Tuesday Service Plays 8/19/08

[the duke]

Comps


Nelly

Tampa Bay ? over Los Angeles

Even though the Angels own the best road record in baseball by a wide margin the Rays are too tough at home, winning 41 of the last 51 home games. James Shields has great numbers on the season as the Rays have won nine of his last eleven starts and he has allowed more than three earned runs in just two of those outings. Shields is 7-1 at home this season with a 2.21 ERA and the Rays have lost just one home game out of 13 home starts for Shields this season. Ervin Santana has very solid numbers for the Angels but he has allowed four or more runs in five of his last nine starts. The Angels have actually lost three of his last five starts and the Rays have won five of the past six meetings at Tropicana Field. The Los Angeles bullpen has shown considerably vulnerability in the last week as well. Look for the Rays to make a statement with a big win Tuesday night.



Brad Diamond Sports

Play on: Washington/Philadelphia 'Over' the total
Phillies return to the Bank looking to gain ground on the Mets who
lost out in Pittsburgh on Monday. After an elongated slump the return to their band box should help invoke the hitters touch needed to carry a high scoring game to the scoreboard. Philadelphia is 14-5 OVER off a road swing of seven days or more.


Marc Lawrence

Play On: Detroit w/Gallaraga vs Padilla

Note: The Tigers and Rangers go at it Tuesday night when Armando Gallaraga matches serves with Vicente Padilla in Arlington. Gallaraga has been a pleasant surprise for the Men from Motown, especially on the raod where he is 8-4 with a 2.48 ERA. In fact, in his last four road starts Galarraga has issued 3 walks against 20 strikeouts. With Padilla owning a 5.72 ERA under the lights at night this season, look for the Tigers to tame the Rangers for the 6th time in a row in this series here this evening.


Tom Freese Blue Line

Florida at San Francisco (10:15pm)

Florida is 7-1 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 9-2 when their opponent allows 2 or less runs in their last game. The Marlins are 9-3 off a loss and starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco is in Awesome KW form with 21 strikeouts and just 1 walk in his last 3 starts. San Francisco is 6-18 their last 24 games vs. winning teams. The Giants are 3-10 in the last 13 starts made by Kevin Correia. PLAY ON FLORIDA -(Nolasco vs. Correia)



Great Lakes Sports

Major League Baseball Selection:

New York Yankees at Toronto 7:05PM EST Play on: Toronto Blue Jays with Burnett

The Toronto Blue Jays are on a roll going 5-1 in their last six games, and the Blue Jays starting pitcher Burnett has a nice 5-2 record with an 2.85era vs the New York Yankees since 1997. The Toronto Blue Jays is also a very respectable 15-9 as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this year, and they are 51-41 vs right hand starting pitching so far this year. We here at Great Lakes Sports look for the Toronto Blue Jays to roll over the New York Yankees in this key American League showdown for the home win tonight.

 

[the duke]

Comps

John Martin

MLB | Aug 19

1 Unit on Florida Marlins -135
(Listing Nolasco and Correia)

Florida will kick it in gear in this series with the lowly San Francisco Giants. The Marlins are coming off a couple tough series against the Cardinals and Cubs, but they catch a break getting the terrible Giants when they are in desperate need of wins as we near the end of the season. Ricky Nolasco has been the Marlins? most consistent starter, posting an 11-7 record and 3.88 ERA on the season. Kevin Correia has faced the Marlins twice in his career, going 0-1 with a 12.97 ERA. Correia has allowed 12 earned runs in just over 8 innings against the Marlins. Nolasco is 9-2 following a team loss this season, showing his ability to lead his team when they need him most. Florida is 28-11 vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. The Giants are 0-10 vs. poor fielding teams - (turning 0.8 or less DP's/game) in the second half of the season this season. Cash in with Florida as the favorite.



Black Widow

MLB | Aug 19
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

1* on Boston Red Sox -157
(List Matsuzaka only)

The Boston Red Sox have owned the Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox are 40-14 in the last 54 meetings overall. Boston is 58-25 in the last 83 meetings in Baltimore. The Orioles are just 2-9 in Daniel Cabrera?s last 11 starts against Boston, and 1-6 in Cabrera?s last 7 home starts against them. Daisuke Matsuzaka hasn?t lost on the road all year, going 6-0 with a 2.04 ERA in nine road starts overall. Take the Red Sox on the Money Line.


