with this ice cold Dodger offense.


Vernon Croy

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - Jul 1, 2008 7:05 PM EDT

Play: Total: 9.5/111 Over

1 Unit, Take the Over, This pick falls into one of my MLB systems and both of these teams are hitting the ball extremely well. Texas is hitting .286 as a team against right hand starters this season while averaging 5.9 rpg and the Yankees are hitting .273 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging 5.4 rpg. The Rangers opponents are hitting .281 against them in night games this season while averaging 5.8 rpg and Kevin Millwood (5-4, 5.08) has struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 5.25 while allowing 70 hits over just 48 innings pitched. Millwood has also struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 5.68 while walking 10 batters over 19 innings and Joba Chamberlain (2-2, 2.03 ERA) has only lasted an average of 4.1 innings per start over his 3 starts at home this season. Take the Over as you free MLB play for Tuesday night.


Matt Fargo

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) - Jul 1, 2008 7:10 PM EDT

Play: Money Line: 110 Boston Red Sox

Boston looks for some payback still as Tampa Bay continues its surprising assault on the A.L. East. The Red Sox are six games under .500 on the road for the season but the offense has been sufficient with a .270 average. That improves .287 over their last 10 games including a .288 average against right-handed pitching. Boston has had its success against the top teams of late, going 9-5 in its last 14 games against a team with a winning record. Contrarian players take note that the home team is 10-0 in this series year to date.

Tampa Bay has the second best home record in the American League but it remains a tough place for the home team to generate any offense. Over the last four home series, covering 13 games, the Rays have averaged only 3.7 rpg. On the season, they are averaging just 4.3 rpg while Boston is tied for 10th ion baseball, averaging 4.5 rpg on the road. Tampa Bay makes up for it with the best home ERA in baseball at 2.87 but that will be challenged from the other side tonight.

Tim Wakefield?s lifetime performance against Tampa Bay can be summed up in just one word and that is domination. He had a no-decision in his lone start against the Rays this season and over his career, he is 19-3 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 29 starts and 39 overall appearances. That dominance is huge but what is ever bigger has been Wakefield?s recent form. He has tossed six straight quality starts, posting a 2.09 ERA over this stretch.

The Rays counter with Matt Garza who has had a solid run of late. He has thrown three consecutive quality starts and based on his status, this is the time to go against him, especially when in the role of favorite. Prior to that, he had two rough outing and one of those came against the Red Sox. In two starts this season against Boston, Garza has a 6.97 ERA and 1.55 WHIP and neither appearance was worth much. Despite a season ERA of 3.76, the Rays are just 7-7 in his 14 starts. Play Boston Red Sox 1.5 Units


Tony Weston

How?d you like THAT? The Royals look like they?re going to end up losing, but I?m sure someone got message to them about my Comp Play run and of course they deliver with a strong comeback to put us at 25-5 with our freebies for the month of June.

And of course it?s carrying over to July as we start the second half of the baseball season (most teams have already played more than half the season).

Tonight we?re going with the Houston Astros in an easy winner of the Los Angeles Dodgers in Houston.

To say the Astros have dominated the Dodgers would be a great understatement. With yesterday?s 4-1 win over Los Angeles, Houston is now 4-0 against the Dodgers this season and has outscored them 24-7 in that stretch.

And now the Astros come into this game on a three-game winning streak and won seven of their last 10 games, including five of their last seven at home.

The Dodgers, on the other hand, come into this game 5-12 their last 17 road games and are 4-6 their last 10 games overall. And for the season the Dodgers are only 16-24 away from home.

It?ll be another loss for Los Angeles tonight in Houston.

Take the Astros in an easy winner at home.

4♦ ASTROS (1♦ to 5♦ Scale)



Chris Jordan


N.Y. Mets at ST. LOUIS (-140)

Bank the Cardinals to get it done over the Metropolitans tonight, as St. Louis' bats have come alive and will batter its weary visitors to win its fourth straight game.