Dustin Hawkins


MLB | Aug 19
Florida Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants

Florida Marlins -132

RICKY NOLASCO (11-7) 4.03 ERA vs. KEVIN CORREIA (2-6) 5.09 ERA
Here is a good matchup of A quality young pitcher going against a very bad team and a not so good pitcher. The Marlins can score and should get a good night on the mound by Nolasco!!! The Giants just dont have the offense or the pitching to compete in the League this year.

Pick : Marlins - 132

Vernon Croy


MLB | Aug 19
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers

Detroit Tigers -112

1 Unit, Take Detroit ML, Detroit has the superior pitcher on the mound with Armando Galarraga (11-4, 3.11 ERA) who will be looking for his 5ht straight win while Vicente Padilla (12-6, 4.85) has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.88. Galarraga has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 2.48 while allowing just 56 hits over 76.3 innings and I look for him to have a lot of success against this Rangers line-up that has not faced him before. Padilla got lit up by the Tigers in his only start against them this season allowing 8 hits and 7 earned runs over just 3 innings including 3 homeruns. I look for the Tigers to hit Padilla hard again tonight and Detroit has owned Texas with a perfect 3-0 record against them this season and a perfect 5-0 record over their last 5 meetings. The Rangers opponents are hitting 325 against them over their last 7 games while averaging 8.3 rpg and I look or the Tigers bats to come alive tonight in Arlington. Take Detroit as your free MLB play for Tuesday and make sure you get on my huge 17-8 MLB Bookie Buster run tonight.


Larry Cook

MLB | Aug 19
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins

3* on Oakland A?s +183
(Listing Gallagher only)

Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts. This is a 43-30 ML System hitting 58.9% since 1997. The A?s are showing too much value here to pass them up, so we?ll take a shot at Oakland as our Free Play Tuesday. Bet the A?s on the road.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Jimmy The Moose

Game: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Aug 19 2008 9:40PM
Prediction: over

Reason: The over is 5-1 in the Padres last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-1-1 in the Padres last 6 road games overall. San Diego has played the over in 3 of Banks last 4 starts. Over his last 3 starts his ERA is 6.06. The over is 5-1 in Arizona's last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss. The over is 6-1 in Davis' last 7 starts. The over is 9-3 in his last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Davis has an ERA of 12.27 over his last 3 starts. Play the over.




Big Al McMordie

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) - Aug 19, 2008 8:05 PM EDT
Play: Total: 11/-111 Under

At 8:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers 'under' the total. Detroit's 26-year-old righthanded starter Armando Galarraga has not only tossed his hat into the ring for AL Rookie of the Year honors, he has thrown it in with authority. With the recent injury to Tampa's 3b Evan Longoria, Galarraga may now have put himself into the lead, even though he is a pitcher and this award seems to favor hitters. This is Galarraga's first ever start vs. the Rangers and he may have a little extra incentive tonight because Texas is the team which traded him to Detroit during the offseason. He has been very good on the road this season, going 7-2 with a 2.72 ERA away from Comerica Park. The Rangers will be without their main sparkplug as everyday leadoff hitter and second baseman Ian Kinsler was recently placed on the DL with what is being called a sports hernia. Kinsler may be on the shelf for the rest of the season if he opts for surgery, which is the normal course of action for this type of injury. The Rangers won't want to take any chances with their 26-year-old All Star, so don't look for Kinsler back any time soon. His continued loss should be felt on the scoreboard as his replacement Ramon Vazquez is a light hitter with only 6 homers in 266 at bats and more importantly, no steals. Without Kinsler, there is virtually nobody in this lineup who is a threat on the basepaths. Even with Monday's 8-7 run-fest, the under is still 7-3-2 in the last twelve meetings between these two teams. Take the 'under'.



Ross Benjamin

Game: New York Yankees (Rasner) @ Toronto (Burnett)
Date/Time: 8/19/2008 7:05PM EST

Don?t get sucked into taking the Yankees in a tempting underdog position. The Toronto starter Burnett is 4-0 with a 1.24 ERA versus the Yankees since the start of the 2007 season. Burnett is 7-0 in his last 7 team starts at home. The Yankees starter Rasner enters the game in terrible form off of his last 4 starts posting a 6.60 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. Rasner is 1-6 with his last 7 team starts on the road. Toronto enters this series having won 5 of the last 6 overall and trail the Yankees by just 2 games in the AL East. The Yankees are a dismal 15-26 in the opening game of a series this season. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays as my MLB free selection for Tuesday night.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Tony Weston

The Texas Rangers jump out to a solid 3-0 lead then couldn?t make it hold up THEN don?t do enough to complete the comeback falling to the Detroit Tigers last night, giving us a Comp Play loss.