It's been quitea turnaround for the National League Wildcard leaders, as they're hitting .310 with 15 homers over the last 10 games. All-Star Albert Pujols has been a big part of that since returning from the disabled list Thursday, as he's 9-for-19 (.474) with one home run and five RBI in the last five games after missing 13 with a strained left calf. He is currently third in the NL with a .357 batting average while hitting a team-high 17 homers and driving in 47 runs.

Meanwhile, the struggling Mets have scored six runs in their last four games - three losses - since routing the Yankees in their subway-series opener.

I don't care about the pitchers in this one, it's all about the Cardinals getting it done as a team.

4♦ CARDINALS

 

[the duke]

CappersAccess

Tue (MLB) Giants
Tue (MLB) A's



ARMVIN SPORTS

CHICAGO CUBS 101

LOS ANGELES ANGELS -109



Sharp Sports Advisors

BOSTON RED SOX 108

 

[the duke]

Gina

Tuesday, July 1, 2008 8:05 p.m. est.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros
(L) Clayton Kershaw (0-2, 4.36 ERA) vs. (L) Wandy Rodriguez (3-3, 2.58)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have played awful away from home, dropping 13 of their last 18 road games, including yesterdays 4-1 defeat against the Astros. To boot, they have struggle against lefthanders, just 1-10 in their last 11 games. Go with the Astros at home. Houston has won eight of the last 10 meetings, and five of the last 6 at Minute Maid Park.

Houston Astros - 140






Mr A

Tuesday, July 1st, 2008 7:10 PM EST.

Boston Red Sox (50-34) at Tampa Bay Rays (49-32)
(R) Tim Wakefield (5-5, 3.88) vs. (R) Matt Garza (6-4, 3.76 ERA)

Tampa Bay has played well at home 30-13 this season and has won all four games versus Boston at Tropicana Field thus far this season.

Tampa Bay's right-hander Matt Garza is 4-1 with a 2.51 ERA at home this season and is 2-1 with a 4.71 ERA in four career starts versus Boston. The Rays are 5-1 in Garza's last 6 starts at home.
Boston's right-hander Tim Wakefield is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last four starts and is 17-3 with a 3.31 ERA in 29 starts versus Tampa Bay, but the Red Sox are 1-4 in Wakefield's last 5 starts on the road.
Take the Tampa Bay Rays tonight at Tropicana Field. The home team has won all 10 games in the series.

Tampa Bay Rays -120





JB Computer Plays

7:05 p.m. Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles
(R) Luke Hochevar (5-5) vs. (R) Radhames Liz (2-0)

Baltimore Orioles -130


8:10 p.m. Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox
(L) Cliff Lee (11-1) vs. (L) John Danks (5-4)

Chicago White Sox -130


8:15 p.m. New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals
(R) Tony Armas (0-0) vs. (R) Todd Wellemeyer (7-2)

St. Louis Cardinals -150

10:05 p.m. Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels
(R) Rich Harden (5-0) vs. (R) Ervin Santana (9-3)

Los Angeles Angels -115

 

[the duke]

Inside Las Vegas Sports Selections


St Louis (Wellemeyer) -135* over New York Mets (Armas)

Boston (Wakefield) +110* over Tampa Bay (Garza)

 

[the duke]

SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Milwaukee (44-38) at Arizona (42-41)

Randy Johnson (4-6, 4.94) looks to snap a personal five-game losing skid and pick up his first victory since May 18 when he battles the Brewers at Chase Field. In fact, the DBacks are 0-7 in Johnson?s last seven trips to the mound (0-2), but that?s not their only issue. Despite Monday?s 6-3 win over the Brewers, Arizona is mired in funks of 3-7 overall, 8-20 against winning teams, 6-7 at home, 2-6 against right-handed starters and 3-8 versus the N.L. Central.

Milwaukee has followed an 8-1 hot streak by losing four of its last five. Still, the Brewers are on positive runs of 10-5 against the N.L. West, 7-2 versus left-handed starters and 19-7 on Tuesdays. Finally, Milwaukee is 9-3 in the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these squads, including sweeping a three-game home series in early June. The Brew Crew has outscored the DBacks 47-10 in its last six victories against Arizona.