Damn the Rangers. That?s fine. We?re coming back tonight, switching gears as we go to the National League where the Colorado Rockies will get over on the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Early lines are going heavy on the Dodgers as the favorite tonight. Big mistake. A good majority of that factor has to do with tonight?s scheduled starting pitchers, the Rockies? Ubaldo Jimenez, who is only 1-2 in his last three starts with a 5.00 ERA and the Dodgers? Hiroki Kuroda, who is 2-0 in his last three starts with a 1.21 ERA.

But you need to look way past that to understand why Colorado will win tonight.

First, the Rockies are 5-2 in their last seven games against the Dodgers, including a 4-1 mark their last five meetings. In their last two games on July 22 and 23, both Jimenez and Kuroda took the mound, but did not face each other. However, in Jimenez?s start the Rockies won 10-1 and in Kuroda?s start the Dodgers? lost 5-3.

Also consider that in their last series in Los Angeles, the Rockies won each of the last two games, beating the Dodgers 3-0 then 2-1.

Also consider that the Rockies are 4-1 in their last five games overall and are on a three-game winning streak, while the Dodgers split their last two games.

Go with Colorado to continue its winning ways against the Dodgers.

3♦ ROCKIES (On a 1-5♦ Scale)



L.A. Angels (+110) at TAMPA BAY Bobby Maxwell

We will play the Angels to get a road win in Tampa Bay.

Los Angeles can't seem to find the answer to the Rays this season but we've still got faith in the best road team in baseball. We're going to play the Angels and starter Ervin Santana (13-5, 3.49 ERA).

Tampa has won four straight against the Angels in Florida and beaten them five of seven times this season. Regardless, the Angels still lead this series 48-21 in the last 69 matchups.

Santana is 2-0 in his last three starts with a 2.95 ERA and he is 9-2 on the road this season with a 3.45 ERA. Santana allowed three runs in 6.1 innings but his bullpen let him down and the Mariners got the 10-7 victory. In his last road start he blanked the Yankees for eight innings on five hits as the Angels got a 1-0 victory.

James Shields (10-7, 3.75 ERA) has a 4.50 ERA in his last three outings. He gave up four runs in five innings at Oakland on Thursday but the Rays got a 7-6 victory. He's faced the Angels twice already this season and got drilled back on June 10 when he allowed six runs on 10 hits in a 6-1 loss. But in May he threw a complete-game, one-hit shutout against Los Angeles as the Rays won 1-0.

These are the best two teams in the American League and I gotta believe the Angels are tired of getting beaten in these matchups. We're playing them to snap that slide in Tampa with a win tonight.

4♦ L.A. ANGELS

 

[the duke]

SPORTS ADVISORS

AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (66-58) at Toronto (64-60)

The Blue Jays return home after a successful road trip looking to further damage the Yankees? playoff hopes as these A.L. East rivals kick off a three-game series. Toronto will send ace A.J. Burnett (15-9, 4.67 ERA) to the mound opposite struggling Darrell Rasner (5-9, 5.18).

Toronto went 5-1 on its just-concluded road swing, capped off with a pair of impressive wins over the Red Sox on Saturday (5-1) and Sunday (15-4). The Jays are on hot streaks of 6-2 versus divisional foes, 5-0 with Burnett on the hill overall and 7-0 when Burnett works at home. However, the last time the Jays were north of the border, they got swept in a three-game series against Cleveland, scoring just four runs.

New York took two of three on a brief three-game homestand against the Royals, including Sunday?s 15-6 rout. However, since coming out of the All-Star break with eight straight wins, the Yankees have lost 13 of their last 21, going 3-8 on the road during this stretch. They?re also mired in slumps of 0-6 in series-openers, 4-9 in Rasner?s last 13 starts overall and 1-6 with Rasner on foreign turf.

The Yankees hold a slim 5-4 advantage in this season series, with the host winning six of the nine meetings.