Jeff Suppan (4-6, 4.05) takes the ball for Milwaukee looking to halt a two-game losing skid, as the right-hander gave up 10 runs (seven earned) on 16 hits over just 7 2/3 innings in his last two efforts against Baltimore (8-5 home loss) and Atlanta (4-2 road defeat). Suppan is just 2-5 with a 5.73 ERA on the road this year and 2-3 with a 3.86 ERA in seven lifetime starts against Arizona, including getting a no-decision his teams? 4-3 home victory over the Snakes on June 2.

Johnson pitched well enough to win on Wednesday in Boston, yielding two runs on eight hits in six innings, but falling 5-0. In his three starts prior to that, though, the Big Unit had given up 20 runs (18 earned) and 27 hits in just 18 innings of work (9.00 ERA). At home this year, the southpaw is 3-2 with a beefy 6.23 ERA. Also, Johnson is 18-8 with a 3.46 ERA in 31 starts against the Brewers, including a 7-1 loss in Milwaukee on June 3. However, Arizona is 4-1 in the Unit?s last five home starts versus the Brewers.

The under is 8-2 in Suppan?s last 16 starts overall (5-0 on the road), 4-2 in his last six starts against Arizona, 27-11-2 in Johnson?s last 40 starts overall (6-2 last eight) and 4-1 in Johnson?s last five against the Brewers. Additionally, the under is on runs of 6-1 for Milwaukee overall (3-0 last three), 8-2 for Milwaukee as an underdog, 7-0-2 for Arizona overall, 11-4-1 for Arizona as a favorite and 7-3-1 in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (50-35) at Tampa Bay (50-32)

Matt Garza (6-4, 3.76) returns to the mound for the first time since a complete-game, one-hitter against Florida when he leads the first-place Rays against Boston in the middle game of this series between the A.L. East?s top two teams. Tampa Bay held off Boston 5-4 on Monday and now leads the division by 1? games. The Rays have won 10 of their last 13 games overall, going 6-1 in the last seven. They?re also on an incredible 27-6 roll at Tropicana Field.

The Red Sox, who hand the ball to Tim Wakefield (5-5, 3.88) tonight, have lost three in a row (all on the road), and they?re now 17-36 in their last 53 contests on an artificial surface. However, they have won nine of their last 14 against winning teams, and they?re 11-3 in their last 14 on Tuesdays.

The host is on a 11-0 run in this rivalry, with the home team winning all 10 meetings this year. Boston still owns an astounding 98-44 record in the last 142 clashes against the Rays, but it has lost five straight at Tampa.

Garza gave up only a solo home run to Hanley Ramirez in the seventh inning Thursday at Florida, walking one and striking out 10 in a 6-1 victory. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA in his last three starts, and he?s 4-1 with a 2.51 ERA in seven contests at Tropicana Field. Finally, in four career starts against the BoSox, Garza is 2-1 with a 4.71 ERA. However, two of those outings came this year, and surrendered 10 runs (eight earned) in just 10 1/3 innings of work.

Wakefield was nearly as good as Garza in his most recent start, scattering two hits and a walk over seven scoreless innings en route to Wednesday?s 5-0 home win over the Diamondbacks. The veteran knuckleballer has strung together six straight quality starts (2.09 ERA), pitching eight innings in the first outing and going exactly seven frames in the last five. However, Boston is just 3-3 during this six-start stretch and 4-5 in his last nine trips to the hill.

Wakefield is 1-3 with a 4.37 ERA in nine road starts in 2008 (six of which Boston has lost), but he?s an incredible 19-3 with a 3.16 ERA in 39 career appearances (29 starts) against the Rays, including 9-1 with a 2.52 ERA at Tropicana Field. The Sox have won seven of Wakefield?s last nine starts against the Rays.