Burnett has given up four runs in each of his last three starts, yet he?s won all three by identical 6-4 scores, beating the Rangers and Tigers on the road and the A?s at home. He?s also 9-3 at home despite a hefty 5.13 ERA, but one of his best starts of the season at the Rogers Centre came against the Yankees on July 13, when he yielded one run on six hits in 8 1/3 innings. Going back to the start of last season, Burnett is 4-0 with a 1.23 ERA in four starts against New York.

Rasner lasted just five innings in Wednesday?s start at Minnesota, giving up three runs (two earned) in taking a 4-2 loss. The right-hander has gone 11 consecutive starts without a quality outing, and he?s lost nine of his last 11 decisions. Also, he?s 2-6 with a 5.96 ERA in eight road starts, but he?s 2-0 with a 4.91 ERA in two career outings against the Blue Jays, including a 9-4 victory in Toronto on July 12.

In this rivalry, the under is on streaks of 7-3 overall, 4-1 in Toronto and 4-0 when Burnett faces New York. The under is also 5-2 in New York?s last seven overall, 15-4-1 in Toronto?s last 20 games overall, 13-3 in Toronto?s last 16 at home and 4-0 in Burnett?s last four outings versus A.L. East foes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TORONTO and UNDER


L.A. Angels (76-47) at Tampa Bay (76-48)

The top two teams in baseball are set to continue their three-game series at Tropicana Field, presuming that Tropical Storm Fay steers clear of the Tampa Bay area. If the storm doesn?t force the postponement of tonight?s contest, the Rays are set to give the ball to James Shields (10-7, 3.75), while the Angels will go with Ervin Santana (13-5, 3.49).

Tampa Bay held on for a 6-4 victory Monday night, boosting their major-league-best home record to 46-17, including 42-10 in the last 52. The Rays, who now trail Los Angeles by a half-game in the race for baseball?s best record, are on a 15-4 overall run (6-1 at home), and they?re now 5-2 against the Angels this year (4-0 at home).

L.A. is fighting a rare slump, having lost four of its last five, which comes on the heels of a five-game winning streak. Despite the downturn ? which includes a 1-3 mark on this current road trip ? the Angels remain baseball?s top road team with a 39-24 record. They?re also on streaks of 22-6 on Tuesdays, 21-7 versus the A.L. East, 20-8 against right-handed starters and 10-4 following a defeat.

The home team has won six of the seven clashes between these clubs this season and nine of the last 10 going back to 2007.

Tampa Bay is 9-2 in Shields? last 11 starts overall (5-1 in the last six), 10-2 in his last 12 against the A.L. West and 21-6 in his last 27 at home. This year at the Trop, Shields is 7-1 with a 2.21 ERA in 13 outings, 12 of which Tampa has won. That includes a complete-game, 2-0 win over the Angels on May 9, when Shields dominated in a one-hit, no-walk, eight-strikeout performance. Although Shields lost a 6-1 decision in Anaheim a month later, he?s 4-0 with a 1.27 ERA in four career home starts versus the Halos.

L.A. has lost three of Santana?s last five starts, with the right-hander posting a 4.05 ERA during this stretch. On the bright side, despite horrific career numbers on the road coming into this season, Santana is 9-2 with a 3.45 ERA in 14 starts as a visitor in 2008. Conversely, he?s 3-3 with a 6.21 ERA in seven career efforts against the Rays, getting a no-decision in his team?s 8-5 loss in Tampa on May 11 when Santana yielded five runs on nine hits in 5 2/3 frames.

The under is 5-2 in Shields? last seven starts overall and 8-4-2 this year when Santana pitches on the road. However, the over is on runs of 7-1 for the Angels against right-handed starters, 4-1 for the Angels against the A.L. East, 5-1 for the Rays at home and 4-1 when Santana pitches at Tropicana Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY

 

[the duke]

Brian Marshall

August 19, 2008

Game: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Plays On: Colorado Rockies (+125)




Tony Mathews

August 19, 2008

Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians

Selection: Kansas City Royals (+155)




John Fina

August 19, 2008

Selection: Florida Marlins (-140)

 

[the duke]

CappersAccess

Tue (MLB) Cubs RL
Tue (MLB) Tigers




MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Angels Monday night.
Tuesday it's the Indians. The surplus is 340 sirignanos.




HONDO


Guthrie was for the birds last night as he took the loss against the Bosawx, which condensed Hondo's col lection of disposable dead presidents to 390 herndons.

Tonight, he's gotta go with Galarraga, the stable stalwart - 10 units on the Tigers to mess up Texas.




ARMVIN SPORTS

TORONTO BLUE JAYS -125

 

[the duke]

Dave Cokin


My free pick of the day is the game between (917) KC Royals and (918) CLE Indians. Take "(917) KC Royals". The change of scenery from St. Louis to Cleveland seems to be working for Anthony Reyes. But I'm not buying Reyes just yet as a pitcher worthy of being this much chalk against anyone. Although he's off a quality start last time out, Reyes wasn't able to record even a single strikeout, indicating he had some good fortune along the way. Rookie Luke Hochevar has had his ups and downs and is not reliable at this point. But I'll take my chances that this is one of his good nights and I'll go for what I feel is decent value with the Royals as big road dogs.




Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (911) SD Padres and (912) ARI D'backs. Take "(911) SD Padres". The Padres have been competitive of late, going 4-4 despite being an underdog in 6 of those 8 games. They've played 3 one-run games over the last 5 games, plus put an 8-3 beating on the Phillies as a +130 dog. Padres relievers have an 0.38 ERA over the past seven games, allowing only one run in 23 2/3 innings while striking out 28 against nine walks. They take on another team in a pennant race, but Arizona is 5-6 the last 11 games. Starter Doug Davis walks too many batters (50 in 99 innings) and is 0-3 with an ERA of 12.27 his last 3 starts. A 4-7 pitcher with a 4.79 ERA doesn't warrant being this large a favorite. Play the Padres.

 

[the duke]

Gator Report

70% Super Situation

MLB Tuesday: Play On MLB (NL) favorites with a money line of -150 or more with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season, with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season, 124-34 SU since 1997 (78.5%) 6-1 SU this season!

*PLAY: St Louis Cardinals -205

*We rarely play any favorite over -150 but in some cases the technical and fundamental support combine to provide a solid play on teams with a higher line and this happens to be one of those cases. Although we still find it difficult to lay that much chalk so we looked a little deeper into the system and we found that the average score in a game this system qualifies is 6.6 to 4.2 which results in a line differential of +2.5. This game is a possible run line selection with a current line of St Louis -1.5 (-105) at BetCris (10:22 PM EST Monday).


Top Angle

SAN FRANCISCO is 0-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line versus teams turning 0.8 or less DP's per game in the second half of the season this season.

 

[the duke]

JEFFERSONSPORTS --lost yesteerday

HIT 19 of last 25 (76%)

MLB EARLY RELEASE
MINNESOTA-189

77-49 last 126 plays (62%)
MLB +41.29 units (+4129.00$ playing 100.00 a game)

 

[the duke]

SCOTT FERRALL


BASEBALL LOCKS FOR TUESDAY

Philly -210 and Blanton easily over the Nationals at Citizens in Ferralladelphia

Perez -210 and the Mets over the fast sinking Braves at Shea as NY opens a fat week at home against Atlanta and Houston

Houston +210 at Milwaukee as Moehler pulls off the upset over Ben Sheets--it just seems too automatic to me to snag the Brewers

Reds +250 at Wrigley with Cueto coming through against Harden and the Cubs--Chicago was -310--are you kidding me ?

Seattle -108 at ChiSox against Richard--King Felix can beat them wheb they aren't expecting it

Slowey and Twins -200 over the A's at the Homerdome--Minnesota is in the thick of the chase, so it's important to them

Galarraga (even odds) and the Tigers pull one out over Padilla and the Rangers in Arlington

Angels -120 at Tampa--I'm on Ervin Santana at the Trop over James Shields

Toronto -145 on AJ Burnett over the dying Yankees, who are 9.5 back in the East and 5 back in the Wild Card



BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR TUESDAY

CHISOX-MARINERS OVER 9

OAK-MINN UNDER 8.5

DET-TEX UNDER 11

ANGELS-TB UNDER 8

NY-TOR OVER 9

BOS-BALT UNDER 9

KC-CLEV OVER 9

FLA-SF OVER 8

ROCKIES-DODGERS UNDER 8

SD-ARIZ OVER 9.5

PITT-CARDS OVER 9

HOUS-MILW OVER 8

ATL-NY OVER 9.5

NATS-PHILS OVER 9



BASEBALL FREE B's FOR TUESDAY

Dice K -165 at Baltimore-take the Red Sox because he's doesn't lose these days and Boston is hitting