The under is 5-2-1 in Boston?s last eight overall, 7-4-2 in Boston?s last 13 against winning teams, 22-9-1 in Tampa?s last 32 home games and 10-4 in Garza?s 14 starts this year (6-1 at home). Finally, in this rivalry, the under has cashed in four of the last five meetings at Tropicana Field, with Monday?s contest barely topping the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER


Oakland (45-37) at L.A. Angels (49-34)

Rich Harden (5-0, 2.15) will try to keep his perfect record intact when he toes the rubber at Angel Stadium, hoping to carry the A?s closer to first-place Los Angeles in the A.L. West. Oakland pounded out a 6-1 victory Monday to improve to 10-6 in its last 16 games overall and 6-2 in its last eight on the road. However, the A?s are still only 10-19 in their last 29 games inside the division. On the bright side, with Harden on the bump, Oakland is on impressive streaks of 40-14 overall, 17-5 on the road and 17-4 on the road against A.L. West clubs.

The Angels, who now lead the A?s by 3? games, are set to give the ball to Ervin Santana (9-3, 3.32), who is coming off one of his worst starts of the season. The Halos have lost four of their last five games, scoring a total of two runs in the last four. However, they are on streaks of 5-1 against winning teams, 5-2 within the division, 18-4 on Tuesdays, 61-25 in Game 2 of a series, 17-7 in Santana?s last 24 starts at home and 20-7 in Santana?s last 27 outings versus the A.L. West.

The season series is knotted a 4-4, with the road team winning five of the eight battles, including four of the last five.

Harden, who has given up two runs or fewer in nine of his 11 starts, dominated the Phillies on Thursday afternoon in Oakland, yielding just two hits and a walk while striking out a season-high 11 over eight innings en route to a 5-0 victory. The A?s are 9-2 in the right-hander?s starts this year, including 5-0 in the last five.

Santana gave up four runs on four hits and five walks on Wednesday at Washington, getting a no-decision in his team?s 5-4 loss to the Nationals. The Angels are just 3-6 in the right-hander?s last nine outings.

Harden is 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA on the road and 5-3 with a 3.99 ERA in 13 career games (12 starts) against the Angels. Meanwhile, Santana is 3-2 with a 3.27 ERA at home, but 8-1 with a 1.38 ERA in 12 lifetime appearances (11 starts) versus the A?s. All 11 of Santana?s starts against Oakland have been quality outings, including a 6-1 home victory on April 30. He also opposed Harden in Oakland on June 8, with neither getting a decision as the A?s won 7-3 on a walk-off grand slam in the 12th inning.

The under is 9-2 in Santana?s 11 career starts against the A?s and 7-1 in his last eight home starts. Also, the under is on streaks of 6-1 for Oakland overall, 38-15-3 for Los Angeles overall (8-2 last nine), 15-5-2 for L.A. at home and 40-17-3 in this rivalry, including 29-10 in the last 39 meetings at Angel Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER

 

[the duke]

Comps

Robert Ross

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies

Phils have the better team. Atlanta has been abysmal in one-run games. Phils' KENDRICK is 7-1 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season (Team's Record)while ATLANTA is 10-19 against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. Take Philadelphia!



Big Al McMordie

Pick: Tampa Bay over Boston

Reason: At 7:10pm our complimentary selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Boston Red Sox. Starting pitchers can't get much hotter than tonight's matchup of righthanders. Tampa's young Matt Garza and Boston's veteran knuckleballer Tim Wakefield both have ERAs slightly over two runs and WHIPs under 1.00 in their last three starts. But for all of his success, Wakefield has continued to struggle on the road this season, going 1-3 with a ERA of 4.37 and WHIP of 1.33 away from Fenway. That's not unusual for a knuckleballer whose home park is an outdoor facility and who has to occassionally pitch in some indoor arenas like Minnesota's Metrodome or Tampa's Tropicana Field. Wakefield may be 7-2 in his last nine starts against the Rays, but he has given up fourteen runs in his last three starts against Tampa covering only fourteen innings. The Sox will continue to miss the bat of David Ortiz who, it was just announced, will miss the upcoming All Star Game in New York. They will also be without outfielder Coco Crisp who ironically is serving the suspension that he was hit with for rushing the mound against the Rays' James Shields. Crisp had been red hot before he started serving his suspension. With Tampa's win over Boston on Monday night, the home team has now won every game played between these two AL East squads in 2008, and Tampa is 30-9 its last 39 at Tropicana Field. Take the Rays.




JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies Jul 1 2008 9:05PM

Colorado Rockies

Reason: Prior to last night's game the Padres were 3-13 in their last 16 games. San Diego is 17-35 in their last 52 road games. The Padres are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Rockies seem to be at their best when Cook is on the mound and he's tonight's starter. Cook is 10-5 on the season. Colorado has won 5 of his last 7 home starts. In his last 10 starts vs. NL West team's the Rockies are 8-2. The Rockies have won 5 of his last 7 home starts vs. San Diego. Prior to last night's game the Padres were 3-8 in the last 11 meetings. Play on the Rockies



Vegas Experts

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants

The Giants' Matt Cain can never be trusted as he owns a 6-12 team start record as a home favorite and tonight will be facing a Cubs lineup that got back in track in last night's series opener. The opposition, Jason Marquis, has a 4-0 TSR vs. San Francisco with all of the victories coming here by the Bay. The Cubs have just dominated the NL West all season long, winning 19 of 24 against baseball's weakest division.

Chicago Cubs

 

[the duke]

SCOTT FERRALL


Baltimore -135 over Kansas City

Liz goes to 3-0 and beats Hochevar at Camden. The O's are too tough at home for KC


TAMPA -120 over Boston

Garza handles the Red Sox and Wakefield has no fun against this Rays team that is brutal to beat in St.Pete


Cleveland +115 over ChiSox

I'm on Cliff Lee over Danks. Lee is 11-1 and TAKE THE UNDER 8 RUNS. Both have low ERA's in the 2's


MINNESOTA -130 over Detroit

The Tigers roll finally coes to a halt against Scott Baker in the Homerdome


Oakland Even over Angels

Harden's been unreal of late and K'd 11 Phils in his last start. I'm thinkin upset of Santana in Anaheim


Toronto -135 over Seattle

Take Litsch in Emerald City over suddenly hot Mariners


Arizona -130 over Milwaukee

Big Unit over Suppan in the desert

 

[the duke]

EZWINNERS

MLB

5 STAR: (908) HOUSTON (-$128) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Rodriguez and Kershaw)
(Risking $640 to win $500)
7:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (926) MINNESOTA (-$126) over Detroit
(Listing Baker only)
(Risking $252 to win $200)
7:10PM Central Time

2 STAR: (920) BALTIMORE (-$129) over Kansas City
(Action)
(Risking $258 to win $200)
7:10PM Central Time

1 STAR: (923) CLEVELAND (+$111) over Chicago
(Listing Lee only)
(Risking $100 to win $111)
7:10PM Central Time

 

[the duke]

JEFFERSONSPORTS

2-0 yesterday

MLB TUES
ST.LOUIS-138
HOUSTON-127

 

[the duke]

Chris Jordan

TUESDAY NIGHT ACTION


600♦ Run Line Punisher

A Blowout of huge proportions

BIGGEST BLOWOUT ON THE BOARD TONIGHT

200♦ Value Chalk

Lay this with confidence

945♦ MLB Profit since 4/15

8 of 11 Winning Weeks


600♦ Reds run line
200♦ Astros

 

[the duke]

Sports Kingz



Philly +110

Minny -130

Colorado -150

Cubs Ev

 

[the duke]

BIG AL McMORDIE

TUESDAY NIGHT BASEBALL TOTALS WINNER. $35.00
Al McMordie was 1-1 on Monday night, as he cashed with the Tigers, but lost with the Rockies. Tonight, on Tuesday, Big Al is releasing 1 selection and it's a Totals play in the National League out of an angle that's CASHED 8 STRAIGHT TIMES. Get this EASY WINNER right now.

Los Angeles/Houston under


At 8:05pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros 'under' the total. Two talented lefties go at it in this game as LA's 20-year-old Clayton Kershaw faces off against Houston's 29-year-old Wandy Rodriguez. Although Kershaw is talented and everyone agrees that he has great stuff, he is still very raw and needs to cut down on his walks, a common problem for such young Major League hurlers. After several years of flirting with all-star caliber numbers, Rodriguez looks like his time has finally arrived. If you excuse his poor performance against the Yankees on June 14, Rodriguez has given up only three earned runs in the other 4 starts sandwiched around that one, including back-to-back 6+ inning shutouts on June 3 and June 8. His last start was perhaps his best, as he went deep into the game against a very tough Texas offense (the highest-scoring team in the Majors), giving up only one earned run in eight innings while striking out nine Rangers. The Dodgers have failed to score more than 1 run in four of their last six games. And yet they are actually talking about platooning 5-tool outfielder Matt Kemp when Andruw Jones comes off the Disabled List. With moves like that, is it any wonder this team is toiling at 38-44? Houston has gone 'under' in 49 of its 80 games, and the Dodgers have gone 'under' in eight straight. Look for another low-scoring game tonight.

 

[the duke]

SAPKOWSKI 83-50


8-2 premium picks run

Premium (44-24 L66, Yesterday 1-1
(CHI White Sox"W",WAS Nationals"L")

STL Cardinals
HOU Astros


Free picks (39-26 L61 1-1 Yesterday
(DET Tigers"W",COL Rockies"L")

PHI Phillies
CHI White Sox

 

[the duke]

Players of America


Game: Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)Cleveland Indians +115



NYM vs. STL
Game: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Star Value: 3* (30 Units) New York Mets +135



LAD vs. HOU
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros
Star Value: 1* (10 Units) Los Angeles Dodgers +120



PHI vs. ATL
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Star Value: 1* (10 Units) Atlanta Braves -105.




Season-to-Date
Major League Baseball
1*(10 units) 56-49
3*(30 units) 22-17
5*(50 units) 4-3
10*GOY(100 units) 1-0
+323.70 Units

 

[the duke]

PLUSLINE SPORTS

Daily Baseball Selection

Pittsburg(Duke)) vs. Cincinnati(Volquez)

Cincinnati-1.5(+120) Moneyline (-175)

Game Time: July 1 @ 6:05 pm CST

 

[the duke]

Bob Balfe

Member Picks

Major League Baseball
Pirates +150 over Reds
Duke/Volquez

 

[the duke]

WUNDERDOG COMPS

MLB
Game: Washington at Florida (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Florida -137 (moneyline)

The Nats have never been a good road team and this season is no different. Washington have posted an 8-18 mark on the road against .500+ teams, and are just 11-22 overall in their last 33 games. Collin Balester will make his Major League debut tonight for the Nats, but his numbers at AAA Columbus aren't outstanding. He has pitched to a 4 ERA and allowed 14 HR'S in just 78 innings. Like the Marlins at home here.

WNBA
Game: New York at Los Angeles (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York +9 (-110)

The Los Angeles Sparks now own the best record in the WNBA at 10-4 and have played well for the entire season. They have dropped two of their last four however, including an inexcusable loss to Washington at home their last time out. This is a good team, but we question the lofty pointspread issued for this game and we find value on the visiting Liberty. The Spark has had five double-digit wins on the entire season in their 14 games to date, and just one of those has been to a team with a .500 record or higher, so this line comes into question here. The Liberty has struggled within their own conference, but has been more than competitive against the West, where they own a 4-1 mark on the season. We look for the Liberty to hang around in this one.

 

[the duke]

Sports Monitor

San Diego Padres (33-51) at Colorado Rockies (32-51)

Rockies -155 / total 9.5

TRENDS:

The Padres are 12-25 on the road. The Rockies have lost their
last eight games. San Diego has lost 13 of their last 16 games.

GAME SUMMARY:

Following their biggest offensive outburst of the season,
the Padres look to win consecutive games for the first time
in nearly three weeks and try to hand the Colorado Rockies
their longest losing streak in more than three years on Tuesday.

SPORTS MONITOR PREDICTION

Rockies 6 Padres 4