Reyes and the Tribe -175 at home vs the hapless Royals and Hochevar--I watched KC play on Saturday and they really are horrid

SF +115 at home over the stinky FISH (Marlins), who's season is going down the drain

Kuroda -145 over the Rpckies and Jimenez at the Revine in Lipstick City

Arizona -200 and Davis over the Padres, who have sucked balls all year

St.Louis -200 with Looper having an easy night of it against the Bucs and Ian Snell

 

[the duke]

Comps

MATT RIVERS

Tuesday take the O's at home.

Dice-K has been insane this season and if not for Cliff Lee, could be the Cy Young front runner, but I just cannot fathom this great run continuing. The Orioles have proven to be no joke with the bats and just bombed away at Comerica against the Tigers. Mora, Roberts, Huff and the birds are extremely capable and have the offense that could give Matsuzaka some fits and a rare loss.

Daniel Cabrera is a guy that can never be fully trusted as he has great stuff but also sometimes loses his control point and walks a ton of batters. When the tall righty is laying a lot he is normally a must go against but this is the exact opposite. At this home dog price with his offense you just cannot pass this price up. If we see the good Cabrera then the now Manny-less Sox are going to be in for a tough tough night. Oh and by the way without Ramirez I just do not fear Terry Francona's squad like I did. Jason Bay is good but without the great Manny and with guys like Jed Lowrie and the struggling Jason Varitek Boston's lineup is no longer the dreaded bashing team they used to be.

Call it the Law of averages, call it whatever but Dice-K is going to get hit hard at some point very soon and this easily can be that point as this home dog barks with conviction!



TONY KARPINSKI

Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB) - Aug 19, 2008 8:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -194 Minnesota Twins

Getting the Twins at this price at home coming off a loss is pretty tasty. The A?s lost 13-1 on Sunday to the team Minnesota is competing with in the AL Central, the White Sox. It was their 23rd loss in 29 games. The Twins are now 27-11 in the home favorite role and just couldn't get the key hits last night. Making matters more difficult, Oakland has dropped 9 of their last 13 in the Homerdome. Play on the TWINS



Craig Trapp

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - Aug 19, 2008 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 117 New York Yankees

Take the NYY here. Not often do you get NYY as an underdog vs TOR. A great value play for today. Burnett (15-9, 4.67 ERA) is 9-2 with a 3.73 ERA over his last 11 outings, winning his last five to post his best win streak since reeling off a career-best seven in a row from July 19-Aug. 19, 2005 while with Florida. The right-hander has won a career-high seven straight home starts, posting a 2.89 ERA, since losing to Baltimore on June 7 at Rogers Centre. Burnett, however, has given up four runs in three consecutive outings. He allowed three homers and eight hits overall in six innings of a 6-4 victory at Detroit last Tuesday. Look for the Yanks to get to him early today.

Score NYY 6 - TOR 3

 

[the duke]

Nostradamus

Toronto -140
Tampa Bay -125
St Louis -185
White Sox -105

 

[the duke]

EZ WINNERS

5 STAR PARLAY: (906) MILWAUKEE (-$238) and (910) ST. LOUIS (-$191)
(Listing Sheets and Looper)
(Risking $500 to win $582)

2 STAR: (923) LA ANGELS (+$115) over Tampa Bay
(Listing Santana only)
(Risking $200 to win $230)

2 STAR: (916) SAN FRANCISCO (+$130) over Florida
(Listing Correia only)
(Risking $200 to win $260)

 

[the duke]

The Hitman

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2008
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5000 LARGE INSIDERS MAJOR MOVE
LA Dodgers w/Kuroda -146 10:15 ES




Guaranteed Selections

Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2008
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5000 LARGE DIAMOND DOMINATOR
Florida w/Nolasco -144 10:15 EST


Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2008
$20.00 Guaranteed: Today in baseball the Hitman has just what you are looking for! A PERFECT way for you to WHACK your man with his 5000 LARGE DIAMOND RUN LINE DOMINATOR you can get it now for just $20 and as always you must win this game or you will not be charged! WHACK your man with this RED HOT BASEBALL WINNER! We are currently 95-36 in Baseball this season! 21-4 RUN!!! 8/19/2008

5000 LARGE DIAMOND RUN LINE DOMINATOR
Minnesota w/Slowey -1.5 -105 8:10 EST

 

[the duke]

Winners Inc.

Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2008
$20.00 Guaranteed: Today in Baseball we are featuring our 5000* RUN LINE BASEBALL GAME OF THE MONTH! You can get this WINNER for just $20 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged! We are currently on a REMARKABLE 101-55 run with all of our guaranteed selections! So far this year in Baseball we are 75-43 for PLUS 21.6 UNITS! 8/19/2008

5000* RUN LINE BASEBALL GAME OF THE MONTH
Philadelphia w/Blanton -1.5 -115 7:05 EST

 

[the duke]

Players of America



WAS vs. PHI
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The Play: Philadelphia Phillies +100.0
Play Description: Run Line (-1.5)
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup:
OK, back on our feet a little bit and heading towards that turn around like we mentioned. Boston came through for us last night in Baltimore, and they really looked like that team their supposed to be. Keep an eye on that squad as we wind down to the end of the regular season. We'll now take a look at Tuesday's card, and there's not a whole lot cookin' besides a handful of chalk layers.

Our first release happens to be one of those chalk layers, but we're going to save ourselves the heart attack and take advantage of the run line. At 7:05PM EST, the Philadelphia Phillies host the God awful Washington Nationals at home. The Phillies are in prime-time hunt position right now, and they are in that group of teams that NEEDS TO WIN starting now. We realize we harp on that statement left and right, but it's the truth.especially in this league. Team's need to win, and that's what motivates them. It is a lot harder to persuade people of that concept a month into the season, but right now.it is dead on. Philadelphia -1.5 runs is even money at +100.

Skipper Charlie Manuel and staff are set to give the ball to righty Joe Blanton to start. Joe comes in 1-0 on the season with the Phillies, pitching 27 innings. His ERA is decent at 3.98. He's thrown very well his last three times out getting one decision at 1-0 and accumulating an ERA of 2.37, with a WHIP of 1.11. The Philles are hungry. They are 4-6 in their last ten overall, and like we said.it is time to kick start things. The entire squad should be very well rested with a day off Monday, and heads should be sky high as they continue their hunt for the division. Philadelphia owns the series this season with the Nats at 6-3 in 9 total meetings.

Where do you start with a team like Washington? They weren't predicted to be anything special this season, and they've really lived up to that. They are 0-10 in their last 10 overall and things do not get any easier going into Philly. Jason Bergmann is the scheduled starter for the Nationals. Jason comes in a lousy 2-9 overall on the year with an ERA up over 4.50. It is not that Bergmann is a terrible pitcher, but this National's team just honestly is not very good. Washington is completely decimated with injuries, Jesus Flores, Cristian Guzman, Wily Mo Pena, Alberto Gonzalez, Elijah Dukes, Dmitri Young and Nick Johnson are all OUT, just to name a few. The Nationals bullpen is weak and the available heavers have an ERA over 4.25 for tonight's event. Things only get worse for the 44-81 Nat's tonight, guys.

There are no secrets here. Philadelphia wins this one and everyone knows it. We're confident they can do so by two or more runs so this is a must-bet. We'll go with a 1* / 10 unit wager on Philadelphia returning home on Tuesday night.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
-The Phillies are 6-3 overall against the Nationals this season
-The Nationals are 15-39 in their last 54 overall
-The Nationals are 12-30 in their last 42 Tuesday games

Philadelphia 6, Washington 2





NYY vs. TOR
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
The Play: New York Yankees +120.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup:
Our next selection is an eye roller, but we'll be on the Yankees. Too much power, too much experience and too much class to just completely roll over and play dead at this point in the season. Regardless of needing to win or making a late playoff push, this team is better than what their record shows, period. With that being said, the New York Yankees are also coming off a day's worth of rest and will head to the dome in Toronto tonight at 7:05PM EST.

New York has had their woes in the starting pitching rotation this season, something rather uncommon from the past years. Darrell Rasner comes in and this guy is par at best. His 5-9 record doesn't stun anyone and he has an ERA over 5.00 runs. The clear advantage goes to Toronto in this game when it comes to STARTING pitching. Lucky for us, starters aren't the only factor in a baseball game. They might be a big one, but they aren't the only. The Yankee's lineup is twice, maybe three times as good as Toronto's. The Blue Jays might be flying high after beating up on a pathetic Detroit team last week, but snap-snap.back to reality.

As stated, Toronto will put a better AJ Burnett on the mound this evening. AJ is 15-10 overall, and his ERA is approaching 5.00 too (at 4.70). AJ is a good anchor in this rotation, but he doesn't always get the run support he might need to win a ballgame. The Blue Jays bullpen is usually very impressive, and we noted that a few weeks ago when we placed a wager on them. However, in the last four games the Jays pen has given up an average of 4.85 runs per game. Not good. Another key pointer, the Jays will be without Scott Rolen as he has been placed on the 15 day DL to rest a troublesome right shoulder.

All in all, the Yankees are just as capable of winning this ball game as Toronto, if not more. We all know the capabilities of the line up offensively and defensively the Yanks are well above average, too. At this price, it's a nice spot to take a look. We'll be on the Yankees as a 1* / 10 unit wager on Tuesday night in Toronto.

TREND OF THE GAME:
-The Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 games coming off a rest day

New York 8, Toronto 5



LAA vs. TAM
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The Play: Los Angeles Angels +110.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup:
Next, we'll be zooming in on another likely-public underdog and this one kicks off at 7:10PM EST from the Sunshine State. The Tampa Bay Rays are set to host the visiting Anaheim Angels. These two teams slugged it out last night with the Rays coming out on top. Again, another bargain price on a team fully capable of winning here. Tampa Bay was the talk of the town just a few short weeks ago, and suddenly they too have snapped back to reality and shown that they are human. In addition, injuries have been a problem recently for the Rays, so being short staffed could be an issue.

The Halos don't really have a weak link in their rotation, and if they did.this wouldn't be the guy. Righty Ervin Santana will start and Ervin comes in at 13-5 overall. He's tallied an ERA of 3.49 in those games and a WHIP of 1.14 (162.2 total innings). Santana went 2-0 in his last three starts and has an ERA of just 2.90 in those games. Both of these teams are playing some pretty good hardball right now winning 6 and 7 of their last 10. You want to talk about playoff implications.this game is it. Both teams are atop and want to stay right there.

Tampa will give it to James Shields who could probably run for mayor in Florida. His 10-7 record has lit the city on fire this season and he's pretty well liked.and rightfully so. James is a solid pitcher with good command. He has an ERA of 3.75 this season and is 1-0 in his last three starts, handing over two decisions. In the bottom halves of the inning, the Rays are going to be a little short. All star third baseman Evan Longoria remains on the DL while recovering from a wrist injury and powerhouse left fielder Carl Crawford will join him (right hand). Those two take away from the meat of this line up and sure they have replacements, but nothing like them.

This one here is another great price. Spotting this value is what smart bettors do, and this is pure value. Look for Anaheim to come out smoking, jumping on top early. The Halos on the road are well worthy of a 1* / 10 unit wager Tuesday night.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
-The Angels are 22-6 in their last 28 Tuesday games
-The Angels are 21-8 in their last 29 overall
-The Angels are 48-20 in their last 68 meetings with the Rays
-The Rays are 25-58 in their last 83 Tuesday games

Anaheim 4, Tampa Bay 2

 

[the duke]

NSA

20* White Sox -115
10* Tampa Bay -120
10* Boston/Baltimore OVER 9
10* San Diego/Arizona UNDER 9.5
10* Oakland/Minnesota UNDER 8.5
10* Florida -145

 

[the duke]

WILD BILL


Phils RL -110 (5 units)
Over 9 1/2 Mets-Braves (5 units)
Mets RL +105 (5 units)
Astros +220 (5 units)
Under 8 Astros-Brewers (5 units)
Reds +280 (5 units)
Pirates +185 (5 units)
Padres +185 (5 units)
Under 9 1/2 Padres-Dbacks (5 units)
Over 9 KC-Cleveland (5 units)
Boston -170 (5 units)
Toronto -135 (5 units)
Detroit -125 w/Galaraga (5 units)
Under 11 Tigers-Rangers (5 units)
Angels +110 (5 units)
A's +190 (5 units)

 

[the duke]

SPORTS KINGZ

FLORIDA -135

TORONTO -135